Project Break My Team [Cycle #24] [SS]

[49 Days]

Moltres @ Choice Scarf
Ability: Pressure
EVs: 80 HP / 252 SpA / 176 Spe
Modest Nature
- HP Ice
- Fire Blast

Zong ->
252+ SpA Moltres Fire Blast vs. 252 HP / 4 SpD Bronzong: 368-434 (108.8 - 128.4%) -- guaranteed OHKO

Nite -> I am a faster point and I have support from scarf I am still vs DD.
252+ Atk Dragonite Outrage vs. 0 HP / 80 Def Moltres: 220-261 (68.5 - 81.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

HP Ice with Yache
252+ SpA Moltres Hidden Power Ice vs. 0 HP / 0 SpD Yache Berry Dragonite: 164-194 (50.7 - 60%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
Bye Yache
252+ SpA Moltres Hidden Power Ice vs. 0 HP / 0 SpD Dragonite: 328-388 (101.5 - 120.1%) -- guaranteed OHKO

Shaymin -> click fblast
252+ SpA Moltres Fire Blast vs. 4 HP / 0 SpD Shaymin: 420-494 (122.8 - 144.4%) -- guaranteed OHKO

 

[Jabiru]

#4 rip Ludicolo, I didn't notice the rule change re accuracy

Empoleon

Empoleon @ Choice Specs
Ability: Torrent
EVs: 168 HP / 88 Def / 252 SpA
Modest Nature
IVs: 0 Atk
- Blizzard
- Surf
- Ice Beam

Vs Dnite:
252+ Atk Dragonite Superpower vs. 168 HP / 88 Def Empoleon: 296-350 (84.3 - 99.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
252+ SpA Choice Specs Empoleon Blizzard vs. 0 HP / 4 SpD Yache Berry Dragonite: 384-452 (118.8 - 139.9%) -- guaranteed OHKO

Vs Shaymin: Shaymin dies after LO recoil, even on minimum ice beam roll, leech seed healing doesn't let it get off a substitute and max roll seed flare + one turn of leech seed chip doesn't kill.
252+ SpA Choice Specs Empoleon Ice Beam vs. 4 HP / 0 SpD Shaymin: 306-360 (89.4 - 105.2%) -- 37.5% chance to OHKO
252+ SpA Life Orb Shaymin Seed Flare vs. 168 HP / 0 SpD Empoleon: 231-273 (65.8 - 77.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

Vs Bronzong:
252+ SpA Choice Specs Empoleon Surf vs. 252 HP / 4 SpD Bronzong: 201-237 (59.4 - 70.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
252+ Atk Choice Band Bronzong Earthquake vs. 168 HP / 88 Def Empoleon: 280-330 (79.7 - 94%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

 

[49 Days]

Mold breaker 3 Attacks.

Pinsir @ Choice Scarf
Ability: Mold Breaker
EVs: 40 HP / 252 Atk / 216 Spe
Adamant Nature
- X-Scissor
- Stone Edge
- Earthquake

Zong -> the best play is gyro ball where he does more than outrage on the part of nite thanks also to the CB. But I hold up well and then finish with 2 EQ ignoring Levitate.
252+ Atk Choice Band Bronzong Gyro Ball (107 BP) vs. 40 HP / 0 Def Pinsir: 222-262 (79 - 93.2%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
252+ Atk Mold Breaker Pinsir Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Bronzong: 206-244 (60.9 - 72.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

Nite -> I am a little faster and I wear scarf so nite will be forced to use outrage where pinsir holds up just enough and with 2 SE removes it.

252+ Atk Dragonite Outrage vs. 40 HP / 0 Def Pinsir: 220-261 (78.2 - 92.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

252+ Atk Mold Breaker Pinsir Stone Edge vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Dragonite: 244-288 (75.5 - 89.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

Shaymin -> Pinsir is not that I have a prodigious special defense so Seed Flare does me a significant damage but with LO's stab and recoil it's done.
252+ SpA Life Orb Shaymin Seed Flare vs. 40 HP / 0 SpD Pinsir: 156-183 (55.5 - 65.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
252+ Atk Mold Breaker Pinsir X-Scissor vs. 4 HP / 0 Def Shaymin: 282-332 (82.4 - 97%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

 

[Siglut]

Ties exist in DPP

As in if i ko and then die to recoil it isn't counted as a win? I thought that was modded out or something. And it should still beat dragonite I'm pretty sure but bronzong is definitely going to have a chance to draw there.

