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ZUPL VIII - Week 4

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Eledyr

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Hosted by Eledyr and Murphy Lawden.

Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Week 6 | Week 7 | Semifinals | Finals
Administrative decisions | Replays and Usages | Spreadsheet

Rules​
  • Follow all rules listed here.​
  • Schedule via Smogon VMs. It's easier for us to make decisions for activity calls when we can actually see what went down with scheduling.​
  • If you are unable to schedule with your opponent, please let your managers know ASAP so they can communicate that to us or the other team's managers for a potential substitute.​
  • Substitutions may be made after a week as started. When making a substitution, please tag myself, the managers of the opposing team, and all of the players affected by the substitute to ensure that everyone is made aware. Players who have already played in the week or were subbed out in the same week cannot be subbed back in.​
  • If a match remains incomplete by the time of the deadline, it will be subject to an activity call.​
  • Post replays. Not only are they useful for confirming wins, they contribute to usage stats and allow the people who couldn't watch the games live to watch them later. They're also required.​
:spiritomb:Mossui Town Spiritombs (6) vs (4) The Collective:magneton:
SV ZU: THE_CHUNGLER vs Sagazinha
SV ZU: Scarf Kricketune vs Tempo di anguria
SV ZU: TwentyTwan vs PlayaBeavs
SS ZU: Sificon vs feen
SM ZU: Meth Master vs neomon
ORAS ZU: Regiboob vs DD Joe
BW ZU: Monai vs 5Dots
DPP ZU: Tizio vs Heysup
ADV ZU: Melninja vs Zcarlett
SmogTours Bo3 (SV, SS, SM): Terracotta vs seraphz

:grumpig:The HAMSLAPS (4) vs (6) Morpeek-A-Boos:morpeko:
SV ZU: Baddy vs MemphisDepay
SV ZU: Ruffles vs DripLegend
SV ZU: mipc vs Gom
SS ZU: TakingNotesKinda vs Ninja
SM ZU: btboy vs Kasp
ORAS ZU: Shaneghoul vs HAVOCKNIGHT
BW ZU: skrimps vs PoseidonWrath
DPP ZU: sky vs Plague
ADV ZU: big tony 2014 vs BeatsBlack
SmogTours Bo3 (SV, SS, SM): Leni vs Toto

:butterfree:To Pimp A Butterfree (5) vs (5) Humilau Hakamo-os:hakamo-o:
SV ZU: aerobee vs Zong200
SV ZU: Leroipolux vs Dead by Daylight
SV ZU: Kafkafka vs Cammellia白山茶
SS ZU: clean vs Yovan
SM ZU: hex vs a fruitshop owner
ORAS ZU: NoName6293 vs Charles A. Theist
BW ZU: Xrn vs Nara
DPP ZU: tier vs Finchely
ADV ZU: LustfulLice vs Hachimaki
SmogTours Bo3 (SV, SS, SM): OranBerryBlissey10 vs Greybaum


:cherrim-sunshine:Sacred Sakura (3) vs (7) The Mega Launchers:clawitzer:
SV ZU: hxmo vs brick
SV ZU: One Last Kiss vs plznostep
SV ZU: Micciu vs PTKmoekyuun
SS ZU: Jojen vs crow crumbs
SM ZU: eldids vs MZ
ORAS ZU: DugZa vs The Strap
BW ZU: Wesleyy vs Huargensy
DPP ZU: HSOWA vs Django
ADV ZU: SEA vs Fragments
SmogTours Bo3 (SV, SS, SM): Shadow079 vs diego


Deadline for Week 4 is <t:1786939200:F>, GLHF!

