Empoof / Aura Guardian
Empoof scum calling it now
lol this is just funny
Yeah, I had to look twice at the quote to see that. Best, though, don't know what that means in this case.
Hawkie is Town in a stupid tunnel
Metal, maybe Town, but the lack of screaming could make me biased
Proph, I'm looking for an obvitell from him, but it would suck regardless if he died early and flipped green
And the two players I want content from are Asek and Empoof.
Honestly, I could see this as almost a scum=KOC looking to find content from his two buddies. But his later stuff makes me doubt that highly.
Page 54 - Nothing or relevance prior. Also ISOing AG sucks. Also probably important, I'm control+finding the term 'Aura' so anyone who references him by 'AG' will be missed in my post unless I happen to see it.
Page 61 -
btw, I completely disagree with your analysis of Hitmonleet, LW.
Good. Why, What parts, how do you explain his final post. Go.
Well, I suppose since mafia already killed Texas, there's no point in hiding it: Texas was, in true Deathnote NOC style, reacting way too strongly to attempts on Hitmonleet, just as he did as Percival towards the Merlin / some other guy candidates. I deliberately omitted that from my reads on Texas in the hopes it would be forgotten, but it looks like a vain hope.
So, I don't explain Hitmonleet. I explain him as masonbuddy to Texas.
That's not an explanation until Hitmon claims mason publically, if Texas was mason I expect him to have faked to some level instead of blurting out HITMON IS TOWN GUISE I JUST KNOW IT. I parodied that shit in my movie poster. If you have no argument actually addressing my points, then don't do hitmon's job for him.
Because they either figured it out from Texas, or could easily now that he flipped.
If LW is scum. This is his interaction with AG. Which honestly, I guess I can see? It's just shallow enough that it feels like it could be a scum v scum thing. Like, it's hard because these posts focus on logical arguments instead of thought process and basically revolve around "why do you think ____" which at the same time, is a pretty easy game for scum v. scum to fake because it's so entirely easy to fake and also good at distancing, but also more importantly, it's hard to certify it as scum v. scum/town v. scum/town v. town so ehhh
Reads:
Da Letter El - A quick check shows a lower fluff to content ratio than most, and what I've seen since I joined has mostly looked good. Lean Town
Former Hopes - see recent ISO, but recent posts mean he's down to lean scum
KnightsofCydonia - Lots of stuff, little that I remember. That's a warning bell to me. Scum
LightWolf - Inactive for a while, then becomes moreso just as day 2 is ending. Seems trying to contribute, though. And in large + memorable ways, too. Lean Town
MoodyCloud - what was that hammer? Just catching up is also a great excuse for scum to do that. Not as much contribution as many, either Scummy
How I see the game:
Feels like we're imploding after a couple days and starting to panic at 1 away from lylo.
Anywya, Vote KnightsofCydonia for now
Okay cool, a reads post from AG. (note: edited to show just his reads on living people, this is post 1,160 on page 65 if you want to read it in it's entirety). Leans scum on myself, KOC and Moody. Also leans scum on Asek. Now there's WIFOM here, does he decide to buss both of his buddies or just one. Obviously can't be answered, but looking at his reasoning for reads - the DLE one seems pretty basic bitch, KOC looks like he's trying to push (especially in conjunction with his vote), LW....seems like he's trying to bandwagon or pocket?, the moody one hmm, honestly kind of seems like distancing. Like he points out stuff and says he's scummy but he doesn't really push a reason, just questioning moody's hammer and lack of contributions.
Yeti then brings up a good point with
Ag why do you think moody is super scummy for the hammer but give dle a complete pass despite his only post of the day putting ms at hammer territory?
I need to go see if dle even has a reason to have voted ms from the prior day
AG responds to this by basically saying 'gut' which reflects pretty bad on DLE/Epik slot imo? but also the moody slot if he's intentionally distancing, ugh.
Trying to make my ISOs more brief. DLE was on my "up soon" radar and recent talk put him in the front of my mind with Asek.
DLE
Lots of junk posts, then says he'd be down for Hitmonleet lynch. Then TRs Yeti and Texas. Huh, #1113 has "KoC getting mad about role slipping and allusion after doing the speculation as town last game :thinking:" Then goes against both MS and Proph, the two mislynches. Also part of prodding Texas in a way that caused a masonslip. Sticks up for leet afterwards, though.
Day 2, just L-1's MS
Later declares he'd go after ... no one really because he's been wrong? Wasn't it DLE in Company Mafia who figured out almost everything? The thread seems to have been lost, so idk. I'm seeing a lot of fancy ways of saying no comment D3.
Verdict: Still leaning town, but I could also see him as scum having nudged one of texas's slips and trying not to push anyone too hard.
This sort of whishy washy attitude is awful and so 50/50 to read. Like he says a bunch of reasons to SR DLE's slot but then says he still town reads him. My gut view says this is an attempt to set up DLE to be mislynched later while trying to TR him for number games though.
