Projected usage stats time, woooooo. Since there are so many things to discuss, I'll be breaking them up into multiple categories.
Drops from UU

I swear to fucking god, if UU blue balls us again, I am going to be so mad. Metagross would be such a great addition, giving another steel type while not being weak to fighting is good for dealing with gapdos. We have had this before in Gen 7 and 8, and while it was buffed a lot this gen, I can see it being a solid top tier option.

Ogerpon was something that people wanted to drop a while ago, but it never happened. However, it might happen now. Ogerpon is weird, mono grass is extremely bad, but its got everything else. Coverage, utility, setup. It is one of those mons that can pick and choose its counters extremely effectively, and with geezing potentially rising, this would likely be broken if my money is on this.

Uh, serperior. Ngl, thought this would take a lot longer to drop. Fast, able to snowball, annoying as all hell. Either this thing stays and is the biggest piece of shit ever, or its banned instantly.

Watch this get projected to drop, only for OU to take it back. But seriously, let us have blissey, I want to make removeless stall.
Rises to higher tiers

(Imagine this is the galarian form) Okay, so geezing would be an absolutely crippling loss for the tier. Its one of the most splashable removal options rn, and checks a butt ton of the meta. However, the only pokemon that I think would be banned from this is mamoswine, since other pokemon such as gapdos can at the very least be checked by talonflame, who will undoubtedly become a lot better. Mamoswine on the other hand, can't really be checked by talonflame reliably, and loses one of its best checks. But regardless, big loss.

This one also hurts. Fezandipiti is quite a nice defensive piece that can snowball, with it being able to beat greedy builds that pack subpar fairy answers. It will be quite a big loss, so I'm upset with this rise.
Rises from lower tiers

This is legit rising because of stall on RU ladder, which a-muk is the best on. A-muk is a decent special wall, with knock off+poison touch making a lot of switch-ins uncomfortable. But it can be a bit difficult to fit since it wants a lot of moves, so it is a bit surprising it rose.

Raikou has always been good. CM sets, SubCM, pivot, all are pretty great in allowing it to batter defensive pokemon in order to enable teammates. Not surprised by this in the slightest.

Gallade my beloved. Gallades shtick is that it beats defense, and beats it HARD. Not much in the tier can take +2 attacks from this mon, and those that can are very niche. It does struggle with mediocre special bulk and speed, but it can work well on teams that are looking to beat down defenseno matter what.

If you hve been watching tourneys recently, this one ain't a surprise. Gastrodon has established itself as a great defensive ground that can be quite versatile in what it can do from sticky hold phsyical defenseto storm drain special defense. Its a great spiker too, so yeah, not surprised by this.

Canard sample HO moment. Yes, this is literally only rising cause of being a HO lead.
Drops to NU

Rhyperior is still good, so this is just a ladder thing. Rhyperior is an elite ground type with the ability to trade insanely favourably due to its high bulk and high power coupled with SD. I genuinelly do not know why this is potentially dropping, because I use it a ton and think its great.

Another ladder thing. Reuniclus is incredibly powerful in the metagame and heavily abuses those gastro+geezing teams that are popping up everywhere. My only guess of why it isn't used more is that other psychic types provide more defensive utility (despite the fact magic guard is really good utility), so yeah.

I'm lumping these two together because they both are primarily rain mons. Barraskewda can be used outside of rain as an offensive pivot, but its lack of defensive utility makes it hard to fit on teams. Rain as a whole isn't really great, as while the abusers are good, lots of the tier threatens to end the sweeps short. Maybe forre will also drop if politoed isn't used as much....