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RoAPL RoAPL XII - Week 3

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Aleksanteri

Goomy is our lord and savior
is a Forum Moderatoris a Community Contributor
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Artwork by 0NI​
  • Follow all rules listed here.
  • Schedule via Smogon VMs. It's easier for me to make decisions for activity calls when I can actually see what went down with scheduling.
  • If you are unable to schedule with your opponent, please let your managers know ASAP so they can communicate that to me or the other team's managers for a potential substitute.
  • Substitutions may be made after a week has started. When making a substitution, please tag myself, the managers of the opposing team, and all of the players affected by the substitute to ensure that everyone is made aware. Players who have already played in the week or were subbed out in the same week cannot be subbed back in.
  • If a match remains incomplete by the time of the deadline, it will be subject to an activity call.
  • Replays are mandatory. Not only are they useful for confirming wins, they contribute to usage stats and allow the people who couldn't watch the games live to watch them later.
  • Managers: Please send me your lineups in the same format that I used to post pairings. It makes it much easier to post future rounds more quickly
>>Spreadsheet<<
>>Replays and usage<<

:reuniclus: Realm Ruination Reunicluses (6) vs (4) Golden State Dusketballers :dusclops:
BW OU: Ale Duncan vs Dababy2
BW OU (Bo3): dice vs Monai
DPP OU (Bo3): Django vs Larry
DPP OU (Bo3): DazzlingCream vs Mustounet
ADV OU: PHB11677 vs mielke
ADV OU (Bo3): Figull400 vs Zpanther
GSC OU: shiloh vs BIG WILL
GSC OU (Bo3): Seanobiwan vs The_App
RBY OU (Bo3): Unowndragon vs RealJester
RBY OU (Bo3): SoulWind vs Kristyl

:tangela: Mobius Strip Masters (6) vs (4) Yishui Slowpokes :slowpoke:

BW OU: Fusien vs JabbaTheGriffin
BW OU (Bo3): Posho vs magialice
DPP OU (Bo3): LNumbers vs TyCarter
DPP OU (Bo3): QWILY vs 16bit
ADV OU: Kaboom vs Plague
ADV OU (Bo3): Endill vs Padeli
GSC OU: melancholy0 vs hybone
GSC OU (Bo3): vani vs summer islands
RBY OU (Bo3): Ctown6 vs violet river
RBY OU (Bo3): virae vs Melbelle

:abomasnow: Arctic Abomasnows (3) vs (7) Chompions League :garchomp:

BW OU: Duke Sux vs Baddy
BW OU (Bo3): Nalorium vs Quarante8
DPP OU (Bo3): crying vs Tenebricite
DPP OU (Bo3): Fakes vs monchooo
ADV OU: Rambode vs Spreek
ADV OU (Bo3): pkThunderbolt vs Pak
GSC OU: Kingler vs Premonitions
GSC OU (Bo3): Estuardo19 vs Underlying
RBY OU (Bo3): oakdeon vs GirlsSeeGhosts
RBY OU (Bo3): NotVeryCake vs Ulti Bastion

:magneton: Mauville Magnetons (8) vs (2) Banette Bachelors :banette:

BW OU: MichaelderBeste2 vs Cow
BW OU (Bo3): evakiyama! vs Wesleyy
DPP OU (Bo3): Shitrock enjoyer vs Gtcha
DPP OU (Bo3): Airi vs Le Don
ADV OU: Sato07 vs THE_CHUNGLER
ADV OU (Bo3): Janis105 vs Zelph
GSC OU: NoName6293 vs eden
GSC OU (Bo3): gorgie vs CrossHeart
RBY OU (Bo3): KeshBa54 vs Maris Bonibelle
RBY OU (Bo3): YBW vs SamuelBest

:reuniclus: Realm Ruination Reunicluses (0) vs (0) Golden State Dusketballers :dusclops:
BW OU: Ale Duncan vs Dababy2
BW OU (Bo3): dice vs Monai
DPP OU (Bo3): Django vs Larry
DPP OU (Bo3): DazzlingCream vs Mustounet
ADV OU: pixie909 vs mielke
ADV OU (Bo3): Figull400 vs Zpanther
GSC OU: shiloh vs BIG WILL
GSC OU (Bo3): Seanobiwan vs The_App
RBY OU (Bo3): Unowndragon vs RealJester
RBY OU (Bo3): SoulWind vs Kristyl

