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Project Can you make me...

dw bro i gotchu
Can someone make me a Bruxxish set?
dw bro i gotchu

Bruxish @ Choice Band
Ability: Strong Jaw
EVs: 252 Atk / 4 SpD / 252 Spe
Jolly Nature
- Ice Fang
- Psychic Fangs
- Liquidation
- Crunch
now again its pretty bad but it can beat a couple stuff.like zard y,,golem,deoxys speed,zygarde
here are some of the calcs i got
zard y: 252 Atk Choice Band Strong Jaw Bruxish Psychic Fangs vs. 8 HP / 148 Def Charizard-Mega-Y: 276-325 (92.3 - 108.6%) -- 50% chance to OHKO
zygarde: 252 Atk Choice Band Strong Jaw Bruxish Ice Fang vs. 8 HP / 248 Def Zygarde: 380-448 (105.8 - 124.7%) -- guaranteed OHKO
deo (not stall deo) : 252 Atk Choice Band Strong Jaw Bruxish Crunch vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Deoxys-Speed: 370-436 (153.5 - 180.9%) -- guaranteed OHKO
golem: 252 Atk Choice Band Bruxish Liquidation vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Golem: 576-676 (191.3 - 224.5%) -- guaranteed OHKO

(again its pretty bad) :psygrump::psygrump::psygrump:
 
Last edited:
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252+ Atk Crustle Continental Crush (200 BP) vs. +1 40 HP / 236 Def Toucannon: 398-470 (128.8 - 152.1%) -- guaranteed OHKO

I’m psure your calc is off on this one

Also the donphan calcs are against the wrong set?
1 Sorry I forgot to account for the speed boosts on crustle.
2 I dont know how the calc got that off but I'll delete the crustle from the notes
3 groundium donphan can't hit touc for its life between rock tomb and regular head smash so I provided band phan just to show that even a +1 head smash can do the trick.
 
Can someone make me a Bruxxish set?
Bruxish @ Psychium Z
Ability: Dazzling
EVs: 196 HP / 252 Def / 60 SpA
Modest Nature
IVs: 0 Atk
- Psychic
- Ice Beam
- Surf
- Reflect

Reflect is decent on Bruxish, allowing Z-Ref Bruxish to soak up Z+STAB from GolPhan and be unaffected by priority. Also beats MVenu, ZyDad, LandoT, Krookodile, Mega Camerupt, amongst others

252+ Atk Donphan Tectonic Rage (180 BP) vs. 196 HP / 252 Def Bruxish through Reflect: 150-177 (46 - 54.2%) -- 55.9% chance to 2HKO
252+ Atk Donphan Earthquake vs. 196 HP / 252 Def Bruxish through Reflect: 84-99 (25.7 - 30.3%) -- guaranteed 4HKO

252+ Atk Lopunny-Mega Giga Impact vs. 196 HP / 252 Def Bruxish: 276-325 (84.6 - 99.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
252+ Atk Lopunny-Mega Flail (200 BP) vs. +1 196 HP / 252 Def Bruxish: 246-289 (75.4 - 88.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
 
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Can somone make me a zera set that beats both mew sets? not sure if its possible
As my math teacher says, "Yes ma'am"
Mixed Electrium (Zeraora) @ Electrium Z
Ability: Volt Absorb
EVs: 60 Atk / 168 SpA / 128 SpD / 152 Spe
Hasty Nature
- Plasma Fists
- Thunder
- Charge
- Fake Out

Attack for Magearna, Special Defense for Modest Lele, Speed for Gengar, rest in SpA for Gyarados
 
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Can you make me a crawdaunt that beats fire/steel types
Also a crawdaunt that uses shell armor to stall some mons out, they don’t have to be the same
Crawdaunt @ Custap Berry
Ability: Adaptability
EVs: 252 HP / 252 Atk / 4 SpD
Adamant Nature
- Superpower
- Crabhammer
- Endure
- Crunch

Very very very very easy to use. Swap to band if you want to beat BP Metagross. (this also beats zard x, not just y. Click crabhammer against x, and endure against y. 252+ Atk Adaptability Crawdaunt Crabhammer vs. 0 HP / 4 Def Charizard-Mega-Y in Sun: 272-324 (91.5 - 109%) -- 50% chance to OHKO. Yeah, whatever, it only 50% Y but you ain't eating against it soo)
 
Azu that beats lele? :D
This is the best I could come up with
Azumarill @ Chesto Berry
Ability: Huge Power
EVs: 248 HP / 8 Atk / 252 SpD
Careful Nature
- Iron Tail
- Rest
- Encore
- Amnesia

Rest turn 1 to check for z reflect, psychium, or scarf
Amnesia t2 and play from there
Encore to lock them into cm or reflect so they can’t boost on you while you’re resting

50/50 if they might cm t1 tho
 
a keldeo set that beats zards and megados View attachment 193989
194243

"This is the end keldeokorot! You dont stand a chance! I put all my power in this attack!"
"Hydro pump..."
"No...."
"Times...."
"No no no."
"2.5!"


