RoAPL RoAPL XI - Week Seven

Vertigo

Vertigo

new weapons, same war
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  • Follow all rules listed here.​
  • Schedule via Smogon VMs. It's easier for me to make decisions for activity calls when I can actually see what went down with scheduling.​
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>>Spreadsheet<<
Courtesy of Vertigoat
>>Replays and Usage<<

:reuniclus: Realm Ruination Reunicluses (4) vs (6) Golden State Dusketballers :dusclops:
ORAS OU (Bo3): Always! vs Ruffles
ORAS OU (Bo1): Destro16 vs Typical_bastard
BW OU (Bo3): Duke Sux vs Monai
BW OU (Bo1): evakiyama! vs feen
DPP OU (Bo3): Gtcha vs Dababy2
DPP OU (Bo3): pixie909 vs 16bit
ADV OU (Bo3): Pak vs BIG WILL
ADV OU (Bo1): Johnald vs Kaboom
GSC OU (Bo3): leoperi vs melancholy0
GSC OU (Bo1): OmBrArch vs Seanobiwan
RBY OU (Bo3): GirlsSeeGhosts vs Sceptross
RBY OU (Bo3): RealJester vs Kristyl

:magneton: Mauville Magnetons (3) vs (5) Dragon Dance Dynasty :salamence:
ORAS OU (Bo3): Stories vs pj
ORAS OU (Bo1): cloud and book vs Hyssou
BW OU (Bo3): termnal vs nigel
BW OU (Bo1): eden vs Hockey1
DPP OU (Bo3): Dridri457 vs Leroipolux1
DPP OU (Bo3): Career Ended vs 199 Lives
ADV OU (Bo3): gorgie vs Deezcastforms
ADV OU (Bo1): leng loi vs Skarpherim
GSC OU (Bo3): ExguardiaN vs le LLiolae
GSC OU (Bo1): Xrn vs Thor
RBY OU (Bo3): Sabelette vs Cow
RBY OU (Bo3): Maris Bonibell vs Teh

:slowpoke: Jersey Shore Slowpokes (5) vs (7) New York Yanma :yanma:
ORAS OU (Bo3): Tenebricite vs kingofking
ORAS OU (Bo1): BluBirD vs Drachenkeule
BW OU (Bo3): Sossa vs A Hero's Destiny
BW OU (Bo1): devin vs TyCarter
DPP OU (Bo3): Tizio Potente Ao vs Mendeez
DPP OU (Bo3): Plague vs TLTK
ADV OU (Bo3): mayopockets vs Spreek
ADV OU (Bo1): mielke vs LpZ
GSC OU (Bo3): Iguana vs TibarnWasTaken
GSC OU (Bo1): hybone vs Underlying
RBY OU (Bo3): violet river vs BeeOrSomething
RBY OU (Bo3): Melbelle vs Laroxyl

:vaporeon: Violet Vaporeons (4) vs (8) The Banette Bachelors :banette:
ORAS OU (Bo3): Metallica126 vs watashi
ORAS OU (Bo1): Baddy vs Savouras
BW OU (Bo3): Quarante8 vs BLJ mario
BW OU (Bo1): magialice vs Fusien
DPP OU (Bo3): SFG vs lighthouses
DPP OU (Bo3): aubury vs robjr
ADV OU (Bo3): EG Jhonx~ vs Colteor
ADV OU (Bo1): CyberOdin✝ vs Sheik :
GSC OU (Bo3): GLFGno7 vs Rubyblood
GSC OU (Bo1): CrossHeart vs Charmriah
RBY OU (Bo3): Unowndragon vs oligen1
RBY OU (Bo3): kjdaas vs oakdeon

Deadline for this week is <t:1752465540>

Realm Ruination Reunicluses (0) vs (0) Golden State Dusketballers
ORAS OU (Bo3): Always! vs Ruffles
ORAS OU (Bo1): Destro16 vs Typical_bastard
BW OU (Bo3): Duke Sux vs Monai
BW OU (Bo1): evakiyama! vs feen
DPP OU (Bo3): Gtcha vs Dababy2
DPP OU (Bo3): pixie909 vs 16bit
ADV OU (Bo3): Pak vs BIG WILL
ADV OU (Bo1): Johnald vs Kaboom
GSC OU (Bo3): leoperi vs melancholy0
GSC OU (Bo1): OmBrArch vs Seanobiwan
RBY OU (Bo3): GirlsSeeGhosts vs Sceptross
RBY OU (Bo3): RealJester vs Kristyl

