NOC Bigvivor Mafia Game Thread Day 5

Anyway here's what I wanted to look at and I'm caught up

Boys girls and enbies, for my performance tonight I will be ISOing Laurel, more specifically who he has bothered to talk about or mention at all:
Final tally:
Town Read:
Haruno I
M2H I
Caff II

Clouds I

Scum Read:
Eli IIII
realiti II
Sam IIII
Texas IIII
DLE IIII

Cel III
shadowpea I
M2H I
Dyo I

Note the absolute lack of progression. M2H had an early tr and a late sr and they are literally the only person to appear in both lists, and only once. Eli was shaded from the start of D1 and that has continued. Caff and Clouds were towny in RVS in their view and still are just town, when they've had a v rocky path through this game with a lot of town and scum cred at various points. He threw one Haruno tr and now Haruno is dead. Beyond that, Laurel has only scumread, basically saying no one is town.

realiti seemed to be a top scumread and now he's completely dropped that. Not saying he changed his mind, just ignoring his existence

Almost all of his reads involve more active players and he's never commented on others. shadowpea he scumread toward EoD2 but that's it and he didn't provide reasoning, and Dyo he only scumread through Spiderz.

Speaking of, Spiderz is by far and away one of the most active players this game and he was just, never mentioned or read by Laurel? Which is weird considering Laurel's complete focus on active players.

Laurel's brought up DLE as a scumread frequently with basically no reasoning, and DLE has literally not been here so what's up with that

For posterity:
Never mentioned:
Ayia
Dave
Drookez
Psy
Ryo
Vizh

Whydon has been interacted with but totally NAI-ly

This is not a player trying to solve this game. And for posterity this ISO revealed something interesting af. Remember when I referenced that someone said Haruno should be killed tonight bc of 3p potentiality and sorta just assumed that was me? Acc no, it was Laurel:

Vote Laurel

Paranoid maf scared of 3p win taking out Haruno theory tick

I understand the timing of this is OMGUS but imma be real I think this is consistent with prior reads. Laurel has sucked since gamestart

And me typing that sentence has just made me realise it's even weirder that Laurel has never responded to Spiderz really. Spiderz has said Laurel has been scummy more than anyone else and there was never an exchange? Honestly if Laurel is scum it implicates Spiderz a fair bit, which hurts me to say bc Spiderz has been great this game I'm a huge fan of his work
:blobglare:

he's doing that thing

that thing he did last game

idk if this is the thing I caught him on but I caught him on something last game...

fuck I have to read last game.
 
also texas cant kill haruno last night M2H they were in different groups…..
besides texas who else do you scumread and from 1-100 how sure are you that texas is scum?

I mean the first point is an easy one which is that the scum team could have decided on a kill during the day phase. I mean the scum team may have been informed about the split dynamic before anybody else / they could have had two kills (and scum in Haruno's group just inferred that that was a good kill for Texas) / lots of other pointless speculation.

The harder question in this thread is who do I townread which is like CB / Spiderz / Ryodio / Psy / Nuxl and to a lighter degree Clouds / Whydon. Honestly I don't even know anymore regarding scum reads, which is a lame thing to say, but my ability to sort slots in such a huge game is honestly not there. Assuming four scum at this stage a rand read would be around a 20% scum yeah? With that considered I think Texas is around a 45% scum here. In any case I do think it is ultimately necessary to vote them out here as a Texas flip would ultimately increase the health of the thread / provide information regarding slots such as Celever, UncleSam, etc.,

Ultimately I would be inclined to vote in the group pile, but my headcanon atm is that Celever was the triggerman, but that only makes sense in a scum!Texas world so I can't really pursue that atm. The person in the thread that I think is most cooperating with what looks like Texas doing a weak attempt at powerscumming here is Celever. In a town!Texas world I ultimately probably read Celever town and look at slots like Ayia/Drookez/maybe you tbh?/Dave? instead but in a scum!Texas world Celever is ultimately the best bet in that pile. TBH I think UncleSam is a good contended for scum in that universe as well as their move to defend me felt like an attempt at deepscumming if I'm being honest.
 