Keldeo @ Waterium Z
EVs: 220 HP / 12 SpA / 84 SpD / 192 Spe
Timid Nature
- Hydro Pump
- Rain Dance
- HP Electric
- Secret Sword

Speed outpaces max speed charizard, bulk is set to tank an air slash from a max spa chary.
Gyara's matchups against keldeo are bad but using keldeo against charizard, this should work.

Rain Dance vs Air Slash
z-Hydro Pump

Rain Dance vs Flame Charge
Air Slash vs Z-Hydro Pump

Z-Rain Dance vs Flame Charge
Hydro Pump

Rain Dance vs Flame Charge (regular charizard)
Solar Beam vs Z-Rain Dance (Charizard Y)
Hydro Pump


252+ SpA Charizard-Mega-Y Air Slash vs. 220 HP / 84 SpD Keldeo: 312-368 (82.5 - 97.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
252+ SpA Charizard-Mega-Y Solar Beam vs. 220 HP / 84 SpD Keldeo: 332-392 (87.8 - 103.7%) -- 25% chance to OHKO
0- Atk Charizard-Mega-Y Flame Charge vs. 220 HP / 0 Def Keldeo in Rain: 13-16 (3.4 - 4.2%) -- possibly the worst move ever

Chary really struggles with this keldeo

12 SpA Keldeo Hydro Pump vs. 252 HP / 0 SpD Charizard-Mega-Y in Rain: 398-470 (110.5 - 130.5%) -- guaranteed OHKO
12 SpA Keldeo Hydro Vortex (185 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 SpD Charizard-Mega-Y in Rain: 666-786 (185 - 218.3%) -- guaranteed OHKO
Hydro cannon off the bat for jolly sets
EVs: 8 HP / 232 Atk / 36 Def / +232 Spe
EVs: 60 HP / 232 Atk / 56 Def / +160 Spe
EVs: 8 HP / 104 Atk / 156 Def / +240 Spe
EVs: 40 HP / 96 Atk / 140 Def / +232 Spe
EVs: 152 HP / 84 Atk / +208 Def / 64 Spe

12 SpA Keldeo Hydro Vortex (185 BP) vs. 40 HP / 0 SpD Charizard-Mega-X: 288-339 (93.8 - 110.4%) -- 62.5% chance to OHKO
12 SpA Keldeo Hydro Vortex (185 BP) vs. 60 HP / 0 SpD Charizard-Mega-X: 288-339 (92.3 - 108.6%) -- 50% chance to OHKO
12 SpA Keldeo Hydro Vortex (185 BP) vs. 8 HP / 0 SpD Charizard-Mega-X: 288-339 (96.3 - 113.3%) -- 75% chance to OHKO
12 SpA Keldeo Hydro Vortex (185 BP) vs. 152 HP / 0 SpD Charizard-Mega-X: 288-339 (85.9 - 101.1%) -- 6.3% chance to OHKO

EVs: 212 HP / 28 Atk / 172 SpD / 96 Spe
12 SpA Keldeo Hydro Vortex (185 BP) vs. 212 HP / 172 SpD Charizard-Mega-X: 237-280 (67.7 - 80%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

EVs: 24 HP / 252 SpD / 232 Spe
Jolly Nature
- Confide
- Flare Blitz
- Outrage
- Roost
This Charx can beat keldeo but its a non set

Charizard-Mega-X @ Charizardite X
Ability: Blaze
EVs: 212 HP / 132 Atk / 172 SpD / 8 Spe
Adamant Nature
- Thunder Punch
- Outrage
- Flare Blitz
- Flame Charge / Dragon Dance

Flame charge into outrage is a roll 132+ Atk Tough Claws Charizard-Mega-X (145) vs. 220 HP / 0 Def Keldeo: 339-400 (89.6 - 105.8%) -- 37.5% chance to OHKO . the second time, rain dance into z-hydro will kill.
DDance is a loss
+1 132+ Atk Tough Claws Charizard-Mega-X Outrage vs. 220 HP / 0 Def Keldeo: 420-495 (111.1 - 130.9%) -- guaranteed OHKO

note for those who do not like math, Thunder punch will do less than outrage. 75*2 = 150, 120*1.5 = 180
Terrible flow chart:

Regular gyarados Turn 1
/​
Mega uses OutrageSecret SwordW
Hidden PowerHidden PowerL
\​
Reg Gyara Uses OutrageSecret SwordL
Hidden PowerW
/​
Mega uses OutrageSecret SwordL
Secret SwordHidden PowerL
\​
Reg Gyara Uses OutrageSecret SwordL
Hidden PowerW

Mega Gyarados Turn 1
Hidden PowerMega Uses OutrageSecret SwordL
Secret SwordMega Uses OutrageSecret SwordW

EVs: 248 HP / +44 Atk / 28 Def / 44 SpD / 144 Spe

Gyara must run Dragon dance, and either outrage, earthquake, or bounce
Gyara will win 9/12 match ups all leading with dragon dance followed by an outrage. Its match ups all depend on when gyara will mega and keldeo choosing hidden power or secret sword

If this gyara does not run any one of those three moves, keldeo wins.

