CAP will definitely receive a Fire-type move, Heat Wave or Flamethrower most likely.
Magnezone should not be a counter to this CAP. Yes, it resists both STABs coming from CAP8, but would it like being hit with Flamethrower? CAP will definitely receive a Fire-type move, Heat Wave or Flamethrower most likely.
However it can come in on support sets without a fire move. With CAP8 getting fire moves, it's more of a check.
Please forgive me if I say something that sounds stupid; I'm learning the metagame, albeit slowly. Anyway, here's a few pokémon that seem like good counters, or at least checks:
- Rotom-F: immune to Ground, resistant to Lightning, neutral to Dragon and Fire, and packing an Ice-type move. Add in HP Ground, Ice, or *maybe* Dragon, and it at least looks like a decent counter.
- Froslass, for similar reasons as Rotom-F; I know it's listed as BL, but perhaps the ability to handle CAP8 can bump it up into OU? Weakness to Fire hurts, since CAP8 will almost certainly have fire moves at its disposal, but some counters are situational, right?
- Heatran: with proper prediction, or possibly bait-and-switch tactics, you could get the jump on CAP8. Resistance to Dragon and neutrality to Electric help a lot. Furthermore, if it ran both HP Ice and Dragon Pulse, its massive SpAtk would be a scary thing for CAP8 to face. Weakness to Water and Ground hurts, particularly since CAP8 may get both Surf *and* Hydro Pump, but it's not a lost cause.
- Porygon-Z: Excellent SpAtk, and both of its abilities improve the damage it deals. Neutral to everything CAP8 can throw is somewhat harmful, but not so painful as to discount it.
- Latias. I know, I know, I'm setting a Dragon against a Dragon, which (at least from how the posts in this topic sound) is the stupidest idea since square wheels. However, with her bulkiness and good SpAtk, I think a prepared Latias could rip CAP8 a new one. Again, it requires preparation and prediction, but it could work.
I tried to "think outside the box" here, since all the classic counters for CAP8's separate types seem to fear the two combined. Sorry if I've made any egregious errors!
Surprisingly, Glaceon of all pokemon has just enough bulk to counter some CAP 8 sets. Observe:
Timid Glaceon @ Leftovers
252 SpA, 216 SpD, 36 Spe
Raw stats: Hp 271, SpA 359, SpD 281, Spe 197
Vs Modest Max Hp/Max SpA, min SpD/Spe Cap 8
Ice Beam
416 - 492 (99.05% - 117.14%.OHKOs 92.31% of the time)
Cap 8's attacks:
Thunderbolt: 129 - 153 (47.60% - 56.46%)
Dragon Pulse: 123 - 145 (45.39% - 53.51%
Draco Meteor: 190 - 225 (70.11% - 83.03%)
Vacuum Wave: 74 - 88 (27.31% - 32.47%)
Fire Blast: 218 - 258 (80.44% - 95.20%)
Vacuum Wave after SpA drop: 38 - 46 (14.02% - 16.97%)
With the given Glaceon spread it outspeeds Cap 8 and is at best 2HKOd if it switches in to a Fire Blast followed by Vacuum Wave, the former of which has a very low chance of succeeding. In all other cases it hits back and OHKOs with Ice Beam almost all the time.
If CAP 8 employs Life orb, however, this spread will not work unless CAP 8 lacks Vacuum Wave, and then Glaceon is OHKOd by DM 46.15% of the time, making switching in a notch harder.
I don't have time to run other calcs right now, but what do you guys think?
Surprisingly, Glaceon of all pokemon has just enough bulk to counter some CAP 8 sets. Observe:
With Stealth Rock out? I dont think so. Can revenge on him, but no one uses Glaceon in OU anyways.
With Stealth Rock out? I dont think so.
Mence and Gyara are OU and powerful despite the SR weakness, so SR weakness alone is not enough grounds to dismiss potential counters/checks.
Rotom-F is an interesting choice, but for the most part Blizzard is a poor option due to it's accuracy.
Froslass won't be bumped into OU because of a CAP project. CAP follows SU's tiers. Also Froslass could make a good revenge killer, but it would be able to switch in.
Heatran has pretty much been established as a check. It's rather low SpDef and the rarity of using EVs in that area make it suseptable to a 3HKO from Thunderbolt, and it's weak to Vacuum Wave, which has made it into the allowed list.
PZ is an good idea, but it's sort of a glass cannon and won't really be able to switch in. Also Vacuum Wave hits hard.
Latias is a good option, yes, as it can CM boost it's SpDef and beat CAP8 back with Dragon Pulse, and isn't likely to take a ton of damage when it switches in.
no, actually no matter how used one pokemon might become because of CAP the tiers won't change unless they are changed by Smogon. It's been asked and answered in the Simple Question thread.Tiers are based on usage. If it is used more due to the creation of this CAP its OU.
