I think it's pretty obvious from the effort I put into the OP and the replies that I was looking for actual discussion, not trolling and derailment. Who the fuck would use well presented science and thought out logic as a troll platform?
Well Morm, people are actually giving evidence that contradicts what you think is right, but you are refusing to listen. It's not like people here are even saying it's all nurture, but rather that you are oversimplifying things by trying to ask which one predominates, because it really depends what we're talking about.
Hip, I think that true genetically identical twins would be the best bet, as non identical are basically just siblings. Though I did know one set that looked identical yet wasn't...they were indistinguishable in predisposition and behavior, as well as look, despite not being genetic copies. That kind of lends support to nurture having a stronger role with them, as they may have been treated identically. I knew one set of true identical twins that were the same damn person as far as anyone could ever tell, til you got them in the same room.
Oh wow, anecdotal evidence. How wonderful. Let me bring up some actual numbers. You wanted psych/personality data, right? Then where better to go than studies on the heritability of various psychiatric conditions?
The
NIMH cites a 40-65% chance of a person whose identical twin has schizophrenia also developing the disorder. It occurs in 10% of the population with a first-degree relative (ie mother, sister, brother, father), vs 1% of the general population. So while there is an increased risk based on genetics, it's definitely not the whole story.It is not quite known exactly how the environment helps determine whether the disorder will develop, but some popular hypotheses are exposure to viruses or malnutrition before birth, psychosocial factors such as social isolation, living in an urban environment, and stressm(
this paper on the stress-diathesis model was interesting), and
the use of cannabis. The
wikipedia article provides more examples with actual cited sources of environmental factors in this disease, so I'll let you read for yourself.
For depression, there's a lot of disagreement on its heritability.
This twin study found that the heritability was higher in women (42%) than in men (29%).
This study, however, found no sex differences in the heritability.
This study only focused on females and found heritabilities ranging from 0.34 to 0.41. Note that all of these numbers in all of the studies are less than 0.5 or 50%, which suggests that environmental factors play a large role. Social isolation, child abuse, stressful life events, and disturbances in family function such as divorce or the death of a parent can all play large roles.
For bipolar disorder,
this paper found that heritability of BPD was around 85% and 89% using narrow concordance using broad concordance, with no shared environmental effects detected. There was a genetic correlation of 0.65 between mania and depression and a correlation of 0.59 for nonfamilial environment. Approximately 71% of the genetic variance for mania was not shared with depression.
This paper found that the heritability of Bipolar I was .73, of Bipolar I+II .77 and of Bipolar I+II+Cyclothymia .71. So bipolar is significantly more heritable, and therefore more attributable to genetics, than either schizophrenia or depression. However, the heritability is still not 100%, so while genetic factors predominate here, there is also room for environmental factors to play a role.
So clearly, making sweeping generalizations about how important genetics are to things like mental illness is rather stupid. Sure, it's a contributing factor, and it only makes sense to give medications based on that. But it would be a disservice to patients to neglect the impacts of the environment on these patients, as well.
This study is particularly illuminating: the researchers compared depression patients receiving antidepressants alone, patients receiving cognitive-behavioral therapy alone, and patients receiving a combination of the two. The overall rate of response and remission was identical at 48% in the groups who were only receiving one mode of treatment, compared with 73% in the combined group. In patients who completed the study, the rates of response were 55 percent in the antidepressant group and 52 percent in the psychotherapy group, as compared with 85 percent in the combined-treatment group. If anything shows that the nature vs. nurture debate is an extreme oversimplification of things, this does.
Then again, with twins, it's much more likely that they get treated the same...though with the last pair I mentioned, they went to different schools (for who the hell knows what reason) and actually had different interests but as far as personality is concerned they were the same. So perhaps twins would be tainted by being treated as one rather than two individuals and that could impact the nurture side and make it look more like nature.
Again, way to give anecdotal evidence. You of all people should know how unacceptable that is-- you could at least say that you realize these observations aren't exactly good enough to make generalizations from.
How about we bring in the famous
Minnesota Twin Study, where they studied various aspects of twins separated at birth? For IQ, genetic factors were found to be responsible for about 70% of the variance between sets of twins. As for other personality factors, the heritability ranges from 28-50% depending on what is being measured. Here is a chart that sums up the results:
So as you can see, this "debate" truly is an oversimplification of how things really are. We should not be looking at one over the other, but rather focus on the larger picture, which is how they interact to produce the individual.