 

[Siglut]

252+ Atk Mold Breaker Pinsir Stone Edge vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Dragonite: 244-288 (75.5 - 89.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

Correct me if I'm wrong but we cannot rely on hitting two stone edges? I think the threshold is 70% overall accuracy. In any case rock slide should 2hko anyway

 

[49 Days]

well, I put it that way because it is the set although rock slide is a good option too and safer. Anyway I think it is viable. If necessary change it is just a move.
252+ Atk Mold Breaker Pinsir Rock Slide vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Dragonite: 182-216 (56.3 - 66.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

 

[Morgan]

Gyarados @ Power Herb
Ability: Intimidate
EVs: 32 Atk / 216 SpA / 8 Spe
Rash Nature
- Dragon Dance
- Flamethrower
- Bounce
- Outrage

flamethrower gyarados

Vs Bronzong - Flamethrower 3 times

-1 252+ Atk Choice Band Bronzong Zen Headbutt vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Gyarados: 135-159 (40.7 - 48%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
216+ SpA Gyarados Flamethrower vs. 252 HP / 4 SpD Bronzong: 118-140 (34.9 - 41.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

Vs Dnite - DD -> Outrage

252+ Atk Dragonite Outrage vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Gyarados: 268-316 (80.9 - 95.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO (If they match dragon dance)
If they outrage t1, you outspeed
+1 32 Atk Gyarados Outrage vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Dragonite: 336-396 (104 - 122.6%) -- guaranteed OHKO

Vs Shaymin - DD Turn 1. If they sub, use flamethrower until they aren't behind a sub. If Shaymin isn't behind a sub, use Bounce
252+ SpA Life Orb Shaymin Seed Flare vs. 0 HP / 0- SpD Gyarados: 259-306 (78.2 - 92.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
+1 32 Atk Gyarados Bounce vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Shaymin: 342-404 (100.2 - 118.4%) -- guaranteed OHKO
216+ SpA Gyarados Flamethrower vs. 0 HP / 4 SpD Shaymin: 134-158 (39.2 - 46.3%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

Outspeeds Shaymin at +1

Has 252 leftover EVs

 

[49 Days]

Gravity EQ.

Forretress @ Iron Plate
Ability: Sturdy
EVs: 252 HP / 112 Atk / 144 Def
Adamant Nature
- Bug Bite
- Gravity
- Gyro Ball
- Earthquake

Zong -> no one would use this if it is not to break a specific core. The best Zong can do here is Trick and take Macho Brace by CB Forre. I am a little faster, so Gravity first + EQ is enough.
although spam EQ does me interesting harm too.
252+ Atk Choice Band Bronzong Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 144 Def Forretress: 92-110 (25.9 - 31%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
With gravity + eq
112+ Atk Forretress Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Bronzong: 146-172 (43.1 - 50.8%) -- 3.9% chance to 2HKO

Nite -> nite can be a great threat to forre especially if you have Fpunch that is not the case. Well, with support, the iron plate does significant damage, forcing Nite to use DD +1, but it is not enough. The most he gets is with Superpower and lowering the defense is not a good idea.
112+ Atk Iron Plate Forretress Gyro Ball (150 BP) vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Dragonite: 229-271 (70.8 - 83.9%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

Shaymin -> click Bug Bite or Gyro
252+ SpA Life Orb Shaymin Seed Flare vs. 252 HP / 0 SpD Forretress: 87-103 (24.5 - 29%) -- 99.9% chance to 4HKO
112+ Atk Forretress Bug Bite vs. 4 HP / 0 Def Shaymin: 150-176 (43.8 - 51.4%) -- 7.8% chance to 2HKO
112+ Atk Iron Plate Forretress Gyro Ball (150 BP) vs. 4 HP / 0 Def Shaymin: 220-259 (64.3 - 75.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

Edit

 

[Siglut]

Zong -> no one would use this if it is not to break a specific core. The best Zong can do here is Trick and take Macho Brace by CB Forre. I am a little faster, so Gravity first + EQ is enough.

Because of macho brace you aren't faster, right? if zong tricks on gravity you're locked in and will lose quickly. If you bug bite turn 1 on a trick you'll win, but if they eq on your bug bite you lose, making this a 50/50 rather than a counter.

