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The World Cup of Pokémon 2025 - Qualifiers - tb at 293 / 341 | R2 @ 358

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Ahora qué hago con esto?

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Some thoughts about tiebreak possibilities. We have to tiebreak either 5 or 6 teams into one preferential spot (2nd seed) and 4 other spots (seeds 3-6), which would in theory then play again for another 2 spots. Or alternatively, 5/6 teams for 3 spots. I'll be using the UK for my examples but rest assured i'm praying for their downfall.

If Latin America wins the last game we have 6 teams tied at 12-8, which technically makes them all 2nd seed and also seeds 3-6, so we can skip the middleman of a second seed autoqualifying and just pair the teams up off of strength of schedule or H2H and have them play each other directly for the 3 spots.
Argentina vs UK
LA vs Asia
Mexico vs Netherlands
or what have you

If Latin America loses, we need a way to advance 1 team from the 5, and then have the remaining 4 play each other for the last 2 spots. this can be accomplished via each team playing every other team in a bo3 of SV OU and a tier of each team's choice, but unlike in a regular tiebreak, this would be based on wins, not elimination. So even if UK wins SV OU and their own tier, they still need to play the game in Asia's tier. Each team can slot the same player up to twice in different TBs. So Team UK can slot stresh in both SV OU vs Asia and in SS OU vs Netherlands if they so choose. Based on the precedent from WCOP 2019.

This is 12 games per team, so assuming any given player has a 50% chance to win would result in roughly a 71% chance of either no tiebreak or a 3 way tiebreak for 1st, in which case we just advance those 3 teams outright. If 2 teams tie for first, they play each other head to head, winner gets in, loser joins the remaining 3 teams in 2 head to heads for the last 2 spots. If 4 teams tie for first, then they play 2 head to heads, and the losers play another head to head for the last slot. There is only a 1% chance of a 5 way tie.

So a Focus Blast's chance of getting it done in 2 weeks, and always* done in 3 weeks.

UK is 1st seed alone:
UK Advances
Argentina vs Mexico
Asia vs Netherlands

UK and Asia tie for 1st seed:
UK vs Asia for a spot, UK wins
Asia vs Netherlands
Argentina vs Mexico

UK, Asia and Mexico tie for 1st seed:
They advance.

UK, Asia, Mexico and Argentina tie for 1st seed:
UK vs Asia, UK wins and advances
Mexico vs Argentina, Mexico wins and advances
Asia vs Argentina

*All 5 teams go 6-6:
we cancel WCOP

Now regardless of the LA game, if the TDs want to maximize hype we can realize the dream of a 24 team WCOP. simply have South Korea and Spain play head to head to determine who gets the 24th seed and advance 8 teams into WCOP. Bottom 6 seeds get relegated next year. Clearly all of these teams are about the same level, and if any of them are worthy of the main event they all are. This is the one situation i'm not even against running a poll of the main event teams to determine if it's feasible.
 
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