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Open Setup Classic Mafia - Game Thread

That was supposed to be this I forgot emojis don't work on Smogon
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The only reason I have seen that Cary isn't werewolf is that people don't think NE would give WW to a new player and I think that is extremely bad logic to bank on
 
Alright I've come to some conclusions, here's what I think:

AirC has around 85% chance to be scum, 10% to be wolf, and 5% to be town
joey has around a 10% chance to be scum, 60% to be wolf, and 30% to be town
bluedoom has around a 5% chance to be scum, 25% to be wolf, and 70% to be town
Tommy has around a 0% chance to be scum, 5% to be wolf, and 95% to be town

if tommy is maf or WW, well played. I really want to believe joey is town but think he has the most WW equity and everybody else is really towny. I do not see anybody having scum equity aside from AirC based off of interactions. I feel more confident about AirC being bad than joey.

My vote also doesn't really matter and I think joey will be voted out regardless, so I just hope that y'all are right
 
realiti said:
Alright I've come to some conclusions, here's what I think:

AirC has around 85% chance to be scum, 10% to be wolf, and 5% to be town
joey has around a 10% chance to be scum, 60% to be wolf, and 30% to be town
bluedoom has around a 5% chance to be scum, 25% to be wolf, and 70% to be town
Tommy has around a 0% chance to be scum, 5% to be wolf, and 95% to be town

if tommy is maf or WW, well played. I really want to believe joey is town but think he has the most WW equity and everybody else is really towny. I do not see anybody having scum equity aside from AirC based off of interactions. I feel more confident about AirC being bad than joey.

My vote also doesn't really matter and I think joey will be voted out regardless, so I just hope that y'all are right
Click to expand...
This reads to me like Factory Head Thorton’s pre-battle quote

IMG_1770.jpeg
 
realiti said:
Alright I've come to some conclusions, here's what I think:

AirC has around 85% chance to be scum, 10% to be wolf, and 5% to be town
joey has around a 10% chance to be scum, 60% to be wolf, and 30% to be town
bluedoom has around a 5% chance to be scum, 25% to be wolf, and 70% to be town
Tommy has around a 0% chance to be scum, 5% to be wolf, and 95% to be town

if tommy is maf or WW, well played. I really want to believe joey is town but think he has the most WW equity and everybody else is really towny. I do not see anybody having scum equity aside from AirC based off of interactions. I feel more confident about AirC being bad than joey.

My vote also doesn't really matter and I think joey will be voted out regardless, so I just hope that y'all are right
Click to expand...
so what I'm hearing is that we should roll a dice on these odds to see who we vote out
 
realiti said:
Alright I've come to some conclusions, here's what I think:

AirC has around 85% chance to be scum, 10% to be wolf, and 5% to be town
joey has around a 10% chance to be scum, 60% to be wolf, and 30% to be town
bluedoom has around a 5% chance to be scum, 25% to be wolf, and 70% to be town
Tommy has around a 0% chance to be scum, 5% to be wolf, and 95% to be town

if tommy is maf or WW, well played. I really want to believe joey is town but think he has the most WW equity and everybody else is really towny. I do not see anybody having scum equity aside from AirC based off of interactions. I feel more confident about AirC being bad than joey.

My vote also doesn't really matter and I think joey will be voted out regardless, so I just hope that y'all are right
Click to expand...
Wtf are even those numbers mate
 
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