Mossui Town Spiritombs vs The Collective
SV ZU: THE_CHUNGLER vs Sagazinha
SV ZU: Scarf Kricketune vs Tempo di anguria
SV ZU: TwentyTwan vs PlayaBeavs
SS ZU: Sificon vs feen
SM ZU: Meth Master vs neomon
ORAS ZU: Regiboob vs DD Joe
BW ZU: Monai vs 5Dots
DPP ZU: Tizio vs Heysup
ADV ZU: Melninja vs Zcarlett
Smogtours Bo3 (SV, SS, SM): Terracotta vs seraphz

The HAMSLAPS vs Morpeek-A-Boos
SV ZU: Baddy vs MemphisDepay
SV ZU: Ruffles vs DripLegend
SV ZU: mipc vs Gom
SS ZU: TakingNotesKinda vs Ninja
SM ZU: btboy vs Kasp
ORAS ZU: Shaneghoul vs Havocknight
BW ZU: skrimps vs PoseidonWrath
DPP ZU: sky vs Plague
ADV ZU: big tony 2014 vs BeatsBlack
Smogtours Bo3 (SV, SS, SM): Leni vs Toto

To Pimp A Butterfree vs Humilau Hakamo-os
SV ZU: aerobee vs Zong200
SV ZU: Leroipolux vs Dead By Daylight
SV ZU: Kafkafka vs Cammellia白山茶
SS ZU: clean vs Yovan
SM ZU: hex vs a fruitshop owner
ORAS ZU: NoName6293 vs Charles A. Theist
BW ZU: Xrn vs Nara
DPP ZU: tier vs Finchely
ADV ZU: LustfulLice vs hachimaki
Smogtours Bo3 (SV, SS, SM): OranBerryBlissey10 vs Greybaum


Sacred Sakura vs The Mega Launchers
SV ZU: hxmo vs brick
SV ZU: One Last Kiss vs plznostep
SV ZU: Micciu vs PTKmoekyuun
SS ZU: Jojen vs crow crumbs
SM ZU: eldids vs MZ
ORAS ZU: DugZa vs The Strap
BW ZU: Wesleyy vs Indulge in dreams
DPP ZU: HSOWA vs Django
ADV ZU: SEA vs Fragments
Smogtours Bo3 (SV, SS, SM): Shadow079 vs diego

Let us know if there are errors, we are human after all.​
 
Last edited by a moderator:
how has noone predicted yet ? gotta do everything myself

Mossui Town Spiritombs (5) vs (5) The Collective
SV ZU: THE_CHUNGLER vs Sagazinha - I know he's hasn't won much yet but he's still that guy
SV ZU: Scarf Kricketune vs Tempo di anguria - on a roll
SV ZU: TwentyTwan vs PlayaBeavs - I believe both players are familiar with eachother's styles so that'll be interesting
SS ZU: Sificon vs feen - two leaders far from home
SM ZU: Meth Master vs neomon - Zpice loves mailing polar bears to arlington texas
ORAS ZU: Regiboob vs DD Joe - he's him
BW ZU: Monai vs 5Dots - common sense bolds Monai but my gambling addiction bolds 5Dots
DPP ZU: Tizio vs Heysup - not gonna act like I know DPP
ADV ZU: Melninja vs Zcarlett - I flipped a coin
Smogtours Bo3 (SV, SS, SM): Terracotta vs seraphz - this is the week of the Terracotta

The HAMSLAPS (5) vs (5) Morpeek-A-Boos
SV ZU: Baddy vs MemphisDepay - not bolding Baddy aginst peko SV would be crazy
SV ZU: Ruffles vs DripLegend - random bullshit vs sample team type beat
SV ZU: mipc vs Gom - idk I played mipc in ssnl he was good so there you go
SS ZU: TakingNotesKinda vs Ninja - not even saying anything
SM ZU: btboy vs Kasp - Kasp has been surprising everyone with innovative tech every week, I wonder what team they'll surprise the crowd with this time
ORAS ZU: Shaneghoul vs Havocknight - that joke about changing his name before the end of the tour in PRs was pretty funny
BW ZU: skrimps vs PoseidonWrath - how many times can I make the 8.5 joke before it stops being funny ?
DPP ZU: sky vs Plague - sky lowkey travelling
ADV ZU: big tony 2014 vs BeatsBlack - go ADV tony
Smogtours Bo3 (SV, SS, SM): Leni vs Toto - losing to Greybaum is expected, toto still kinda good

