NOC Smogon Rewind Night 3

didnt wanna play scum so she just dropped it lmao. i dont expect a wagon to form purely because of that but like i said i dont like the current wagon and i'd rather have this out in the universe in case ur still around d3/4
 
Okay reread done

Hal and nuxl are highly likely to both be town, they are always the same alignment regardless. Both of their reactions to me at all points read genuine and both are logically consistent with their internal models of me, especially Hal. It is possible they are scum together but it's very unlikely.

P179 feels like a genuine reaction from 3P1K and a reaction that makes consistent sense from a towny perspective. They do have some partner equity with Hannah now that she's subbed out however per P227 if Hannah were to flip scum

Former I gutread as town, nothing specific to point at but I know his style

Energy is being dumb which is his town tell

Clarinet is making many posts but saying very little, plausibly active lurking. Lots of non-committal shade being thrown at people, nuxl in particular

MoodyCloud why are you okay with lynching drookez

Asek is scum until he lynches scum

CBs posts are overtly scummy but U-Turn Out you said you out had some meta comparisons to how they played scum in the last game?
 
i dont remember if i unvoted UNVOTE

v sorry if i seem messy i highkey procrastinated my blog post assignment + studying for my chem lab final to play fire emblem and its currently 1 am and im stressing cause im gonna be hella busy but ill try and find time to read up more and explain the past stuff
sounds like someone is worried about their messy play :mehowth: :mehowth:
 
You know, if Texas/Nuxl/Hal and I are all town. I feel
like asek just has to be mafia?
Though that's an if, I'm not completely sold on hal/nuxl both being town

I mean alternatively you look at our slots independently and get independent reads, why are you connecting them?

I know nobody else besides me reads past games religiously, but this is something you can sort out yourself?
 
also rad is pretty high confidence town, literally just check comparative openings and you'll reach the same conclusion i am there
 
Im meh on caffeine. I guess his chances to flip town are above rand though so Im fine with people TRing him for now. (page 26 atp)

I don't super follow caff town reads at this current point of time, what makes you think so?
 
Where are we (you/me/Former) differing on reads me/you/Hal/former/rad/energy is a good start

i actually share most sentiments in your post

whydon is probably above rand town?

can agree with all six of those town. In decreasing order of confidence rad should probably never move out, followed by lower confidence reads on former then energy but still pretty above rand
 
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