 

[49 Days]

Lapras @ Rindo Berry
Ability: Water Absorb
EVs: 252 HP / 56 Def / 200 SpA
Modest Nature
- Hydro Pump
- Blizzard
- Ice Shard

I really don't know if precision is taken into account in this game but I think Lapras somehow breaks this although it doesn't seem reliable. Well, against the 3 he suffers a lot of damage, that's why I had to make a change.

Zong -> cb zong may be a problem. Zen is what Lapras fears the most here. The funny thing is that it does damage very similar to that of Hpump. I am also faster.
200+ SpA Lapras Hydro Pump vs. 252 HP / 4 SpD Bronzong: 135-160 (39.9 - 47.3%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
252+ Atk Choice Band Bronzong Zen Headbutt vs. 252 HP / 56 Def Lapras: 186-220 (40 - 47.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

Nite -> It seemed this was the easiest thing with his double weakness to ice. But considering the Yache Berry it is not like that. Spower is the most damage to Lapras but with Blizzard + Ice Shard is enough.
252+ Atk Dragonite Superpower vs. 252 HP / 56 Def Lapras: 330-390 (71.1 - 84%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
200+ SpA Lapras Blizzard vs. 0 HP / 4 SpD Yache Berry Dragonite: 306-362 (94.7 - 112%) -- 68.8% chance to OHKO

Shaymin -> here the role of the Rindo Berry is key without her help Shaymin kills Flare without problems. otherwise it is similar to the previous one. Blizzard + Ice Combo.
252+ SpA Life Orb Shaymin Seed Flare vs. 252 HP / 0 SpD Rindo Berry Lapras: 244-288 (52.5 - 62%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
200+ SpA Lapras Blizzard vs. 4 HP / 0 SpD Shaymin: 308-366 (90 - 107%) -- 43.8% chance to OHKO

I'm sorry if it turns out a bit heavy but it's the last one I add.

 

[Here Comes Team Charm!]

Can't believe nobody's done this one yet.

Shedinja @ Choice Band
Ability: Wonder Guard
EVs: 252 Atk
Adamant Nature
- X-Scissor

Bronzong can't hit you with its steel/psychic/ground moveset while you comfortably 3hko.
252+ Atk Choice Band Shedinja X-Scissor vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Bronzong: 148-174 (43.7 - 51.4%) -- 9.8% chance to 2HKO

Dragonite, same story, you just take slightly longer.
252+ Atk Choice Band Shedinja X-Scissor vs. 0 HP / 4 Def Dragonite: 87-102 (26.9 - 31.5%) -- guaranteed 4HKO

Shaymin might beat you with leech seed but you got the 87.5% victory chance and that's all that matters.
252+ Atk Choice Band Shedinja X-Scissor vs. 4 HP / 0 Def Shaymin: 336-396 (98.2 - 115.7%) -- 87.5% chance to OHKO

 

[pqs]

The seventh BMT cycle is over, with Here comes team Charm!'s Shedinja post winning a spot in the hall of fame!

This next team, in SWSH, is by Boat (phiwings99). This cycle will last until April 20th.

Team to Break

Goodra @ Haban Berry
Ability: Gooey
EVs: 248 HP / 132 Def / 124 SpA / 4 Spe
Calm Nature
IVs: 0 Atk
- Acid Spray
- Sludge Wave
- Draco Meteor
- Counter

Avalugg @ Choice Band
Ability: Sturdy
EVs: 8 HP / 252 Atk / 248 Def
Relaxed Nature
IVs: 0 Spe
- Icicle Spear
- Body Press
- Earthquake
- Heavy Slam

Incineroar @ Chople Berry
Ability: Intimidate
EVs: 152 HP / 104 Atk / 252 Def
Adamant Nature
- Flare Blitz
- Darkest Lariat
- Fake Out
- Taunt

Enjoy!

tagging Rosa for the Kyubits (if it doesn't i pay you the money instead)

 

[Ehmcee]

Introducing: Brionne!