Sacred Sakura (7) vs (3) The Mega Launchers
SV ZU: hxmo vs brick - it's his tour rn
SV ZU: One Last Kiss vs plznostep - Baddy upscale
SV ZU: Micciu vs PTKmoekyuun -
SS ZU: Jojen vs crow crumbs - idk Jojen seems to have it
SM ZU: eldids vs MZ - it's heartbreaking but eldids specifially asked me not to bold him
ORAS ZU: DugZa vs The Strap - running out of inspiration on what to write sometimes
BW ZU: Wesleyy vs Indulge in dreams - like what am I even supposed to write here
DPP ZU: HSOWA vs Django - do I just write "hey it's the DPP guy ! shoe eating anyone ?" and that's funny ?
ADV ZU: SEA vs Fragments - maybe I should do some wordplay ? "SEA is a tsunami crushing the ADV pool" that's sounds pretty goofy let's not do that
Smogtours Bo3 (SV, SS, SM): Shadow079 vs diego - on paper this is just a SV bo1 and we all know diego doesn't appreciate bo1s
 
smth smth 'i bolded someone' ok gn

Mossui Town Spiritombs (6) vs (4) The Collective
SV ZU: THE_CHUNGLER vs Sagazinha (CHUNGY goat, and saga has very little tier experience if any)
SV ZU: Scarf Kricketune vs Tempo di anguria (sk is HIM im zu)
SV ZU: TwentyTwan vs PlayaBeavs (beavs will be able to prep around twentytwan crack)
SS ZU: Sificon vs feen (sifi's only win is sun, think feen can take it)
SM ZU: Meth Master vs neomon (logic says bold neomon but i wanna see what the meth master cooks up)
ORAS ZU: Regiboob vs DD Joe (i think im forgetting how him dd joe is, which unfortunately means no regibold)
BW ZU: Monai vs 5Dots (monai)
DPP ZU: Tizio vs Heysup (yes)
ADV ZU: Melninja vs Zcarlett (vibes)
Smogtours Bo3 (SV, SS, SM): Terracotta vs seraphz (W tomb set last week)

To Pimp A Butterfree (5) vs (5) Humilau Hakamo-os
SV ZU: aerobee vs Michael Jordan (MJ didnt load a sample last week)
SV ZU: Leroipolux vs Dead By Daylight (i was the sv dbd glazer in the PRs, who put this guy last?)
SV ZU: Kafkafka vs Cammellia白山茶 (the frees dont have an 0-3 SV on paper, but im not bolding against cammellia or mj and i think dbd is better than leroipolux)
SS ZU: clean vs Yovan (Y0-xvan)
SM ZU: hex vs a fruitshop owner (afo is more of a sm zu mainstay)
ORAS ZU: NoName6293 vs Charles A. Theist (now that im believing in the charles x-0 its not happening, sorry)
BW ZU: Xrn vs Nara (xrn)
DPP ZU: tier vs Finchely (am rooting for finch but tier has proven himself)
ADV ZU: LustfulLice vs hachimaki (W game. All of the audience wins. picked Lice because i think he'll be on top of the meta rn and i think its more interesting predict-wise)
Smogtours Bo3 (SV, SS, SM): OranBerryBlissey10 vs Greybaum (obb is a strong all-around player, and he kinda mains these tiers too)

Sacred Sakura (6) vs (4) The Mega Launchers
SV ZU: hxmo vs brick (hxmo)
SV ZU: One Last Kiss vs plznostep (steppy found an offensive ground in this economy)
SV ZU: Micciu vs PTKmoekyuun (ptk is fun)
SS ZU: Jojen vs crow crumbs (tuthur is fixing jojen's record)
SM ZU: eldids vs MZ (sMZu)
ORAS ZU: DugZa vs The Strap (has more aura in the tier)
BW ZU: Wesleyy vs Indulge in dreams (Wesleyy is namier)
DPP ZU: HSOWA vs Django (just have a feeling django wins here)
ADV ZU: SEA vs Fragments (did lose to a water last week but theyre still SEA)
Smogtours Bo3 (SV, SS, SM): Shadow079 vs diego (lock in diego)
 
