Sports NBA Thread: 2023-2024 Season

I predict Boston in 7. I like and respect what the Mavs has done. I just trust the math. Boston is great on both ends of the floors and they shoot the shit out of the ball.
 
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(1) Boston Celtics versus (5) Dallas Mavericks

"Everybody wants to win until it's really time to win. And then you have to nut up and do a lot of shit you don't want to do." Joe Muzulla

"This is their Super Bowl, this is a normal game for us." - Kyrie Irving on Minnesota


This series will be an excellent showcase of superstar talent versus depth. Dallas has two excellent shot-creators, play-finishers, and defenders. Boston has two versatile forwards, guards, and a center who can shoot and protect the rim in Porzingis. Boston is the better overall team, but Dallas has the best player. This type of finals matchup is the hardest to think about; especially when we add in the fact that Porzingis’ conditioning is a complete unknown.

X-factors: The biggest x-factor to me for both teams are Porzingis and Washington.

If Porzingis is healthy and knocking down threes, Boston has a significant offensive advantage that will win them the series. Boston’s offense is unlike any Dallas has come across. I would imagine it’s a combination of LA Clippers and Oklahoma City’s: excellent perimeter drivers and shooters, and two forwards who can target Luka/Kyrie on offense to wear them out. Dallas could afford to pack the paint and load up on one side when they were up against players like Zubac/Westbrook, Giddey, Gobert/Anderson. There was always one shooter to roam off. Lively and Gafford were always near the basket and fared well against those frontlines. The difference with Boston is that they force you to space out with Porzingis, and all Boston must do is drive and shoot in open space. Porzingis’ success is enough to force Dallas to change into a perimeter-focused defense rather than packing the paint or loading up on a weakside. They may try to play a center off Holiday or Horford for a stretch, but can you bank on them missing compared to the other players for a 7-game series? Outside of Porzingis’ unknown condition, it’s hard to bet against that defensively.

This is where PJ Washington comes in. He will likely be guarded by Porzingis. Other than White, Porzingis is the only other starter Luka would want to attack, so it’s better to have him on Washington/Jones so when Luka screens and is blitzed, it’s a PJ Washington above the break three (significantly worse than his corner threes) or a Derrick Jones three. Washington could get hot again, but don’t forget Boston is one of the best 3-point defensive teams. Washington needs to score and establish himself as the third best player and scorer especially if Boston gets contribution from Porzingis or any surprise role player.

Kleber will likely get more minutes this series out of Gafford. If he can have a big series, it’ll make the frontline matchup that much more interesting. However, in a five-out versus five-out match-up, I favor Boston only because that has been their identity all year. Boston is vulnerable through their bigs, so if Porzingis is in foul trouble or just ineffective to some capacity, that opens the door for Dallas.

The stars: How do Luka/Kyrie compared to Tatum/Brown?

Luka should be comfortable. Brown is the only guy who may be able to have a chance of bothering Luka, so he’s likely to hunt for White/Holiday/Horford/Porzingis or even Tatum to drag him out to the perimeter and limit their size in the paint. He’s Boston’s biggest disadvantage the way I see it. Kyrie on the other hand will have a tougher time if Holiday’s on him, but he is playing against Boston in the finals. Both Luka and Kyrie will be forced to work on defense more than they ever have in the playoffs, and that will certainly take a toll more on those two than Tatum and Brown who don’t have the same pressure offensively.

For Tatum and Brown, whoever Jones isn’t guarding should be comfortable. Washington/Jones ain’t a bad duo to guard those guys, but in space? That remains to be seen. The chances of Washington and Jones doing what Draymond and Wiggins essentially did might be a lot to ask, but it’s certainly necessary for Dallas to win the series.

3-point shooting: Three-point shooting has decided the grand majority of wins this playoff, and Boston is the better team by volume and percentage. Dallas doesn’t have as many talented shooters, so if it’s a shootout, Boston will win. How Kleber/Washington/Lively hold up in a spaced-out environment with long rebounds will determine Dallas’ effectiveness in clamping down on Boston’s shooters. That isn’t the only problem when discussing this though Dallas is not particularly ranked too highly in that area. If Boston clamps down on Dallas’ shooters (and they are a better perimeter defensive team), Dallas will be forced to try to beat them through 2’s. You can do that against a below average offense in Minnesota, but not against a team with 8 guys nearly shooting near 40%.

My pick is Boston, and it’s not that I don’t see this series as close. I just have more questions for Dallas than I do Boston. Boston must have very little go through for them just to have consistent offense. Dallas is the team I expect who will have to adjust more in comparison. The 3-point shooting combined with Porzingis’ pick-and-pop ability will test Dallas in space, and I don’t think their personnel on the perimeter is fit to stop hot perimeter shooting of Boston.

Boston wins if: Porzingis is healthy and spacing the floor. Luka/Kyrie are fatigued after finally working on defense. Dallas’ role players can’t keep up with the hot shooting Boston. Boston manages to find a great defensive combination of keeping Brown on Luka as long as possible and loading up against him off of Washington/Jones.

Dallas wins if: Porzingis is a bust and can’t stay on the floor due to Luka targeting. Luka picks on Boston’s defenders like shooting fish in a barrel. Kyrie is comfortable against most Boston defenders including Holiday. Washington and Jones make shots. Lively and Kleber are excellent in space and manage to be the superior frontline.

