Tournament PUPL XI - Week 7

Wildfiree

Wildfiree

Never Give Up
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Hosted by mason, Wildfiree, and Murphy Lawden .

Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Week 6 | Week 7 | Semis | Finals

Administrative Decisions | Replays | Usages | Spreadsheet

Rules​
  • Follow all rules listed here.​
  • Schedule via Smogon VMs. It's easier for us to make decisions for activity calls when we can actually see what went down with scheduling.​
  • If you are unable to schedule with your opponent, please let your managers know ASAP so they can communicate that to us or the other team's managers for a potential substitute.​
  • Substitutions may be made after a week as started. When making a substitution, please tag myself, the managers of the opposing team, and all of the players affected by the substitute to ensure that everyone is made aware. Players who have already played in the week or were subbed out in the same week cannot be subbed back in.​
  • If a match remains incomplete by the time of the deadline, it will be subject to an activity call.​
  • Post replays. Not only are they useful for confirming wins, they contribute to usage stats and allow the people who couldn't watch the games live to watch them later. They're also required.​
:Goodra: Goofy Goober Goodras (0) vs (0) Sinnoh Lakers :Uxie:
SV: Bella vs Piyu
SV: Hiko vs Taka
SV: cen344uu vs Stories
SS: OranBerryBlissey10 vs Lambovino
SM: btboy vs Clem
ORAS: ishtar vs Blue YM
BW: LpZ vs Cow
DPP: Ara vs Estarossa
ADV: Parpar vs plznostep
Bo3: seraphz vs Larry

:Magmortar: m.A.A.d. City Magmortars (0) vs (0) Pokestar Pranksters :Grafaiai:
SV: kyuss vs DripLegend
SV: Skarpherim vs Bouff
SV: Andyboy vs SEA
SS: Dj Breloominati♬ vs Eternal Spirit
SM: pdt vs Gondra
ORAS: Killintime vs Greybaum
BW: neomon vs Accel
DPP: BeatsBlack vs frankjosh
ADV: FlamPoke vs violet river
Bo3: Drud vs Pangoro

:Slaking: The KINGPINS (0) vs (0) Haunter x Haunter :Haunter:
SV: Metallica126 vs DugZa
SV: Tenebricite vs VyoletRayn
SV: Fragments vs fish anemometer
SS: LustfulLice vs Tuthur
SM: robjr vs Ming549
ORAS: lighthouses vs TSR
BW: avarice vs TyCarter
DPP: Django vs Heysup
ADV: Plague vs evakiyama!
Bo3: zS vs MZ

:Delphox: The Dazzling Delphoxes (0) vs (0) Malignant Chain Snatchers :Toxtricity-low-key:
SV: Platum vs Micciu
SV: dunoks vs Floss
SV: Suzukaaa vs Ampha
SS: Bloshh vs The Strap
SM: tom holland vs entrocefalo
ORAS: Hacker vs Ruffles
BW: Tizio Potente Ao vs Tack
DPP: TJ vs Baddy
ADV: ExguardiaN vs sleid
Bo3: feen vs lax


Deadline for Week 7 is <t:1753070400:F>. GLHF!

Goofy Goober Goodras (0) vs (0) Sinnoh Lakers
SV: Bella vs Piyu
SV: Hiko vs Taka
SV: cen344uu vs Stories
SS: OranBerryBlissey10 vs Lambovino
SM: btboy vs Clem
ORAS: ishtar vs Blue YM
BW: LpZ vs Cow
DPP: Ara vs Estarossa
ADV: Parpar vs plznostep
Bo3: seraphz vs Larry

m.A.A.d. City Magmortars (0) vs (0) Pokestar Pranksters
SV: kyuss vs DripLegend
SV: Skarpherim vs Bouff
SV: Andyboy vs SEA
SS: Dj Breloominati♬ vs Eternal Spirit
SM: pdt vs Gondra
ORAS: Killintime vs Greybaum
BW: neomon vs Accel
DPP: BeatsBlack vs frankjosh
ADV: FlamPoke vs violet river
Bo3: Drud vs Pangoro

The KINGPINS (0) vs (0) Haunter x Haunter
SV: Metallica126 vs DugZa
SV: Tenebricite vs VyoletRayn
SV: Fragments vs fish anemometer
SS: LustfulLice vs Tuthur
SM: robjr vs Ming549
ORAS: lighthouses vs TSR
BW: avarice vs TyCarter
DPP: Django vs Heysup
ADV: Plague vs evakiyama!
Bo3: zS vs MZ

The Dazzling Delphoxes (0) vs (0) Malignant Chain Snatchers
SV: Platum vs Micciu
SV: dunoks vs Floss
SV: Suzukaaa vs Ampha
SS: bloshhh vs The Strap
SM: tom holland vs entrocefalo
ORAS: Hacker vs Ruffles
BW: Tizio Potente Ao vs Tack
DPP: TJ vs Baddy
ADV: ExguardiaN vs sleid
Bo3: feen vs lax
 
Moving this here now that week 7 is up, dw about it lol

DISCLAIMER: MATH MAY BE WRONG, DOUBLE CHECK ANYTHING BEFORE DECIDING TO COMPLETELY GIVE UP WHEN YOU COULD MAKE IT OR GO VERY HARD WHEN YOU DON'T ACTUALLY HAVE A SHOT

tl;dr there are 5 teams with uncertain qualifiers but I think every single team has an extremely reasonable shot at making it, even Haunters, simply given the matchups each team has week 7. Kingpins and Haunters get to directly eliminate each other, Pranksters and Magmortars get to directly eliminate each other, and Snatchers have a great position only if they can beat the #1 team that hasn't lost yet, although since they've qualified who knows how hard they'll go.