Brionne

Brionne @ Eviolite
Ability: Liquid Voice
EVs: 192 HP / 140 SpD / 176 Spe
Timid Nature
IVs: 0 Atk
- Toxic
- Protect
- Substitute
- Hyper Voice

Incineroar
104+ Atk Incineroar Fake Out vs. 192 HP / 0 Def Eviolite Brionne: 36-43 (11.6 - 13.9%) -- possible 8HKO
104+ Atk Incineroar Darkest Lariat vs. 192 HP / 0 Def Eviolite Brionne: 112-133 (36.3 - 43.1%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
0 SpA Liquid Voice Brionne Hyper Voice vs. 152 HP / 0 SpD Incineroar: 198-234 (53.6 - 63.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
104+ Atk Incineroar Darkest Lariat vs. 192 HP / 0 Def Eviolite Brionne: 112-133 (36.3 - 43.1%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
0 SpA Liquid Voice Brionne Hyper Voice vs. 152 HP / 0 SpD Incineroar: 198-234 (53.6 - 63.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

Avalugg
0 SpA Liquid Voice Brionne Hyper Voice vs. 8 HP / 0- SpD Avalugg: 184-217 (55.2 - 65.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
248+ Def Choice Band Avalugg Body Press vs. 192 HP / 0 Def Eviolite Brionne: 169-199 (54.8 - 64.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
0 SpA Liquid Voice Brionne Hyper Voice vs. 8 HP / 0- SpD Avalugg: 184-217 (55.2 - 65.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

Goodra
Speed EV's outspeed goodra by one point, Sub T1, all of Goodra's moves can't break it except draco meteor.
In both scenarios, toxic stall with prot+sub while making sure to always have a sub up.

 

[DannyDoritos]

Rhyperior

Rhyperior @ Choice Band
Ability: Solid Rock
EVs: 252 Atk
Adamant Nature
- Rock Wrecker
- Rock Blast

252+ Atk Choice Band Rhyperior Rock Blast (3 hits) vs. 8 HP / 248+ Def Avalugg: 198-240 (59.4 - 72%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

248+ Def Choice Band Avalugg Body Press vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Rhyperior: 298-352 (60.1 - 71.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
Rhyperior out speeds and only needs one 3 hit.

252+ Atk Choice Band Rhyperior Rock Wrecker vs. 248 HP / 132 Def Goodra: 481-567 (125.5 - 148%) -- guaranteed OHKO

124 SpA Goodra Draco Meteor vs. 0 HP / 0 SpD Rhyperior: 274-324 (73.8 - 87.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO


-1 252+ Atk Choice Band Rhyperior Rock Wrecker vs. 152 HP / 252 Def Incineroar: 480-566 (130 - 153.3%) -- guaranteed OHKO
Incineroar does no damage

 

[Ehmcee]

Rhyperior

Rhyperior @ Choice Band
Ability: Solid Rock
EVs: 252 Atk
Adamant Nature
- Rock Wrecker
- Rock Blast

252+ Atk Choice Band Rhyperior Rock Blast (3 hits) vs. 8 HP / 248+ Def Avalugg: 198-240 (59.4 - 72%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

248+ Def Choice Band Avalugg Body Press vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Rhyperior: 298-352 (60.1 - 71.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
Rhyperior out speeds and only needs one 3 hit.

252+ Atk Choice Band Rhyperior Rock Wrecker vs. 248 HP / 132 Def Goodra: 481-567 (125.5 - 148%) -- guaranteed OHKO

124 SpA Goodra Draco Meteor vs. 0 HP / 0 SpD Rhyperior: 274-324 (73.8 - 87.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO


-1 252+ Atk Choice Band Rhyperior Rock Wrecker vs. 152 HP / 252 Def Incineroar: 480-566 (130 - 153.3%) -- guaranteed OHKO
Incineroar does no damage

I see you've copied my color coding

bold move...

 

[Eriey]

Throat Spray Silvally 2: Electric Boogaloo
Silvally @ Throat Spray
Ability: RKS System
EVs: 92 HP / 252 Def / 164 SpA
Modest Nature
- Hyper Beam
- Metal Sound
- Crush Claw
-Hyper Voice

Goodra:
Metal Sound to get your Throat Spray +1, then Hyper Beam
+1 164+ SpA Silvally Hyper Beam vs. -2 248 HP / 0+ SpD Goodra: 384-453 (100.2 - 118.2%) -- guaranteed OHKO

Goodra is nowhere near killing
124 SpA Goodra Draco Meteor vs. 92 HP / 0 SpD Silvally: 178-210 (50.2 - 59.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

Avalugg:
Crush Claw (50% chance to lower defense aka lower Body Press damage) to break Sturdy then Hyper Beam
248+ Def Choice Band Avalugg Body Press vs. 92 HP / 252 Def Silvally: 306-360 (86.4 - 101.6%) -- 12.5% chance to OHKO this is technically still within the boundary, but that's what Crush Claw is for
164+ SpA Silvally Hyper Beam vs. 8 HP / 0- SpD Avalugg: 411-484 (123.4 - 145.3%) -- guaranteed OHKO