Boston in six.
rare cat L imo I think the hot shooting of boston was helped by them having played 0 healthy teams and having an absolutely ridiculous cake walk path to finals. They played no real defenses(Knicks would have been if healthy) and no real offenses either aside from pacers but they're a joke on def. I don't expect that shooting to continue vs actual competition now they very well could win that roster is ridiculous from top to bottom but tatum and brown need to show that the narrative of them being chokers is false against two of the best closers the game has. I have mavs in 6 yea i'm biased as a mavs fan but the celtics scare me less than the twolves did.
 
They've been hot all season and not just the playoffs. They've consistently been better shooters as a team more than the Maverick's roleplayers. It can't be chalked up to who they faced. Mavs haven't proven they can guard in space or shoot obscenely from three.

The onus is on the Mavs to defend in space; we know Celtics can shoot open shots.
 
Luka and Kyrie go one on one against a switch defense. Mavs offense was sludged. They can't get corner threes or lobs because they're switching and pressuring everyone.

Meanwhile Porzingis got hot and then punished switches. Mavs struggled to guard in space and Celtics got so many threes up.
 
The Celtics completely lost the ability to hit open threes for most of the game; Tatum didn't score much; it looked like the Celtics were going to blow it in the final three minutes; and the Mavs still lost. This does not bode well for our intrepid heroes.
 
Wolves could have beaten the Mavs if they were just comfortable switching...

Also Mavs offense is pretty tragic at this point. They just need to target White from here on out and pray.
 
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Also Mavs offense is pretty tragic at this point. They just need to target White from here on out and pray.

Hate to say it but the problem is Luka. He dominates the ball too much and won’t push the pace. Boston’s defense is too good to play grind-out offense. I initially picked Boston in 7 but last night the Cs shot the ball poorly with a ton of wide open looks, Luka played decent, and Dallas still lost. Not looking good for a long series.
 
RIP Jerry West, one of the greatest players of all time. All I remember is JJ Reddick making fun of players from the 60s-70s like Bob Cousy saying that he couldn't play in todays game and Jerry West snapping back at JJ saying like who are you to be making statements about that, 12 PPG player lol. FR though Jerry would be an incredible player in todays game, his jumpshot and speed were undeniably world class.

I remember of Kobe's passing and how essentially Jerry looked extremely distraught and saddened about the situation and I remember someone on the YouTube comments someone saying 'Someone look out for Jerry, this can be a lot on the heart of someone at that age', so I was always worried about losing Jerry West. RIP Logo, someone like myself in their late 20s can easily appreciate what you've done for the game.
 
RIP Jerry West, one of the greatest players of all time. All I remember is JJ Reddick making fun of players from the 60s-70s like Bob Cousy saying that he couldn't play in todays game and Jerry West snapping back at JJ saying like who are you to be making statements about that, 12 PPG player lol. FR though Jerry would be an incredible player in todays game, his jumpshot and speed were undeniably world class.

While I am no expert on basketball, let alone from sixty years ago, I agree with JJ’s sentiment. Past eras are no where near the overall skill level of today. And yes, Bob Cousy in 2024 would not even belong on the floor with today’s guards. Sports nostalgia in most cases is overly deferential.
 
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What the fuck was Jason Kidd trying to do? The Celtics are in the middle of blowing the game, and he calls a timeout? On top of that, he challenges a foul on Luka that's extremely unlikely to be overturned, and it predictably costs him.

He interrupted his enemy while they were making a mistake. I'm stunned. He might have just blown the series.
 
While I am no expert on basketball, let alone from sixty years ago, I agree with JJ’s sentiment. Past eras are no where near the overall skill level of today. And yes, Bob Cousy in 2024 would not even belong on the floor with today’s guards. Sports nostalgia in most cases is overly deferential.

This Celtics team is all time great. One of the most dominant seasons ever. And they are just getting started!

Wow. Checks out.
 
Wow what? Bob Cousy would not make an NBA roster today. By every analytical metric, this Celtic team had an all-time great season. They have the highest offensive rating in NBA history.

I don't know about Bob Cousy but players like Wilt, Russell, and Jerry West would adapt very well in this NBA. If you watch any tapes you can tell their game can easily translate. Like if you don't have access to modern medication / therapy / doctors / gym your game will obviously look better via the eye test if you did.
 
I don't know about Bob Cousy but players like Wilt, Russell, and Jerry West would adapt very well in this NBA. If you watch any tapes you can tell their game can easily translate. Like if you don't have access to modern medication / therapy / doctors / gym your game will obviously look better via the eye test if you did.
This. When combined with work, talent excels regardless of era. If those guys were drafted into today's NBA, they would adapt to the modern game and be great.

Frankly, I've never understood arguments to the contrary. Do people seriously think that prime Jerry West would be completely unable to adapt to the Euro step?
 
Wow what? Bob Cousy would not make an NBA roster today. By every analytical metric, this Celtic team had an all-time great season. They have the highest offensive rating in NBA history.

Of course not. He’d be thrown out for complaining about everyone travelling and for all the fouls he’d give on the other end.

Have you ever actually watched footage of these guys?
 
Like if you don't have access to modern medication / therapy / doctors / gym your game will obviously look better via the eye test if you did.

+Film and analytics. That is what we are comparing to though. Not grading on a curve.

Frankly, I've never understood arguments to the contrary. Do people seriously think that prime Jerry West would be completely unable to adapt to the Euro step?

It is not so much the Euro step. The players are bigger, stronger, more athletic, and more skilled. And it is across the board parity. 6’3 guards don’t even get playing time unless they are great at either shooting or defense (or both). You have to be able to defend offensive juggernauts in 2024, or be totally unguardable yourself. And being a 6’4 guard with elite shooting and pedestrian athleticism, that is where JJ Redick’s comments likely came from.
 
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