:tangela: Mobius Strip Masters (0) vs (0) Yishui Slowpokes :slowpoke:

BW OU: Fusien vs JabbaTheGriffin
BW OU (Bo3): Posho vs magialice
DPP OU (Bo3): LNumbers vs TyCarter
DPP OU (Bo3): QWILY vs 16bit
ADV OU: Kaboom vs Plague
ADV OU (Bo3): Endill vs Padeli
GSC OU: melancholy0 vs hybone
GSC OU (Bo3): vani vs summer islands
RBY OU (Bo3): Ctown6 vs violet river
RBY OU (Bo3): virae vs Melbelle

:abomasnow: Arctic Abomasnows (0) vs (0) Chompions League :garchomp:

BW OU: Duke Sux vs Baddy
BW OU (Bo3): Nalorium vs Quarante8
DPP OU (Bo3): crying vs Tenebricite
DPP OU (Bo3): Fakes vs monchooo
ADV OU: Rambode vs Spreek
ADV OU (Bo3): pkThunderbolt vs Pak
GSC OU: cyberacc vs Premonitions
GSC OU (Bo3): Estuardo19 vs Underlying
RBY OU (Bo3): oakdeon vs GirlsSeeGhosts
RBY OU (Bo3): NotVeryCake vs Ulti Bastion

:magneton: Mauville Magnetons (0) vs (0) Banette Bachelors :banette:

BW OU: MichaelderBeste2 vs Cow
BW OU (Bo3): evakiyama! vs Wesleyy
DPP OU (Bo3): Shitrock enjoyer vs Gtcha
DPP OU (Bo3): Airi vs Le Don
ADV OU: Sato07 vs THE_CHUNGLER
ADV OU (Bo3): Janis105 vs Zelph
GSC OU: NoName6293 vs eden
GSC OU (Bo3): gorgie vs CrossHeart
RBY OU (Bo3): KeshBa54 vs Maris Bonibelle
RBY OU (Bo3): YBW vs SamuelBest

Ping us if there any errors, we are human after all.​
 
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New round of predicts

BW OU: Ale Duncan vs Dababy2 55-45, solid matchup between two men who know each other quite well. I believe Ale has a slight edge, up to small child numero dos to cook in the builder.
BW OU (Bo3): dice vs Monai 55-45, dice looked really solid so far with some nice teams. I would argue he looked sharper than rat in game so I'm giving him the edge. Prolly one of the more interesting series with dice's far-fetched teams vs Monai's more to-the-book ones, hype matchup.


BW OU: Fusien vs JabbaTheGriffin 50-50, no idea. Im very unfamiliar with Fusien's BW and Jabba has only one game on the table. Coinflip it is.
BW OU (Bo3): Posho vs magialice 60-40, alice looked trouble vs rat last week while Posho got subbed out. Assuming they both are here and giving their all I think Posho should be favoured.

BW OU: MichaelderBeste2 vs Cow 40-60, while mdb has been solid I still want to believe in Cow. This is the one matchup to come back from early 0-2.
BW OU (Bo3): evakiyama! vs Wesleyy 65-35, since Cow is out of bo3 Wesley has to go there. He should be fine assuming Cow can give him a lot of help in prep. I just think eva is much better.

Cheers
 
predicting only 48s team bc he didn't get to
BW OU: Duke Sux vs Baddy 55-45, duke is a pretty strong player imo, 2-0 with one clean and one not-so-clean win. baddy was playing quite aggressively, i can see him outplaying though i think duke will probably get the builder advantage, and could also outplay. i enjoyed watching baddy vs victorias delibirds.
BW OU (Bo3): Nalorium vs Quarante8 49-51, pretty even matchup? 48s been getting the short end of the stick matchup-wise imo which may mean he needs to shake things up a little but i enjoyed watching his play. big fan of the 48 vs posho g3 where he gets a drill back to full from 20%. https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/smogtours-gen5ou-936894. nalo seemed to be playing a littttle off g1 last week though he cleaned up well
 
BW OU: Ale Duncan vs Dababy2

Matchup of the week. This feels like we're seeing Kanye vs Drake.