Actually use Hyper Voice to Hyper Beam instead for the accuracy
164+ SpA Silvally Hyper Voice vs. 152 HP / 0 SpD Incineroar: 132-156 (35.7 - 42.2%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
+1 164+ SpA Silvally Hyper Beam vs. 152 HP / 0 SpD Incineroar: 328-387 (88.8 - 104.8%) -- 31.3% chance to OHKO

Incineroar is nowhere near killing
104+ Atk Incineroar Fake Out vs. 92 HP / 252 Def Silvally: 33-39 (9.3 - 11%) -- possibly the worst move ever
104+ Atk Incineroar Flare Blitz vs. 92 HP / 252 Def Silvally: 144-169 (40.6 - 47.7%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

 

[IBM]

Sorry fellas. I tried, but this is the closest I could come to 0 Ivs 0 evs with blastoise. If goodra wasn’t haban it would be good :(

Blastoise @ Liechi Berry
Ability: Torrent
EVs: 252 Atk
Lonely Nature
IVs: 0 HP / 0 Def / 0 SpA / 0 SpD / 0 Spe
- Hydro Pump
- Shell Smash
- Ice Punch
- Substitute


Shell smash t1, sub until you get to liechi, then ice punch.

+3 252+ Atk Blastoise Ice Punch vs. 248 HP / 132 Def Goodra: 374-442 (97.6 - 115.4%) -- 87.5% chance to OHKO

124 SpA Goodra Draco Meteor vs. 0 HP / 0 SpD Blastoise: 186-220 (69.4 - 82%) -- guaranteed 2HKO


Pump twice

0 SpA Blastoise Hydro Pump vs. 8 HP / 0- SpD Avalugg: 180-213 (54 - 63.9%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

252 Atk Choice Band Avalugg Earthquake vs. 0 HP / 0- Def Blastoise: 194-229 (72.3 - 85.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO


Pump twice, you outspeed

0 SpA Blastoise Hydro Pump vs. 152 HP / 0 SpD Incineroar: 192-228 (52 - 61.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

104+ Atk Incineroar Darkest Lariat vs. 0 HP / 0- Def Blastoise: 160-189 (59.7 - 70.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

 

[zxgzxg]

Funny Thanos Meme Haha

Wailmer @ Eviolite
Ability: Pressure
Shiny: Yes
EVs: 132 SpA / 208 SpD / 168 Spe
Modest Nature
IVs: 0 Atk
- Hydro Pump
- Ice Beam
- Substitute
- Aqua Ring

Goodra
132+ SpA Wailmer Ice Beam vs. 248 HP / 0+ SpD Goodra: 80-96 (20.8 - 25%) -- 0% chance to 4HKO
124 SpA Goodra Draco Meteor vs. 0 HP / 208 SpD Eviolite Wailmer: 169-201 (42.1 - 50.1%) -- 0.4% chance to 2HKO
-2 124 SpA Goodra Draco Meteor vs. 0 HP / 208 SpD Eviolite Wailmer: 84-100 (20.9 - 24.9%) -- guaranteed 5HKO
124 SpA Goodra Sludge Wave vs. 0 HP / 208 SpD Eviolite Wailmer: 83-98 (20.6 - 24.4%) -- guaranteed 5HKO
Takes too much words to explain, watch these replays:
If Goodra spams Draco Meteor first: https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen81v1-1095778893
If Goodra spams Sludge Wave first: https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen81v1-1095780760


Avalugg
132+ SpA Wailmer Hydro Pump vs. 8 HP / 0- SpD Avalugg: 235-277 (70.5 - 83.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
252 Atk Choice Band Avalugg Icicle Spear (5 hits) vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Eviolite Wailmer: 210-250 (52.3 - 62.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
248+ Def Choice Band Avalugg Body Press vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Eviolite Wailmer: 277-326 (69 - 81.2%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
252 Atk Choice Band Avalugg Earthquake vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Eviolite Wailmer: 225-265 (56.1 - 66%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
wait why no mirror coat? and why minus spdef? why?
Outspeed and 2HKO


Incineroar
132+ SpA Wailmer Hydro Pump vs. 152 HP / 0 SpD Incineroar: 252-296 (68.2 - 80.2%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
104+ Atk Incineroar Fake Out vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Eviolite Wailmer: 58-69 (14.4 - 17.2%) -- possible 6HKO
104+ Atk Incineroar Darkest Lariat vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Eviolite Wailmer: 186-219 (46.3 - 54.6%) -- 57.4% chance to 2HKO
Outspeed and 2HKO
Incin can't kill after Fake Out

 

[Siglut]

Here is a quick one before bed:

Arcanine @ Choice Band
Ability: Intimidate
EVs: 248 HP / 24 Atk / 176 Spe
Jolly Nature
- Flamethrower
- Outrage
- Close Combat

resistance berries? I barely know her.

