I don't know how you can say that Aegislash doesn't cause more 50/50s than other Pokemon because that's an objective fact that every top player has commented on. King's Shield generates 50/50s by nature of its function, except Aegislash has an advantage because it has the 50/50 and -2 Atk. This is what differentiates KS 50/50s from other 50/50s. I can make a list of 50/50s on the spot concerning Aegislash vs other OU Pokemon.
Char X - Flare Blitz or DD?
Bisharp - Knock Off, Sucker Punch, or Pursuit?
Diggersby - SD or EQ?
Mega Gyarados - DD or EQ?
Agent Gibbs addressed this issue in his eloquent
VR post. I'll copy-paste the relevant part:
Agent Gibbs said:
However, keep in mind that not all 50/50s are weighted in Aegislash's favor. For example, let's consider offensive DD Charizard X vs TankSlash. You have four basic scenarios:
Neither attack: In this case, Charizard X now has a free Dragon Dance and will destroy Aegislash the next turn and possibly sweep afterwards. This is an extremely dangerous scenario that can cost the Aegislash user the game depending on the circumstances.
Charizard X attacks: Charizard X is now at -2, but it can still deal an upwards of ~74% damage to Aegislash with Flare Blitz while Aegislash returns about the same amount back with Shadow Ball. Your Aegislash still needs to be pretty healthy to comfortably tank the hit, and if Charizard X has enough remaining health to tank a Shadow Sneak afterwards, you're forced into another 50/50 the next turn. Overall, though, this is probably Aegislash's best scenario, even though it'll be badly crippled even if it beats Charizard X.
Aegislash attacks: Charizard S now has a Dragon Dance, but Aegislash just picked off a lot its health. However, you get into an even worse 50/50 the next turn. Even if you catch a Flare Blitz with King's Shield, -1 Charizard X still does tons of damage with Flare Blitz, having a small chance to KO even if Aegislash is missing just 2% of its health.
Both attack: Charizard X wins this and gets out without a scratch outside of the Flare Blitz recoil.
So in this example, Charizard X beats Aegislash in two scenarios, possibly even sweeping in another. Even in the ones where the Aegislash user predicts perfectly, he still might have to face another 50/50 later on and really wants his Aegislash to be at good health in order to safely take on Charizard X. The risk/reward balance is definitely in favor of the Charizard X user. Now, obviously this is an extreme example that does not represent the whole, but I picked it in order to show that not every 50/50 that Aegislash forces will be in its favor. Still, you have to admit that it's pretty ridiculous when you have a Pokemon as powerful as Charizard X who actually struggles at allagainst a Pokemon weak to its super effective STAB attack based on a single move like King's Shield.
tl;dr - these 50:50s are not actually 50:50s. In this exchange, there's no denying that Charizard X has the upper hand, with Aegislash forced on the defensive. Even if Aegislash uses King's Shield and Charizard X attacks and have its Attack dropped to -2, Charizard X is still doing ~70% damage to Aegislash the following turn. In certain scenarios, Aegislash's best option is to simply attack, because your team cannot afford Charizard X to gain a Speed boost, in which case it's not even 50:50, unless you're an extreme risk taker. You also haven't considered the
additional options of either Aegislash or Charizard X switching out.
Also you mentioned other Pokemon where the move selection is not 50:50 in the slightest. The most egregious one is Bisharp, who has 0 drawbacks in spamming Knock Off thanks to Defiant. If eliminating Aegislash is high priority for your team, then Pursuit would probably be the safest choice to ensure that Aegislash is losing good chunk of its health. Mega Gyarados resists both Aegislash STAB moves, and have no drawback spamming EQ unless Aegislash is holding an Air Balloon (GL keeping the balloon intact, though). Watch out for Sacred Sword ofc, especially if it's a SD set. Mega Venusaur can use Sleep Powder or Leech Seed to bypass Aegislash's King's Shield.
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How does Aegislash invoke 50/50s when it has the option to 1) remain in Blade forme to Attack, 2) use King's Shield to regain Shield, 3) switch out to regain Shield? At this point it sounds like regular Pokemon to me. And yes, Pokemon is a game that frequently call for guesswork / "prediction." Should I make the obvious play and attack? Should I predict a switch to the obvious check and change moves / swap out? The same fundamental concept of Pokemon is applied to Aegislash.
And no, these "predictions" are not dice rolls. Usually if you weigh in the risk:reward of every situation, one option comes out on top over the other. That's the mathematical part of deciding your move. Then there's the "human side" of making your decision, where you gauge the player's pattern of how often he make risky/conservative plays or how aggresive/passive he plays. All of these analyses of the opponent player and the game situation helps a player to hone in on his or her decision. This is a type of "reading" skill that separates the powerful players from ordinary players. Against 2 high-leveled players this may seem to be reduced to dice rolls, but that's the nature of the game we call Pokemon, where we try to outsmart/bluff/guess our way to victory.
PS: I am not going to make any conclusive statement that Aegislash is broken or not, since it is indeed a very powerful and meta-defining Pokemon. That said, people should stop using "50:50 coinflips" as a justification to ban Aegislash.
Harsha said:
I also do not know how you can consider the 50/50 argument nonsense. It is the exact argument that banned Tornadus-T from BW OU.
Aegislash doesn't have U-turn and 121 base Speed, though :O