Let's see which teams these 2 will bring. I think you two lil pups should do a gentlemen agreement to bo3. that's what the fans want and we tryna feast watching y'all so don't disrespect us whatsoever.

Hopefully these 2 will bring some good teams and not standard bs. y'all lil pups need to bring something like metal sound zapdos or xatu.

i'll be there no matter what.
 
IMG_2242.jpg

We rebound

:reuniclus: Realm Ruination Reunicluses (10) vs (0) Golden State Dusketballers :dusclops:

BW OU: Ale Duncan vs Dababy2
BW OU (Bo3): dice vs Monai
DPP OU (Bo3): Django vs Larry
DPP OU (Bo3): DazzlingCream vs Mustounet
ADV OU: pixie909 vs mielke
ADV OU (Bo3): Figull400 vs Zpanther
GSC OU: shiloh vs BIG WILL
GSC OU (Bo3): Seanobiwan vs The_App
RBY OU (Bo3): Unowndragon vs RealJester
RBY OU (Bo3): SoulWind vs Kristyl

:tangela: Mobius Strip Masters (5) vs (5) Yishui Slowpokes :slowpoke:

BW OU: Fusien vs JabbaTheGriffin
BW OU (Bo3): Posho vs magialice
DPP OU (Bo3): LNumbers vs TyCarter
DPP OU (Bo3): QWILY vs 16bit
ADV OU: Kaboom vs Plague
ADV OU (Bo3): Endill vs Padeli
GSC OU: melancholy0 vs hybone
GSC OU (Bo3): vani vs summer islands
RBY OU (Bo3): Ctown6 vs violet river
RBY OU (Bo3): virae vs Melbelle

:abomasnow: Arctic Abomasnows (4) vs (6) Chompions League :garchomp:

BW OU: Duke Sux vs Baddy
BW OU (Bo3): Nalorium vs Quarante8
DPP OU (Bo3): crying vs Tenebricite
DPP OU (Bo3): Fakes vs monchooo
ADV OU: Rambode vs Spreek
ADV OU (Bo3): pkThunderbolt vs Pak
GSC OU: cyberacc vs Premonitions
GSC OU (Bo3): Estuardo19 vs Underlying
RBY OU (Bo3): oakdeon vs GirlsSeeGhosts
RBY OU (Bo3): NotVeryCake vs Ulti Bastion

:magneton: Mauville Magnetons (4) vs (6) Banette Bachelors :banette:

BW OU: MichaelderBeste2 vs Cow
BW OU (Bo3): evakiyama! vs Wesleyy
DPP OU (Bo3): Shitrock enjoyer vs Gtcha
DPP OU (Bo3): Airi vs Le Don
ADV OU: Sato07 vs THE_CHUNGLER
ADV OU (Bo3): Janis105 vs Zelph
GSC OU: NoName6293 vs eden
GSC OU (Bo3): gorgie vs CrossHeart
RBY OU (Bo3): KeshBa54 vs Maris Bonibelle
RBY OU (Bo3): YBW vs SamuelBest​
 
Predictions, kill PZ edition

:reuniclus: Realm Ruination Reunicluses (3) vs (7) Golden State Dusketballers :dusclops:
BW OU: Ale Duncan vs Dababy2
BW OU (Bo3): dice vs Monai
DPP OU (Bo3): Django vs Larry
DPP OU (Bo3): DazzlingCream vs Mustounet
ADV OU: pixie909 vs mielke
ADV OU (Bo3): Figull400 vs Zpanther
GSC OU: shiloh vs BIG WILL
GSC OU (Bo3): Seanobiwan vs The_App
RBY OU (Bo3): Unowndragon vs RealJester
RBY OU (Bo3): SoulWind vs Kristyl

:tangela: Mobius Strip Masters (4) vs (6) Yishui Slowpokes :slowpoke:

BW OU: Fusien vs JabbaTheGriffin
BW OU (Bo3): Posho vs magialice
DPP OU (Bo3): LNumbers vs TyCarter
DPP OU (Bo3): QWILY vs 16bit
ADV OU: Kaboom vs Plague
ADV OU (Bo3): Endill vs Padeli
GSC OU: melancholy0 vs hybone
GSC OU (Bo3): vani vs summer islands
RBY OU (Bo3): Ctown6 vs violet river
RBY OU (Bo3): virae vs Melbelle

:magneton: Mauville Magnetons (4) vs (6) Banette Bachelors :banette:

BW OU: MichaelderBeste2 vs Cow
BW OU (Bo3): evakiyama! vs Wesleyy
DPP OU (Bo3): Shitrock enjoyer vs Gtcha
DPP OU (Bo3): Airi vs Le Don
ADV OU: Sato07 vs THE_CHUNGLER
ADV OU (Bo3): Janis105 vs Zelph
GSC OU: NoName6293 vs eden
GSC OU (Bo3): gorgie vs CrossHeart
RBY OU (Bo3): KeshBa54 vs Maris Bonibelle
RBY OU (Bo3): YBW vs SamuelBest

:abomasnow: Arctic Abomasnows (10) vs (0) Chompions League :garchomp:

0 SpA Abomasnow Frost Breath vs. 0 HP / 0 SpD Garchomp on a critical hit: 372-444 (104.2 - 124.3%) -- guaranteed OHKO
 
ADV OU: pixie909 vs mielke

highlight pairing that could easily go either way. both players will be scouting and prepping hard, so if either one brings one of their comfort teams I think they're cooked. giving the slight edge to mielke because I think he's a little more unpredictable in the builder.

ADV OU (Bo3): Figull400 vs Zpanther

pretty close pairing as well. both players often bring teams with a lot of issues but I think Zpanther's a bit more solid in-game. another one that is close to 50/50.

ADV OU: Kaboom vs Plague

Kaboom has achieved more in this tier than Plague has, two consecutive years making it to invitational through playins is no mean feat. gonna say around 60/40 in kaboom's favour here.

ADV OU (Bo3): Endill vs Padeli

I think Padeli's super solid but it takes a lot to get me to bold against endill. endill pretty convincingly defeated two of the sharks of the pool so far, so I back him to take on padeli pretty comfortably.

ADV OU: Rambode vs Spreek

spreek is broken.

ADV OU (Bo3): pkThunderbolt vs Pak

pak is 0-2 but hasn't looked bad in either game. i trust in his playing ability to turn it around into a positive record.

ADV OU: Sato07 vs THE_CHUNGLER

THE_CHUNGLER is just less experienced in this tier. Sato is very likely to just use standard-looking teams though, so chungler could be able to navigate the matchup pretty well. still pretty inclined to say Sato takes this off experience alone.

ADV OU (Bo3): Janis105 vs Zelph

Janis has looked great in ADVPL and Jimvitational recently and it's been about a year since I've seen Zelph actively play this tier.
 
5W | 3L | 8 invalid - Positive, but were a bit inaccurate and didn't take into account the outside factors that could have helped me to be more accurate with the predictions. Missed week 2 as well, so that belongs to the invalid aspect, alright.

DPP OU: Django vs Larry
Both of them aren't that far apart in terms of skill, even if I think Larry's at a slight advantage. But the buildings Django has used in the past two weeks feel too extremely specific that he sacrifices too many matchups vs the general stuff, and the synergy of the teams feels too underwhelming in my taste. I'm not sure if it's him or the person that builds them, but all I can say is that I'd not use these types of teams vs anyone else, and it won't age well. Larry however, doesn't have any teams I'd be too critical of besides that insane Roserade + Double Ghost, but he often backs up having above-average plays. I'll give it 60:40 for Larry here.

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Also, this set is some mien ass set bruh, definitely insane type of preparation lol.