:Delphox: Foxes have locked playoffs, congrats!

:Goodra: Goobers have locked playoffs, congrats!

:Grafaiai: Pranksters are 100% in with a win. With a tie, they’re in as long as both Kingpins and Snatchers don’t win their sets by 7-3 and 8-2 respectively, with smaller wins potentially leading to tiebreaks or Pranksters not getting passed at all. With a loss, Pranksters are out unless Snatchers also lose, Kingpins and Haunters tie, and the loss is only 4-6, which would lead to a tiebreak vs the Kingpins.

:Magmortar: Magmortars are in with a win unless both Kingpins and Snatchers win by greater margins (Kingpins by 1 more win than what Mags get and Snatchers by 2 more than what Mags get), with no potential for tiebreaks unless deadgames also happen. Magmortars are in with a tie as long as Snatchers lose and Kingpins and Haunters tie. Magmortars cannot qualify with a loss.

:Slaking: Kingpins are in with a win if Pranksters and Magmortars don’t tie (so they can pass one) and Snatchers don’t win by a margin great enough to pass them (1 more game win to tie and 2 more to overtake). Kingpins are in with a tie if Magmortars lose or if Pranksters lose by at least 7-3 (6-4 would mean Kingpins and Pranksters tie) and Snatchers lose or tie. Kingpins cannot qualify with a loss.

:Toxtricity: Snatchers are in with a win if Magmortars or Pranksters lose or if they tie but Snatchers win by enough to pass the Magmortars (at least 7-3). They also need for Kingpins to lose, tie, or win with a smaller margin of victory (2 less game wins than Snatchers, or 1 less to tie). Snatchers are in with a tie if Pranksters win and Haunters don’t win 9-1 or 10-0. Snatchers cannot qualify with a loss.

:Haunter: Haunters are in with a win if they can pass ⅔ of Mags, Snatchers, and Pranksters. Haunters pass Snatchers if they lose, or if Snatchers tie while Haunters win 9-1 or 10-0. Haunters pass Magmortars if they lose and can tie the Magmortars if they tie as Haunters win 10-0. Haunters pass Pranksters if Pranksters lose by 3 more games than Haunters win by (ex: Haunters 10-0 vs Pranksters 3-7 puts Haunters 1 game ahead). Since there are a lot of unlikely 10-0 things listed here, I will say the most likely way Haunters make it in is just by winning as Magmortars and Snatchers both lose. Haunters cannot qualify with a tie or loss.

:Uxie: Lakers are out, sorry lads
 
I think double posting is warranted for doing the playoffs scenarios

Goofy Goober Goodras (6) vs (4) Sinnoh Lakers - dunno what to say for this one, only set that doesn't matter and idk how much either team will really be trying
SV: Bella vs Piyu - no amount of CO camaraderie is changing this one, but I would like to see Bella win
SV: Hiko vs Taka - better tour
SV: cen344uu vs Stories - ok win last week but I believe in Stories even when she keeps getting relegated to quickly eliminated teams
SS: OranBerryBlissey10 vs Lambovino - neither is having the tour I would've expected tbh, feels like a coinflip
SM: btboy vs Clem - bringing a sample last week really brought down my hopes
ORAS: ishtar vs Blue YM - I respect bringing fun teams when you're out, but I won't predict for it
BW: LpZ vs Cow - bw pu
DPP: Ara vs Estarossa - week 1 I wouldn't have expected to be saying this, but Ara is having a really good tour and I'm not feeling 3 losses in a row
ADV: Parpar vs plznostep - flip
Bo3: seraphz vs Larry - good win last week vs bizarre tour from someone who apparently just dominated MPL according to doug

m.A.A.d. City Magmortars (4) vs (6) Pokestar Pranksters - PLEASE PRANKSTERS I NEED YOU TO WIN
SV: kyuss vs DripLegend - still having a great tour
SV: Skarpherim vs Bouff - one bad week doesn't erase the 5 good ones, not yet anyway
SV: Andyboy vs SEA - SEA got a bit owned last week but I still think they've looked a bit better
SS: Dj Breloominati♬ vs Eternal Spirit - no gum is looking rough for Pranksters
SM: pdt vs Gondra - I like both these players but the difference in loss quality last week is huge
ORAS: Killintime vs Greybaum - 0-2 to 4-2 is fun but they've been some real odd wins, idk. still pretty 50/50 but grey's my goat
BW: neomon vs Accel - looking stronger
DPP: BeatsBlack vs frankjosh - should be fun, pretty 50/50
ADV: FlamPoke vs violet river - definitely mags' weakest slot, but having your weakest slot be the flippiest tier is a good thing so maybe
Bo3: Drud vs Pangoro - ryan please help me pass drud on the sheet im not a believer and ive lost the last 3 weeks but together we can do this