Avalugg: Flamethrower twice. I initially had that as sacred fire in the calc and it was only barely a 2hko but it turns out that arcanine has never had that move and I must have had it mixed up with entei I guess. Flamethrower is better anyway.
0- SpA Arcanine Flamethrower vs. 8 HP / 0- SpD Avalugg: 356-422 (106.9 - 126.7%) -- guaranteed OHKO
-1 252 Atk Choice Band Avalugg Earthquake vs. 248 HP / 0 Def Arcanine: 244-288 (63.7 - 75.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

Goodra: Outrage twice.
24 Atk Choice Band Arcanine Outrage vs. 248 HP / 132 Def Haban Berry Goodra: 162-191 (42.2 - 49.8%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
Possible damage amounts: (162, 164, 166, 168, 169, 171, 173, 175, 177, 179, 181, 183, 185, 187, 189, 191)
This arcanine has 383 HP so it can never lose to counter, and it has 297 speed so it will always be faster at -1.
124 SpA Goodra Draco Meteor vs. 248 HP / 0 SpD Arcanine: 204-241 (53.2 - 62.9%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

Incineroar: Close Combat.
24 Atk Choice Band Arcanine Close Combat vs. 152 HP / 252 Def Chople Berry Incineroar: 121-143 (32.7 - 38.7%) -- 99.3% chance to 3HKO
Possible damage amounts: (121, 122, 124, 125, 127, 128, 130, 131, 132, 134, 135, 137, 138, 140, 141, 143) (chople)
Possible damage amounts: (242, 244, 248, 250, 254, 256, 260, 262, 264, 268, 270, 274, 276, 280, 282, 286) (post-chople)
There are seven combinations of damage rolls here that lead to incineroar surviving two close combats, out of a total of 256 possible combinations, meaning it's a little better than 97% to die there. Luckily, that 3ish% shouldn't ever be impactful, as:
-1 104+ Atk Incineroar Fake Out vs. 248 HP / 0 Def Arcanine: 32-38 (8.3 - 9.9%)
-1 104+ Atk Incineroar Darkest Lariat vs. 248 HP / 0 Def Arcanine: 100-118 (26.1 - 30.8%)
-1 104+ Atk Incineroar Flare Blitz vs. -2 248 HP / 0 Def Arcanine: 141-166 (36.8 - 43.3%)
Darkest lariat ignores arcanine's defense drop, at least in the calc. While flare blitz does a little more than darkest lariat would against -1 incineroar, that would absolutely guarantee the 2hko. However, fake out into darkest lariat into flare blitz will never knock arcanine out, so even if the incineroar pulls off a miracle and avoids the 2hko it still needs a crit to win.

 

[Siglut]

I should have gone to bed but instead did this. It's another one with fun incineroar math:

Mew @ Maranga Berry
Ability: Synchronize
EVs: 252 Def / 252 SpA / 4 SpD
Bold Nature
- Charm
- Earth Power
- Nasty Plot
- Ice Beam

Avalugg: earth power twice
252 SpA Mew Earth Power vs. 8 HP / 0- SpD Avalugg: 168-198 (50.4 - 59.4%)
252 Atk Choice Band Avalugg Icicle Spear (5 hits) vs. 0 HP / 252+ Def Mew: 210-245 (61.5 - 71.8%)