KOC then ISO's AG and it's a fine ISO that further cements KOC as town to me.
yeah Asek d3 not looking good, no substance whatsoever. That one "retards" post felt like it wouldn't come naturally from scumAsek but can't give that slot a pass today.
Lightwolf's tone, apologetic behavior and way too wide lynch pool are concerning but I don't really know what to look for here
looking at AG/DLE now but I'll probably be voting one of AG/asek
vote AG
Moody nails both scum here in his "I would vote for" pool. That said, he lightly defends Asek before also saying he won't give it a pass. Shades LW and...actually doesn't really mention AG at all besides before agreeing with KOC? Weird.
so uh the first two bolded seem to be towntells at least from your perspective ? how did you go from there to "ag is scum" exactly ?
Actually shit no. He didn't agree with KOC in the post before, he softly defended him. Not a good look for moody.
None
if town, None
if mafia, None
I don't think the mafia is in that pool.
Responds to me saying he doesn't think there are mafia in yeti's pool of: Asek/AG/DLE/LW
That said, honestly at this point he starts to feel kind of like he's giving up doesn't he? Maybe it's just me but I feel like so blatantly doing this after SR asek and stuff...it just feels so contrastly different. Like he's just putting in the words but not actually trying anymore. Could this be a sign that maybe Yeti and I were right? I honestly feel like that might be it and that would certainly make sense for why AG's last day was so lame in his actions - he knows from that POE with 4 days left at max town can win with that POE.
If Asek does flip scum, then DLE or AG(yeah cop out answer I know). I'd not want to lock myself into either from that pool, for outside of the pool I'd much rather look at Moody, but AG and DLE I have qualms with day 2, that will greatly be contextualised by the finishing of day 3. I'd put Knights into that group as well, though that's mostly in that day 2 was too short for me to clear up if my Knights suspicions from day 1 were reasonable or just an after effect of reading too much into last game. Or the reverse and not reading into him enough after.
LW responding to my question and after posting his d2 catch up wall. In that wall itself, it's a fairly good angle for LW, he pushes AG again and again in this post, he mentions if Asek flips scum he would think DLE or AG which is, like he said, a cop out answer but also decent in the fact it does contain AG. That said, he does also try to include moody and say he would look at him over the other 2. At this point...honestly I don't even know. LW's slot is so hard to read in the context of this AG iso. Like, there have been the right subtle brushes here and there of scum interactions but if LW is scum, then that basically means LW/AG/Asek have been bussing each other wherever they can right? Like, ngl I think I'm not going to feel confident on my LW read until I actually ISO him alone.
I thought you scum read asek?
LW catches this which is good for him.
Hitmonleet vs LightWolf
(Walrein has so little there's no point there.) LW's metgapost, #1491, is where LW starts being anti-Hitmonleet. In the same post he strongly calls out Asek for the reason category that kept others calling him out. In #1607 Hitmonleet joins in the Asek vote. In #1624, Hitmonleet calls a paragraph of LW's calling him out as useless - which aside from the post feeling overly much, doesn't sit right with me. At all.
Part of Hitmonleet's response involves calling out LW's idling, which considering LW and the megaposts, feels more like LW was idling not-deliberately, and is trying to make it up now. LW deconstructs/notes/calls out Hitmonleet's earlier Proph vote in #1687 as self-preservation only.
Hitmonleet, #1690: "Since you seem to have an obsession with pidgeonholing me as town, explain this: Why do I, as scum, have all the people who townread me killed in quick succession? That makes absolutely no logical sense, from a scum perspective."
1) OMGUS (just after the quote), 2) WIFOM, 3) Mason hunting
A lot of LW's posts after this are VS Asek; mostly skipping them because this is a Hitmonleet vs LW analysis. But short version is, it's looking good for LightWolf.
Hitmonleet takes a LW megapost and offers a simple "false dichotomy" counterargument with a dash of counter-shade. Later posts also feel like artificial overreaction, which LW calls out.
So, I trust LightWolf, and Vote Hitmonleet
Like, this is a kind of weird post here. AG offers token responses and in the end says he's going with the leet lynch because he trusts LW vs. his own reasons. Like, this kind of seems like it could be, and probably is scum trying to buddy with a town. But it's flat out just a weird post.
3p1k. He replaced DLE, but DLE was far from the DLE I remember - I remember company mafia, with DLE figuring out scum after scum after scum. Somewhat gut there.
Goes from leaning town on DLE/Epik slot to scum reading it and putting it into a solve. Stating again that his whole reason to tr DLE in the first place is because....DLE was good in another NOC. This reads like a last ditch scum effort to distance from the soon to be last scum as at this point, I think everyone knew AG was going to be lynched and it wasn't really a surprise. So it makes sense for me at least for AG to take his buddy that he had been TRing and suddenly throw him into the scum pile as a way to defend? Hm. Saying that, it's kind of weak reasoning honestly and feels just super last minute.