Mence and Gyara are OU and powerful despite the SR weakness, so SR weakness alone is not enough grounds to dismiss potential counters/checks.
Mence and Gyara are OU and powerful despite the SR weakness, so SR weakness alone is not enough grounds to dismiss potential counters/checks.
Perhaps the base 65 speed, terrible special defense, and extremely limited movepool are enough for grounds? Just because it has 130 Special Attack doesn't mean it is a counter or even a Check. You pretty much have to run Max Speed and Max Special attack to outspeed it, but even then it can run (and likely will) run speed EVs on its own, and without Max/Max for your offense/speed, you are going to be OHKO'd be Flamethrower, Draco Meteor, or something else.
There is somethin strange about what you just said...what is it? Oh yeah, Mence and Gyara. You weren't truly comparing Glaceon to them, were you?
Perhaps the base 65 speed, terrible special defense, and extremely limited movepool are enough for grounds? Just because it has 130 Special Attack doesn't mean it is a counter or even a Check. You pretty much have to run Max Speed and Max Special attack to outspeed it, but even then it can run (and likely will) run speed EVs on its own, and without Max/Max for your offense/speed, you are going to be OHKO'd be Flamethrower, Draco Meteor, or something else.
Well, I didn't say that Glaceon was a surefire counter for all versions of CAP 8. Just to some. Many counters in today's metagame after all require either advance scouting or accurate prediction to pull off as switching in on the wrong move or getting surprised by a move you didn't expect can be fatal. I just wanted to show that Glaceon, of all pokemon, can succeed with countering certain sets with the right spread.
I ran a few more calcs:
Timid Glaceon with 252SpA, 216SpD, 36Spe and Leftovers vs CAP 8 with MaxHp/Max either defence and minSpA/Spe:
Ice beam vs MaxHp/SpD +nature:
282 - 332 (67.14% - 79.05%)
Ice beam vs MaxHp/SpD neutral nature:
306 - 362 (72.86% - 86.19%)
Ice beam vs MaxHp/minSpD neutral nature:
416 - 492 (99.05% - 117.14%)(OHKO 92.31%)
CAP 8 with min SpA:
Thunderbolt: 94 - 112 (34.69% - 41.33%)(2HKO with SR&Lefties 2.43%)
Thunder: 120 - 142 (44.28% - 52.40%)(2HKO 17.03%)
Dragon Pulse: 90 - 106 (33.21% - 39.11%)(3HKO with SR&Lefties)
Draco Meteor: 139 - 165 (51.29% - 60.89%)
Vaccuum Wave: 56 - 66 (20.66% - 24.35%)
Overheat: 186 - 220 (68.63% - 81.18%)(OHKO with SR 46.15%)
Fire Blast: 160 - 190 (59.04% - 70.11%)
Flamethrower: 126 - 150 (46.49% - 55.35%)(2HKO with SR&Lefties 11.37%)
After the Spa drop from Draco meteor/Overheat:
Thunderbolt: 48 - 57 (17.71% - 21.03%)
Thunder: 60 - 72 (22.14% - 26.57%)
Dragon Pulse: 45 - 54 (16.61% - 19.93%)
Draco Meteor: 70 - 84 (25.83% - 31.00%)
Vaccuum Wave: 28 - 34 (10.33% - 12.55%)
Overheat: 94 - 112 (34.69% - 41.33%)
Fire Blast: 80 - 96 (29.52% - 35.42%)
Flamethrower: 64 - 76 (23.62% - 28.04%)
As nothing is an OHKO, even with SR (except OH), you also have to subtract a further 6.25% from each calc. In reality, this means that if SR is absent you only really get 2HKOd 100% of the time by switching into a strong fire move followed by DM. With SR up, however, anything except Vaccuum wave followed by DM is a 2HKO. If you switch in on DM, however, and SR is absent, you will force CAP 8 out as he will not be ale to KO you with his next attack and also risk taking a minimum of 62.89% damage with Leftovers factored in depending on the EV spread.
Further, if Glaceon employs the same EV spread but with LO instead, all defensive versions of CAP 8, except MaxHp/SpD +nature, are OHKOd with SR factored in. The latter is OHKOd 92.31% of the time instead. Either way you risk losing Glaceon in the process depending on which attack you switched in on and if SR was up.
Essentially what I have shown is that defensive versions of CAP 8 will, under the given circumstances, lose to Glaceon a majority of the time. Consider further that defensive sets rarely employ more than 1-2 attacking moves (which usually are STABed ones at that) and it means a higher survivability for Glaceon. I did also show in my other post that Glaceon can beat LO-less CAP 8 with Maximum SpA and +nature, but that is admittedly an unlikely scenario as offensive versions of most pokemon carry LO.
So, what do you guys think? Am I making an adequate case?