So bans are often based on tournaments, not ladders. And lately I have been thinking why tournaments need to ban things that are no problem on ladder. And I think I know why.
Many recent bans (at least in Gen 9 NatDex Doubles) are not on strategies that are too strong, but on strategies which are considered to be matchup fishing. But matchup fishing is a problem caused by the tournament format. The tournament format encourages matchup fishing because each battle matters a lot and you know in advance who your opponent will be. You can watch what your opponent likes to use and then matchup fish for that, hoping you get lucky in that one battle you need to win.
But on the ladder matchup fishing is unviable. You generally have no idea who your opponent will be. The only way to try to matchup fish successfully is to have a team that is generally good so that most matchups will be in your favour. But then you are not matchup fishing, you are just using a generally good team. If you really matchup fish then you will get a few easy wins and a lot of losses and you will be stuck on low ladder. Ladder teams need to be consistent. Matchup fishing on the ladder is only good for low ladder trolling.
I think that a similar problem occurs with luck. Luck-based strategies would not really have a big impact on ladder even if they are allowed because of the law of large numbers. If you e.g. depend on Quick Claw to win then you might knock a better player out of a tournament due to you getting that 10% activation at the right time, but you generally won't knock the top ladder player out of his top spot for long because for each loss you give him you (or others) also give him 9 wins.
Tournaments are good for hype and drama because each game matters and because everything is personal but ladders are better for measuring skill. I think that a lot of Smogon bans are necessary only because Smogon favours tournaments over ladders.
Many recent bans (at least in Gen 9 NatDex Doubles) are not on strategies that are too strong, but on strategies which are considered to be matchup fishing. But matchup fishing is a problem caused by the tournament format. The tournament format encourages matchup fishing because each battle matters a lot and you know in advance who your opponent will be. You can watch what your opponent likes to use and then matchup fish for that, hoping you get lucky in that one battle you need to win.
But on the ladder matchup fishing is unviable. You generally have no idea who your opponent will be. The only way to try to matchup fish successfully is to have a team that is generally good so that most matchups will be in your favour. But then you are not matchup fishing, you are just using a generally good team. If you really matchup fish then you will get a few easy wins and a lot of losses and you will be stuck on low ladder. Ladder teams need to be consistent. Matchup fishing on the ladder is only good for low ladder trolling.
I think that a similar problem occurs with luck. Luck-based strategies would not really have a big impact on ladder even if they are allowed because of the law of large numbers. If you e.g. depend on Quick Claw to win then you might knock a better player out of a tournament due to you getting that 10% activation at the right time, but you generally won't knock the top ladder player out of his top spot for long because for each loss you give him you (or others) also give him 9 wins.
Tournaments are good for hype and drama because each game matters and because everything is personal but ladders are better for measuring skill. I think that a lot of Smogon bans are necessary only because Smogon favours tournaments over ladders.