Goodra: np into two ice beams. Maranga berry saves you (253 times out of 256) from acid spray->draco. The 4 Spdef comes in handy by removing two possibilities here. mew has 341 hp for reference here, so goodra needs max roll draco plus top 3 roll on acid spray.
+2 252 SpA Mew Ice Beam vs. 248 HP / 0+ SpD Goodra: 210-248 (54.8 - 64.7%)
124 SpA Goodra Acid Spray vs. 0 HP / 0 SpD Mew: 35-42 (10.2 - 12.3%)
Possible damage amounts: (35, 36, 36, 36, 37, 37, 38, 38, 39, 39, 39, 40, 40, 41, 41, 42)
124 SpA Goodra Draco Meteor vs. -1 0 HP / 4 SpD Mew: 255-300 (74.7 - 87.9%)
Possible damage amounts: (255, 258, 261, 264, 267, 270, 273, 276, 279, 282, 285, 288, 291, 294, 297, 300)

Incineroar: charm->earth power spam.
252 SpA Mew Earth Power vs. 152 HP / 0 SpD Incineroar: 180-212 (48.7 - 57.4%) -- 94.1% chance to 2HKO
104+ Atk Incineroar Fake Out vs. 0 HP / 252+ Def Mew: 28-34 (8.2 - 9.9%)
Possible damage amounts: (28, 29, 29, 29, 30, 30, 30, 31, 31, 31, 32, 32, 32, 33, 33, 34)
-2 104+ Atk Incineroar Darkest Lariat vs. 0 HP / 252+ Def Mew: 90-108 (26.3 - 31.6%)
Possible damage amounts: (90, 90, 92, 92, 96, 96, 96, 98, 98, 98, 102, 102, 102, 104, 104, 108)
It's super unlikely but incineroar can technically win this by dodging the earth power 2hko and getting high rolls on all of its attacks. I'd do the math now but I've got physics in 8 1/2 hours and want to sleep. It's probably like less than one % though.

 

[DannyDoritos]

Carkol @ Eviolite
Ability: Flame Body
EVs: 80 HP / 176 Atk / 252 SpD
Impish Nature
- Will-O-Wisp
- Rock Blast
- Overheat
- Rest


Among all the things that can break this, it occurs to me to include Carkol. It is not that it is very striking but if the calculations do not fail it is viable.

Incineroar -> interesting set with bulk taking advantage of Intimidate to hold more. Here what more damage fits is his dark stab
104+ Atk Incineroar Darkest Lariat vs. 80 HP / 0+ Def Eviolite Carkol: 84-99 (26.1 - 30.8%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
For my part, the best option is rock blast considering the -1 in attack, maybe it won't do much but I can hit several times each turn.
-1 176 Atk Carkol Rock Blast (2 hits) vs. 152 HP / 252 Def Incineroar: 60-72 (16.2 - 19.5%) -- possible 6HKO
-1 176 Atk Carkol Rock Blast (5 hits) vs. 152 HP / 252 Def Incineroar: 150-180 (40.6 - 48.7%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

Avalugg -> You don't have to be very smart to know that EQ CB avalugg eliminates Carkol without any problem.
252 Atk Choice Band Avalugg Earthquake vs. 80 HP / 0+ Def Eviolite Carkol: 408-480 (127.1 - 149.5%) -- guaranteed OHKO
but I am faster and this is what he does with wow.
252 Atk Choice Band burned Avalugg Earthquake vs. 80 HP / 0+ Def Eviolite Carkol: 204-240 (63.5 - 74.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
finally this would be with Overheat.
0- SpA Carkol Overheat vs. 8 HP / 0- SpD Avalugg: 338-402 (101.5 - 120.7%) -- guaranteed OHKO

Goodra -> here is to wear little by little with wow rest or rock blast until Goodra is eliminated. This is done by D Meteor.
124 SpA Goodra Draco Meteor vs. 80 HP / 252 SpD Eviolite Carkol: 112-133 (34.8 - 41.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

Can't the Goodra just click acid spray twice
124 SpA Goodra Draco Meteor vs. -4 80 HP / 252 SpD Eviolite Carkol: 339-400 (105.6 - 124.6%) -- guaranteed OHKO

 

[DannyDoritos]