I’m currently leaning towards voting Dyo. I think of the people on that tribe, the most suspicious ones to me are just, DLE/Dave/Dyo/Laurel.

Dave and DLE don’t have a lot of thread presence and I don’t know about making a judgement. While I am suspicious of Laurel, I do kinda like the contribution and agree with some of his statements. I’m mainly waiting to see if DLE/Dave/Laurel/Someone else do something that makes me change my mind.
 
Sorry I’ve been busy all weekend I will be at home in like two hours but we don’t have a ton of time left to make a real vote today

I’ve been trying to follow the thread while out and about as much as I can but I will say I strongly support a Dyo vote today. His role makes no sense as town and his targeting Hal claim not only makes no sense but also gives him cover if he got tracked or watched while killing Hal.

I’m going to dig into the prior posts more when I’m at a computer and see if I can validate this but I’m pretty sure this is mechanically 100% the correct vote today.

I wanted to get this post out there ASAP so people would have more time to respond, if you don’t like this vote then please state the following:
A. Why you don’t like it, explicitly
B. Who you would like to push instead given how far into the day we already are

We need to get our shit in gear this is embarrassing

Unvote
Vote Dyo


- friendly hydra
 
im giving up on tiermaker its not working for some reason lel but this means i have to type D:

HT:
spiderz -honestly just gives me a town vibe. i liked his d2 and that he was part of the discussion, interacted, etc. his argument as whydon honestly struck me as town because scum prolly wont unnecessarily draw attention to themselves like that.
psy
nuxl
clouds/drookez/texas because roles

ST:
celever - despite what a lot of ppl are saying celever is still being very helpful in a towny sort of way. the post that yall dismissed as bad and illogical shows this for me. hes trying to help. maybe not well, but its much easier to see a townie making that kind of post than a scum
whydon
realiti
ryodio - good tone and vibe and basically psy but softer/less certain
sam - his d1 sucked thats a fact but d2 and today hes been solvy and helpful and everything. of course this could be scum covering self but ive not been getting any bad vibes or anything (sorry if im relyiing on vibes too much idk how to read people too much besides gut feelings, and ive got nothing on meta cuz its my first game lol im going off of what yall say in terms of meta)

i do think i gotta read a bit more about this persons:
m2h

neutral:
DEL
everyone not talking/i didnt mention
ayia
caff
yeti lmao

SS:
vizh - sounds quite nervous and uncomfortable idk maybe because hes new like me but ive not been getting the same energy im gettting from psy and i think everyone else can agree
dave - talked about this
dyo - his claim & behavior that everyone went over 9999 times already


man:
sificon legit the easiest role to win as ever lmao if i just keep doing what i do and stay low profile yall would know that you cant stop me or someone acting like me. unless rbed its a free n4 win, sificon just drew too much attention to themself for doing too much of nothing and then his sub legit just claimed arsonist lmao/
this completely low effort post is gonna get me sussed me fast but icba to make it better rn
and vote dave
just as likely to hop onto the dyo wagon tho
if Duskfall98 uses dark mode, he's not gonna see that vote.
 
1642974259709.png

M2H and Texas rn
 
Unofficial Day 3.2 Votecount
Dyo (3): Spiderz, CaffeineBoost, UncleSam
Drookez (2): Nuxl (2)
Clouds (1): realiti
Laurel (1): Celever
Celever (1): Laurel
M2H (1): Texas Cloverleaf
dave (1): shadowpea

Not Voting (11): Ayia, Clouds, Da Letter El, dave, Drookez, Dyo, Psypsypsypsypsythe, RyoDio, Vizh, Whydon, M2H

With 20 alive, it takes 11 to hammer.


EDIT NOTE: EDITED DYO (2) to DYO (3)
 
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