"
I find it really weird that AG went from this post to hammering Asek and am fine with starting there
vote AG
I'll reread LW/DLE this evening
Asek pushing Leet when it was clear the poe contained Asek/AG/Lw could have been distancing but I am inclined to trust Texas' "100% town trust me guys" read as well as the fact that I share Leet's uneasiness about Knights' lynch pool"
This is a moody post quoted with in a LW wall. No idea when this post was made but... it's a good post from moody. I don't think a scum moody would try to instantly push AG in (what I'm kinda assuming I guess to be an early in the day post) and defend leet when leet seems like mislynch material and AG his obviously his scum buddy in this scenario.
Okay, if you were referring to this, then my main reason for not going after asek, or much at all, was because I didn't want to say much while sick, because it just made me unable to care much about anything. When I made the post Moody quoted (and which is not quoted here, but was quoted in the post I'm quoting - something re: automatic quote generation?) I didn't want to decide anything due to general "ugh I want this over with" of my sickness coloring my decisions. The hammer vote: I was starting to get better, and remembered how little impression Asek's posts made despite the strings of posts and some being big. Also, my track record of finding scum from nothing was real bad in previous NOCs; I'm far better when I look at people who are already in the light and choose one. Or at least, after Company Mafia and some others before then, it felt that way to me. Time could have distorted this by a lot for me, though. But it still feels that way to me.
This is the AG response to the moody post. This does not feel like a scum response to a scum.
Then there are other points of moody hammering on AG. Either this is just suburb scum play by moody. Or I think after reading this exchange, moody is town.
From above
LightWolf - probably clear
Hitmonleet - scum vs scum re: asek
Moody - lean town
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Knights - seems intent enough on activity + helping that I guess I was very wrong last day. Town
Former - Feels like they drop off every so often, but for the occasional megapost and some other stuff. Alean scum.
DLE/3P1K - DLE felt different this game, and I'm not that impressed by what I've seen of 3P1K itg yet. Lean scum.
So, with 3 lynches left, I like Hitmonleet/Former Hope/3P1K. In that order.
AG's 2nd and last reads list. Honestly, my only real impression here is that it again seems like he's pushing DLE/EPIK for weak reasoning (and myself for that matter) to distance himself from his scum buddy.
I never said they're not on my list - they're just lower on it than the rest.
Hmm. So he SR epik and would sub Epik into the previous 'scum pool' (or actually because it's applicable, the previous 'dead pool' ha. ha. ha.) but he puts me before epik in lynch order. Pesudo defending/distancing here.
Now that's an odd read. If I'm wrong about LW, then I could see it the other way around, but 3p1k -> LW doesn't seem supported to me.
Defends Epik here again from being lynched yesterday.
Page 87 Moody does a nice thing where he calls out LW for focusing leet so much that he's scrapped by not talking about barely anyone else. Then after LW tries dodging the issue, Moody brings it up again to which LW responds
His day 2 he involved himself with current ongoings barely. I'd forgive him since he was actively posting ISOs during the day, but inbetween those his first one was accidentally on MS (and me which was pointless) and he instantly voted him only based on an ISO in ISOlation from the rest of the thread which he gave up on just reading normally. This doesn't sit well with me and as I said, felt like instead of looking for scum he went isoing for someone to vote. The along side isos he posted pointless quips that served only to remind people he ain't afk, he reading, even epik has done more and acknowledged at least ongoing stuff while reading.
Day 3 he finished the isos and instantly jumped to defend Hitmon from my massive post he knew was written pre Texas flip. This felt unnatural as he jumped at the chance to be the first to point out that Hitmon may be mason most of us were thinking already. I don't recall much meaningful from him after. Then day 4 he starts with a ISO of me vs hitmon and turns on hitmon completely and can be observed seemingly tracing my steps during the day echoing my thoughts. Food for thought, I'd have told him as a scum buddy to sock it. As in put one in his mouth, a sock.
Honestly, some good points here that I like. What I don't like is how he tries to use AG here to push Leet more.
Sooo..... What changed in the last 8 pages?
FINALLY something from this slot. Does what others have done and point out the weird AG pushes on me.
Okay all in all... I solidify KOC as town and honestly, I don't think I'm ever going to vote him in this game. Which leaves: Moody, LW and Epik
Now Moody did have some shadish interactions earlier game but his late game interactions with AG were good. So I'm ...leaving him where I had him before at my 2nd after KOC thing.
LW - Man, this is such a hard slot to crack. Like, there are ups and downs from this ISO where on one hand, there are things in here that seem very likely LW is scum. But on the other, he has interactions with asek and ag that are like ??? this is how scum react to one another (ie where AG kind of buddies LW). I'm putting him 2nd to last kind of just as nowhere else to put him. But this for me is somewhat of an enigma slot that I plan to ISO individually.
leading to
Epik - basically no activity all game from this slot. Super weird interactions with scum, especially the last few days and with AG who did the TR shenanigans with DLE and then switched to a SR when it seemed like AG was a sure lynch.