Mossui Town Spiritombs vs The Collective
SV ZU: THE_CHUNGLER vs Sagazinha - Chungler lost a very close game last week and has looked good in all his games. Idk who sagazinha is and it's a debut game, so chungler is the safe bet.
SV ZU: Scarf Kricketune vs Tempo di anguria - At the moment, 3-0 Scarf Kricketune looks like the only bright spot for the Spiritombs (one teammate is even and the rest negative). I haven't watched either players' games closely, so I'm picking SK mostly off his 3-0 record.
SV ZU: TwentyTwan vs PlayaBeavs - I think PlayaBeavs is better in-game. TwentyTwan made a costly misplay w2 and messed up the end-game, but played a pretty clean game last week and won. Both players have brought cool teams so far. It'll be fun to see what they cook up.
SS ZU: Sificon vs feen - I don't remember the last time feen played ss zu. Sificon has looked okay so far. Sificon's teams have looked relatively standard so far. The first two weeks, each team had trouble breaking certain walls. Last week the Tombs opted to Sun and Sificon upset clean. feen is a solid pilot and Baitwiz can supply an SS team, but the Collective are 0-3 in SS. Honestly this game is a toss-up to me. I have slightly more faith in Sificon.
SM ZU: Meth Master vs neomon - I'm not familiar with Meth Master. neomon has looked alright so far. He used an old team of mine last week which is somewhat outdated. I think neomon is a lot more experienced in this meta and in tours in general.
ORAS ZU: Regiboob vs DD Joe Already happened. I would've predicted DD Joe cuz he has looked more comfortable and experienced.
BW ZU: Monai vs 5Dots - 5dots is mr upset. 5dots is off to a hot 3-0 start, beating skrimps, xrn, and wesley. 5dots got a lucky break vs xrn w2 and had a strong win vs wesley last week. Monai is the better player and should be favoured. He bounced back last week by beating xrn. If I was putting money on this I'd bet on Monai. However, I'd like to see 5dots keep this up.
DPP ZU: Tizio vs Heysup - Heysup has looked better to me so far. Both players are 1-2 and bring some fun picks each week. For example, Munchlax from Tizio and Budew + Bastio from Heysup. I've teamed with Heysup a few times and I'm biased towards him. Heysup knows how to find win paths and it's impressive how he pulls some of his wins. This is the highlight DPP for me (aside from Plague vs Tony ofc).
ADV ZU: Melninja vs Zcarlett - Honestly I haven't paid too much attention to either player. I think Melninja knows ADV more, but Zcalrett had a huge upset win vs SEA last week. I'm probably reading too much into one win by giving it to Zcarlett.
Smogtours Bo3 (SV, SS, SM): Terracotta vs seraphz - seraphz has looked better so far. seraphz seem more consistent across SV and SS, and is 2-1 in SM. Terra had a rough loss last week to Toto. It feels like Terra has to farm SM to win a bo3 set because of his inexperience in SV and SS. He's 0-3 rn and I'm not sure the Tombs have anyone else that can slot in bo3 if the lineup has to change. I'm rooting for Terra because I want to see him come back, but it's been tough so far (and seraphz is 2-1).