DPP OU: DazzlingCream vs Mustounet
Most likely the player matchup where both players tend to be honest with their builds, with minimal abuse on para and having a bit one-dimensional but solid builds vs all around. So it comes to who is the better player, and I think Hugo's more willing to make plays and having a bit more awareness makes him not too reliant on the strong flowchart/synergy from the team, while Mustounet is someone I feel like that doesn't make fault, but when he needs to make a play or are at disadvantage, he's kind of unable to execute that properly esp I feel like he gets too carried by the team's flowchart. Either way, I think this set will be extremely hype, for we will see some great DPP games from high-top players, especially when both are capable players and strong builders. I'll give it 51:49, just how it can be anyone's game.

DPP OU: LNumbers vs TyCarter
LNumbers has steadily been improving, so I assume it's for the Classic Cups...? Either way, LNumbers does have these struggles where he has "tendencies" to click, often feeling it lacks intent, I suppose if that's the right word. There's also that he has recently been playing DPP OU; he suffers from knowledge experience, and therefore the uncertainty will make him unable to make the right predictions on preview or make the great plays. TyCarter has his share of flaws whenever he makes builds bc it feels too paranoid, and there are clear preferences on what mons/structure he will bring, but I think his knowledge and understanding of adding positions to make LNumbers uncomfortable with his awareness state will come in handy here. TyCarter also has the plays and the intent that highlights the strengths of his team to progress, despite how flawed if you view his build vs the general meta. So I think TyCarter will win this one like 55:45. But a fun one is like if either of the players win G1, either of them needs to lock in for G2 or else the opposing G2 Winner will gain enough momentum to win the next one personally. A bit wild that doesn't make most sense, but I feel like losing G2 does put more mental strain as opposed to losing G1 for both players.

DPP OU: QWILY vs 16bit
Similar to W1, QWILY's the best clicker while 16bit has the better builds. What's probably odd for me is if 16bit's builds work well enough vs QWILY builds, or let's be real, Lazuli's build. Mostly because Lazuli teams have some unorthodox ways to progress, so if 16bit doesn't take account of that, he won't be able to beat QWILY at all. It's not like Lazuli has Seven Thunders type of "reverse engineering" ass builds, but you shouldn't exactly approach against Lazuli's build as super traditionally, and QWILY is capable of playing with like most teams with minimal faults. I think Fakes's set highlights some of that. But either way, I still bet on QWILY because even a bit worse MU, I think he's still capable of winning, and if 16bit gets a bad MU idt he can genuinely make up with the plays in order to win the set. Probably around 58:42 towards QWILY imo.

DPP OU: Crying vs Tenebricite
I like Tenebricite, but I don't believe he's beating Crying, and I'd be mad surprised if so, just because Crying has better plays, better builds, and is backed up with better knowledge with fewer faults. Maybe Tene wins if he gets a matchup he can play comfort on, but this is like 70:30 for Crying, and Tenebricite needs to be super precise and accurate with his turns, as Crying can be dirty with the DPP knowledge lol.

DPP OU: Fakes vs Monchooo
Kinda hype even though it's like 65:35 MU for Fakes. Both of them like to be creative in the way they progress the game, as their DPP knowledge is kinda on par based on their builds alone. But that's about the even part because Fakes is far ahead of Monchooo in terms of the meta, and Fakes is also the better player. I think Monchooo will be treated like Qwily from Week 2, but I'd be very happy if Monchooo wins a game :))))

DPP OU: Shitrock enjoyer vs Gtcha
DPP OU: Airi vs Le Don
I do not want to put so much effort into writing this team's prediction because it's gonna just end me saying favoured for Banette Bachelors in 65:35 - 70:30. I'm just looking at Magneton's DPP, and I'm like, bro, what tf is this draft, and it makes me wonder how much PDC/Tycarter teams they're using because I know my ass that they need at least someone outside to help this slot to win. All of Magneton's players are capable players that need to have support, especially on post-ban sleep, which is still relatively new and not established at all. I don't see Airi being able to help enough for Sossa/Shitrock enjoyer, as he himself got supported in the Chinese PL this year lol. A bit unfortunate drafting, but I'd blame managers at this point for having such a flawed draft on DPP. Their DPP draft in the past two years has been lackluster, especially compared to their 2023 run with Le Don and Pideous's score. Hopefully I'm proven wrong because this isn't a trend anyone wants to have.
 
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