Mauville Magnetons (0) vs (0) Dragon Dance Dynasty
ORAS OU (Bo3): Stories vs pj
ORAS OU (Bo1): cloud and book vs Hyssou
BW OU (Bo3): termnal vs nigel
BW OU (Bo1): eden vs Hockey1
DPP OU (Bo3): Dridri457 vs Leroipolux1
DPP OU (Bo3): Career Ended vs 199 Lives
ADV OU (Bo3): gorgie vs Deezcastforms
ADV OU (Bo1): leng loi vs Skarpherim
GSC OU (Bo3): ExguardiaN vs le LLiolae
GSC OU (Bo1): Xrn vs Thor
RBY OU (Bo3): Sabelette vs Cow
RBY OU (Bo3): Maris Bonibell vs Teh

Jersey Shore Slowpokes (0) vs (0) New York Yanma
ORAS OU (Bo3): Tenebricite vs kingofking
ORAS OU (Bo1): BluBirD vs Drachenkeule
BW OU (Bo3): Sossa vs A Hero's Destiny
BW OU (Bo1): devin vs TyCarter
DPP OU (Bo3): Tizio Potente Ao vs Mendeez
DPP OU (Bo3): Plague vs BKC
ADV OU (Bo3): mayopockets vs Spreek
ADV OU (Bo1): mielke vs LpZ
GSC OU (Bo3): Iguana vs TibarnWasTaken
GSC OU (Bo1): hybone vs Underlying
RBY OU (Bo3): violet river vs BeeOrSomething
RBY OU (Bo3): Melbelle vs Laroxyl

Violet Vaporeons (0) vs (0) The Banette Bachelors
ORAS OU (Bo3): Metallica126 vs watashi
ORAS OU (Bo1): Baddy vs Savouras
BW OU (Bo3): Quarante8 vs BLJ mario
BW OU (Bo1): magialice vs Fusien
DPP OU (Bo3): SFG vs lighthouses
DPP OU (Bo3): elodin vs StepC
ADV OU (Bo3): EG Jhonx~ vs Colteor
ADV OU (Bo1): CyberOdin✝ vs Sheik :
GSC OU (Bo3): GLFGno7 vs DanceOfHearts
GSC OU (Bo1): CrossHeart vs Charmriah
RBY OU (Bo3): Unowndragon vs oligen1
RBY OU (Bo3): kjdaas vs oakdeon
 
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RBY OU (Bo3): GirlsSeeGhosts vs Sceptross
RBY OU (Bo3): RealJester vs Kristyl
RBY OU (Bo3): Sabelette vs Cow
RBY OU (Bo3): Maris Bonibell vs Teh
RBY OU (Bo3): violet river vs BeeOrSomething
RBY OU (Bo3): Melbelle vs Laroxyl
RBY OU (Bo3): Unowndragon vs oligen1
RBY OU (Bo3): kjdaas vs oakdeon
 
Playoff Scenarios going into the last week of regular season because it is the middle of the night for me so this is clearly the best time to do it and no games have been played yet.

Yanmas and Reunicluses have clinched playoff spots. The last two spots is really between 4 teams with two of those teams (Bannettes and Vaporeons) playing each other this week.

Dusketballers makes playoffs in the following scenarios:
- Win or Tie and you are in.

Dusketballers misses playoffs in the following scenarios:
- If Dusketballers lose against the Reunicluses 5-7 or 4-8; the Slowpokes win, AND the Vaporeons would need to win 9-3 or better for them to be leapfrogged on differential.
- If the Dusketballers lose against the Reunicluses 3-9, once again the Slowpokes win, AND Vaporeons win 8-4 or better
- If the Dusketballers lose 2-10 or worse. The Slowpokes win, and Vaporeons win

TLDR; Dusketballers would need a major collaspe and a lot to go wrong to miss playoffs.

Slowpokes makes playoffs in the following scenarios:
- Win and guaranteed.
- Tie and Vaporeons win 8-4 or worse. (if Vaporeons win 9-3 in this scenario, they are tied on differential which probably leads to a tiebreaker series?)
- Lose 5-7 and Bannettes only win 7-5.

Slowpokes misses playoffs in the following scenarios:
- Tie and Vaporeons win 10-2 or better.
- Lose and Vaporeons win.
- Lose 5-7 and Bannettes win 9-3 or better, if the loss is 4-8; Bannettes need to win 8-4 or better, if loss is 3-9 or worse, Bannettes only need to win to leapfrog on differential.

TLDR; The Slowpokes control their own destiny

Vaporeons make playoffs in the following scenarios:
- Win and Slowpokes lose
- Slowpokes tie, AND Vaporeons win 10-2 or better. (A 9-3 would force a tiebreaker)
- draw and Slowpokes lose 8-4 or worse

Vaporeons miss playoffs in the following scenarios:
- Lose or Draw
- Slowpokes win

TLDR: Pretty cut and dry for the Vaporeons, their fates basically depend on the Slowpokes-Yanmas series

Bannettes make playoffs in the following scenarios:
- Win 9-3 and Slowpokes lose, the number of games required goes down pending on how badly the Slowpokes lose; if Slowpokes lose 3-9, then Bannettes only need to win 8-4, if Slowpokes lose 2-10, then Bannettes only need to win.