To Pimp A Butterfree vs Humilau Hakamo-os
SV ZU: aerobee vs Michael Jordan - MJ is back and the Hakamo-os might just be the Wizards (no not the Smeargle kind). MJ was projected top of the pool and aerobee hasn't looked too good so far record-wise.
SV ZU: Leroipolux vs Dead By Daylight - I don't really know either player. Leropolux debuted last week and lost to TwentyTwan, while DBD has lost each week.
SV ZU: Kafkafka vs Cammellia白山茶
SS ZU: clean vs Yovan - I rate clean a lot higher than Yovan here. Yovan doesn't look to be in top form. clean doesn't look like his usual self either and I think he has leaned towards OBB-style teams weeks 1 and 3. I think clean wins handily unless Greybaum passes some heat.
SM ZU: hex vs a fruitshop owner - I checked both players' records and did a double take on afo's 0-3 record. Last week we got a lucky critting two of afo's wincons (idk if the second one changed the outcome though tbh). However, I trust afo to get a win here. He's favoured vs hex and hex isn't the hardest to prep for. Frankly though, idk how much the Hakamo-os care at this point because 0-3 makes the playoff picture look very bleak. If hex takes this one I wouldn't be that surprised.
ORAS ZU: NoName6293 vs Charles A. Theist - I'm rooting for Charles out of bias but it's hard to deny how good NoName is. NoName has shown he has the skill to farm the pool. After beating Havoc w1 and not losing since, idk if there's anyone left in the pool that beats NoName. Charles can take it if he brings a solid team and packs a knowledge check or two.
BW ZU: Xrn vs Nara
DPP ZU: tier vs Finchely - tier has looked pretty good and john or no john, he's been racking up wins. Finchley hasn't beat anyone yet (got an act win last week), though has looked decent in teambuilding + play.
ADV ZU: LustfulLice vs hachimaki - This should be a fun one. Both players are 2-1 and hachimaki's had the tougher schedule so far. I rate hachimaki pretty highly so I expect him to win. Lice has brought some creative picks and looked good in his games.
Smogtours Bo3 (SV, SS, SM): OranBerryBlissey10 vs Greybaum - Both OBB and Greybaum have looked solid so far. I'm too lazy to analyze each of their sets. To me, Greybaum has been the more creative player. His techs in SS have worked to perfection, like Custap Bem last week. OBB takes SV, SS is a toss-up, and SM goes to Greybaum imo. However, I think Greybaum wins in two off some anti-OBB techs.


Sacred Sakura vs The Mega Launchers
SV ZU: hxmo vs brick - Has looked better til now.
SV ZU: One Last Kiss vs plznostep - I'm more familiar with step.
SV ZU: Micciu vs PTKmoekyuun - I think PTK knows the meta better. I watched Micciu's games once over and he seemed solid.
SS ZU: Jojen vs crow crumbs - I wouldn't have guessed either Jojen nor crow crumbs would be undefeated by week 4. crow crumbs has been impressive. Iirc crow crumbs didn't do well in ZUWC, so maybe Diego's support is the difference. I've liked Jojen's teams and play some more than crow crumbs's, so I bolded Jojen. Sheddy + Hakamo stall is something else.
SM ZU: eldids vs MZ - Another battle of the 3-0s. eldids beat MZ in ZUWC playoffs, so I'm sure MZ has that somewhere in mind. eldids used HO weeks 1 and 2, and some bulky offense last week (stock went up on Head Charge Bouff). This is the highlight of the week for me and it's a tight mu. I don't want to discount MZ's 20-25 wins (or w/e it is) in SM ZU. While I want to bold eldids and think he'll cook something up, I can't deny sMZu. Hopefully I'm awake and catch this live.
ORAS ZU: DugZa vs The Strap - Dugza knows the meta better and is a top player. The Strap has looked good too, but similar to MZ, I don't want to discredit how consistently good Dugza has been.
BW ZU: Wesleyy vs Indulge in dreams
DPP ZU: HSOWA vs Django

ADV ZU: SEA vs Fragments - Tough to predict against SEA. I think there's a gap in skill here.
Smogtours Bo3 (SV, SS, SM): Shadow079 vs diego - I think a long set gives Shadow the advantage. I feel Diego has had some hiccups in certain sets, like giving Dodrio a free SD last week (and I think my SM team from w1 should've been updated or teched for Terra). Shadow has been pretty consistent so I think he'll win in three.

I was pretty busy this week and also procrastinated some on these predicts. I'll try to get them up earlier next week.
 
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