The Dazzling Delphoxes (0) vs (0) Malignant Chain Snatchers - PLEASE FOXES I NEED YOU TO WIN IK YOU'VE QUALIFIED BUT LOCK IN
SV: Platum vs Micciu - interesting top slots, very good debut vs not much going on in 2 weeks
SV: dunoks vs Floss - definitely looking like the stronger player, kinda think floss is capable of more than what we've seen
SV: Suzukaaa vs Ampha - having a much better tour
SS: bloshhh vs The Strap - gonna go with the momentum of 4 wins in a row but tbh I wouldn't be surprised if bloshhh loads a good matchup and walks into a win
SM: tom holland vs entrocefalo - where's sugar? also, entro's been on the bench for 6 weeks??????
ORAS: Hacker vs Ruffles - he really do be playing every meta. not sure that's good here though
BW: Tizio Potente Ao vs Tack - better player
DPP: TJ vs Baddy - better player
ADV: ExguardiaN vs sleid - I don't know who this is
Bo3: feen vs lax - probably not favored but just a feeling
 
what a ride it's been. go my snatchers. may have less to say than usual for this round of gulchdicts since one series literally means nothing but alas.

Goofy Goober Goodras (6) vs (4) Sinnoh Lakers - literally meaningless so take all games with the grain of salt that comes from "they might not really try"
SV: Bella vs Piyu - bella gets skill gapped but considering that piyu's only motivation here is record vanity she may be able to pull it off. not betting on it though.
SV: Hiko vs Taka - hiko's looked better and taka has brighter horizons to look to, although i doubt he's one to throw in the towel
SV: cen344uu vs Stories - cen will absolutely tryhard this even though nothing is on the line
SS: OranBerryBlissey10 vs Lambovino - reading lambo's defeated speech in tour discussion felt like watching someone give their own eulogy
SM: btboy vs Clem - btboy is probably the better player
ORAS: ishtar vs Blue YM - i gotta bold my goat at least once.
BW: LpZ vs Cow - bw pu
DPP: Ara vs Estarossa - not bolding ara on principle
ADV: Parpar vs plznostep - i believe in step
Bo3: seraphz vs Larry - smacking drud around was pretty inspiring i'll admit

m.A.A.d. City Magmortars (0) vs (0) Pokestar Pranksters - if you tie this week i am going to cry. please don't do it.
SV: kyuss vs DripLegend - overall rate kyuss higher but i think drip is better on pure playing skill when he isn't clicking like a monkey bashing a typewriter and kyuss's funnies may not land
SV: Skarpherim vs Bouff - i'm not gonna lose faith off of one loss. have fun going for 20k next year buddy!!
SV: Andyboy vs SEA - i realistically do not think either sv core goes winless so here's your point mags, could go either way though
SS: Dj Breloominati♬ vs Eternal Spirit - putting gama back on the roster in a must win scenario is a bold move!!!!
SM: pdt vs Gondra - gondra's losses have kinda been robberies, i'll throw him a bone
ORAS: Killintime vs Greybaum - FINISH THE TURN DO NOT SLOW DOWN DO NOT HIT THE WALL IT'S JUST LIKE NASCAR
BW: neomon vs Accel - pro tip for neomon: buy a wrench and fuck with a random utility in accel's house and profit as the timer goes down
DPP: BeatsBlack vs frankjosh - beatsfrank
ADV: FlamPoke vs violet river - violet is good and i've only seen flam play this tier once. i wish i hadn't.
Bo3: Drud vs Pangoro - and just like that, we lost one of the greatest names smogon has ever seen forever. bolding in lieu of flowers.

The KINGPINS (4) vs (6) Haunter x Haunter - calling on the dougs for help feels like that one green lantern comic where they had to deputize the villains with lantern rings
SV: Metallica126 vs DugZa - I STILL BELIEVE
SV: Tenebricite vs VyoletRayn - wacky crazy game from vy last week, i think tene is a better player but he could totally get caught off guard by something crazy
SV: Fragments vs fish anemometer - hey fragments i hope ur doing good :) i saw superman yesterday just thought you specifically should know that :)
SS: LustfulLice vs Tuthur - lice is probably better at the game
SM: robjr vs Ming549 - it will be a cold day in hell before i bold against robjr
ORAS: lighthouses vs TSR - mz has said that i will be held personally accountable for tsr's bad luck this week. ok buddy!
BW: avarice vs TyCarter - ty has shown me up once again so naturally once i bold him he will lose
DPP: Django vs Heysup - heysup old buddy old pal. i don't ask you for much except for spreads all the time. please. please win.
ADV: Plague vs evakiyama! - you wouldn't crit a trapinch
Bo3: zS vs MZ - mz faces his kryptonite (sspu) head on once again and i am NOT optimistic
 
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