Bannettes misses playoffs in the following scenarios:
- Tie or Lose
- Slowpokes tie or win

TLDR: Bannettes can't really control their own destiny too well but absolutely need to win.

Hopefully I didn't butcher this too badly

Edit: I forgot the Vapos have a scenario where they make it off a draw.
 
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Doing predicts of the important series because I am bored

Jersey Shore Slowpokes (5) vs (7) New York Yanma
ORAS OU (Bo3): Tenebricite vs kingofking-King is my goat, he’s proven that he is great at this tier and I believe his greater tier knowledge will hand him the dub here
ORAS OU (Bo1): BluBirD vs Drachenkeule-Bluebird’s the better player in this tier but I’m betting he’s self-sabotaging in the builder with some tomfoolery, and drach is def good enough to capitalize on wacky teams and play well
BW OU (Bo3): Sossa vs A Hero's Destiny-I’m not a bid Sossa fan, and AHD is the better player so I feel that he’ll win here
BW OU (Bo1): devin vs TyCarter-Devin’s motivation is questional, and ty will be wanting to go 6-1 to secure his multi-tier dominance
DPP OU (Bo3): Tizio Potente Ao vs Mendeez-tizio has been on a great run this tour, so I feel that he’ll outprep mendeez who’s playing the tier in the tour for the first time
DPP OU (Bo3): Plague vs BKC-If BKC actually stop making his movie and schedules a time this battle will be yams, fried catfish, and collard greens for him
ADV OU (Bo3): mayopockets vs Spreek-Mayo clutched up last week when her team needed her most, this has secured my confidence that mayo will also clutch up her battles once again in a do or die effort
ADV OU (Bo1): mielke vs LpZ-I have a feeling that Mielke will get haxxed, causing a total meltdown in a truly tragic fashion
GSC OU (Bo3): Iguana vs TibarnWasTaken-Iguana been having a rather mid tour, but I’d still take him over someone I’m not too familiar with with gsc accolade, even with a good record
GSC OU (Bo1): hybone vs Underlying-same as the above gsc matchup but with Ik underlying and I believe the hybone will bounce back to secure the positive record
RBY OU (Bo3): violet river vs BeeOrSomething-Bee has been putting up like an SGA type run this year. I believe that the Yanmas MVP will once again win big time to secure a near dominant yanmas season
RBY OU (Bo3): Melbelle vs Laroxyl-Laroxyl has had a fall from grace this tour while melbelle has been ringing the silent bell of a good tour, I expect another silent victory from her

Violet Vaporeons (7) vs (5) The Banette Bachelors
ORAS OU (Bo3): Metallica126 vs watashi-Metallica has literally been on a linsanity run this tour, i don’t see how it’ll stop at watashi
ORAS OU (Bo1): Baddy vs Savouras-Baddy has been having…a bad tour. Savouras has been even so I’m saying Savouras will prep and play better than baddy
BW OU (Bo3): Quarante8 vs BLJ mario-Yes Mario’s 4-1, but 48 is more experienced and calculated and I feel that young mario will feel the burdening pressure of having to clutch up which will lead to a collapse in his mental, this will be an interesting matchup
BW OU (Bo1): magialice vs Fusien-Fusien has not been able to adapt to bw ou, and Alice has enough skills and motivation to go for the 5-2 record
DPP OU (Bo3): SFG vs lighthouses-it’s lights out for lighthouses
DPP OU (Bo3): elodin vs StepC-Elodin’s him when it comes to DPP
ADV OU (Bo3): EG Jhonx~ vs Colteor-Will Johnx even show up???
ADV OU (Bo1): CyberOdin✝ vs Sheik :Shiek’s due for the win and I see it against mr opp’s contacted
GSC OU (Bo3): GLFGno7 vs Rubyblood-GLFGno’s has literally had the tour from hell and despair and death in the air. Having to face Rubyblood is like having to face griffith
GSC OU (Bo1): CrossHeart vs Charmriah-After having a good tour so far with beating Laroxyl, charm will use the power of “hey girlie” to break the heart of cross, you go girlie
RBY OU (Bo3): Unowndragon vs oligen1-I’ve been a fan of UD so nice to see he’s been having a not bad season, I think that this will be an close match but UD has defeated better opps in the past so will bold him here
RBY OU (Bo3): kjdaas vs oakdeon-Honestly this matchup, like the tier itself, is a total coinflip
 
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