Primarina

Primarina @ Choice Specs
Ability: Torrent
EVs: 69 Atk / 252 SpA / 168 Spe
IVs: 0 Atk
- Moonblast

you out speed and 2HKO
252 SpA Choice Specs Primarina Moonblast vs. 248 HP / 0+ SpD Goodra: 290-344 (75.7 - 89.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
124 SpA Goodra Sludge Wave vs. 0 HP / 0 SpD Primarina: 146-174 (48.5 - 57.8%) -- 94.1% chance to 2HKO

you out speed and 2HKO
252 SpA Choice Specs Primarina Moonblast vs. 8 HP / 0- SpD Avalugg: 466-549 (139.9 - 164.8%) -- guaranteed OHKO
252 Atk Choice Band Avalugg Heavy Slam (120 BP) vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Primarina: 233-275 (77.4 - 91.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

you out speed and 2HKO
104+ Atk Incineroar Fake Out vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Primarina: 51-60 (16.9 - 19.9%) -- guaranteed 6HKO
252 SpA Choice Specs Primarina Moonblast vs. 152 HP / 0 SpD Incineroar: 249-294 (67.4 - 79.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
104+ Atk Incineroar Flare Blitz vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Primarina: 112-132 (37.2 - 43.8%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

 

[Cantius]

c-teaming with standard stuff this time

Conkeldurr @ Flame Orb
Ability: Guts
EVs: 4 HP / 252 Atk / 252 Def
Adamant Nature
- Close Combat
- Mach Punch
- Protect
- Payback

tect t1
252+ Atk Guts Conkeldurr Close Combat vs. 248 HP / 132 Def Goodra: 384-453 (100.2 - 118.2%) -- guaranteed OHKO
124 SpA Goodra Draco Meteor vs. 4 HP / 0 SpD Conkeldurr: 241-285 (68.4 - 80.9%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after burn damage

tect t1
252+ Atk Guts Conkeldurr Mach Punch vs. 8 HP / 248+ Def Avalugg: 104-126 (31.2 - 37.8%) -- 84.2% chance to 3HKO
252+ Atk Guts Conkeldurr Close Combat vs. 8 HP / 248+ Def Avalugg: 314-372 (94.2 - 111.7%) -- 62.5% chance to OHKO
252 Atk Choice Band Avalugg Icicle Spear (5 hits) vs. 4 HP / 252 Def Conkeldurr: 240-285 (68.1 - 80.9%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after burn damage

tect t1 so fake out doesn't matter
-1 252+ Atk Guts Conkeldurr Mach Punch vs. 152 HP / 252 Def Chople Berry Incineroar: 64-76 (17.3 - 20.5%) -- possible 5HKO
kill the chople
-1 252+ Atk Guts Conkeldurr Close Combat vs. 152 HP / 252 Def Incineroar: 384-452 (104 - 122.4%) -- guaranteed OHKO
104+ Atk Incineroar Flare Blitz vs. 4 HP / 252 Def Conkeldurr: 144-169 (40.9 - 48%) -- 5.1% chance to 2HKO after burn damage

 

[Cantius]

Keldeo @ Choice Specs
Ability: Justified
EVs: 252 SpA / 4 SpD / 252 Spe
Timid Nature
IVs: 0 Atk
- Surf
- Secret Sword

252 SpA Choice Specs Keldeo Secret Sword vs. 248 HP / 132 Def Goodra: 234-276 (61 - 72%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
124 SpA Goodra Draco Meteor vs. 0 HP / 4 SpD Keldeo: 186-219 (57.5 - 67.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

248+ Def Avalugg Body Press vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Keldeo: 136-161 (42.1 - 49.8%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
252 SpA Choice Specs Keldeo Secret Sword vs. 8 HP / 248+ Def Avalugg: 192-228 (57.6 - 68.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

252 SpA Choice Specs Keldeo Surf vs. 152 HP / 0 SpD Incineroar: 480-566 (130 - 153.3%) -- guaranteed OHKO

 

[49 Days]

You should think less for next time and always look for something safer.

Gardevoir @ Babiri Berry
Ability: Trace
EVs: 176 HP / 248 Def / 76 SpA / 8 Spe
Bold Nature
IVs: 0 Atk
- Moonblast
- Protect
- Mystical Fire
- CM

Incineroar -> protect in fake Blast and recoil.
76 SpA Gardevoir Moonblast vs. 152 HP / 0 SpD Incineroar: 144-171 (39 - 46.3%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
104+ Atk Incineroar Flare Blitz vs. 176 HP / 248+ Def Gardevoir: 166-196 (51.7 - 61%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

Avalugg -> 76 SpA Gardevoir Mystical Fire vs. 8 HP / 0- SpD Avalugg: 286-338 (85.8 - 101.5%) -- 12.5% chance to OHKO
252 Atk Choice Band Avalugg Icicle Spear (5 hits) vs. 176 HP / 248+ Def Gardevoir: 270-320 (84.1 - 99.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

Goodra-> CM and Blast 198 speed > 197.