The following sets play out the same but with a key difference if gyarados does not run outrage
EVs: 248 HP / +16 Atk / 28 Def / 44 SpD / 172 Spe
+1 16+ Atk Gyarados Earthquake vs. 220 HP / 0 Def Keldeo: 158-187 (41.7 - 49.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

EVs: 248 HP / +40 Atk / 24 Def / 52 SpD / 144 Spe
+1 40+ Atk Gyarados Earthquake vs. 220 HP / 0 Def Keldeo: 162-191 (42.8 - 50.5%) -- 2.3% chance to 2HKO

EVs: 248 HP / 12 Def / 32 SpD / +216 Spe
+1 0 Atk Gyarados Outrage vs. 220 HP / 0 Def Keldeo: 171-202 (45.2 - 53.4%) -- 35.5% chance to 2HKO
+1 0 Atk Gyarados-Mega Earthquake vs. 220 HP / 0 Def Keldeo: 172-203 (45.5 - 53.7%) -- 41% chance to 2HKO

This set is unique with its +def nature
EVs: 136 HP / 4 Atk / +224 Def / 144 Spe
Gyarados has an 82% of victory if it mega evolves T1 (not factoring crits)
12 SpA Keldeo Secret Sword vs. 136 HP / 224+ Def Gyarados-Mega: 162-192 (44.3 - 52.6%) -- 18% chance to 2HKO

z-bounce wins against keldeo
12 SpA Keldeo Hidden Power Electric vs. 144 HP / 136 SpD Gyarados: 192-228 (52.3 - 62.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

While Keldeo's 33% victories against gyara look bleak, keep in mind that this is the worst case scenario for keldeo. If they do not DD turn one, run outrage, or DD twice, it can spell doom for the gyarados. Above is the optimized gyara v keldeo matchup.

EDIT:
Keldeo @ Waterium Z
Ability: Justified
EVs: 248 HP / 72 SpA / 104 SpD / 84 Spe
Timid Nature
IVs: 0 Atk
- Hydro Pump
- Rain Dance
- HP Electric
- Secret Sword

This should work a bit better, you are at 300 speed which outpaces 252 base 100's instead of 252+. You are tankier and have more SpA
 
Last edited:
View attachment 194243
"This is the end keldeokorot! You dont stand a chance! I put all my power in this attack!"
"Hydro pump..."
"No...."
"Times...."
"No no no."
"2.5!"


Keldeo @ Waterium Z
EVs: 220 HP / 12 SpA / 84 SpD / 192 Spe
Timid Nature
- Hydro Pump
- Rain Dance
- HP Electric
- Secret Sword

Speed outpaces max speed charizard, bulk is set to tank an air slash from a max spa chary.
Gyara's matchups against keldeo are bad but using keldeo against charizard, this should work.
This is version 1, will calc again with a slower set.

Rain Dance vs Air Slash
z-Hydro Pump

Rain Dance vs Flame Charge
Air Slash vs Z-Hydro Pump

Z-Rain Dance vs Flame Charge
Hydro Pump

Rain Dance vs Flame Charge (regular charizard)
Solar Beam vs Z-Rain Dance (Charizard Y)
Hydro Pump


252+ SpA Charizard-Mega-Y Air Slash vs. 220 HP / 84 SpD Keldeo: 312-368 (82.5 - 97.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
252+ SpA Charizard-Mega-Y Solar Beam vs. 220 HP / 84 SpD Keldeo: 332-392 (87.8 - 103.7%) -- 25% chance to OHKO
0- Atk Charizard-Mega-Y Flame Charge vs. 220 HP / 0 Def Keldeo in Rain: 13-16 (3.4 - 4.2%) -- possibly the worst move ever

Chary really struggles with this keldeo

12 SpA Keldeo Hydro Pump vs. 252 HP / 0 SpD Charizard-Mega-Y in Rain: 398-470 (110.5 - 130.5%) -- guaranteed OHKO
12 SpA Keldeo Hydro Vortex (185 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 SpD Charizard-Mega-Y in Rain: 666-786 (185 - 218.3%) -- guaranteed OHKO
Hydro cannon off the bat for jolly sets
EVs: 8 HP / 232 Atk / 36 Def / +232 Spe
EVs: 60 HP / 232 Atk / 56 Def / +160 Spe
EVs: 8 HP / 104 Atk / 156 Def / +240 Spe
EVs: 40 HP / 96 Atk / 140 Def / +232 Spe
EVs: 152 HP / 84 Atk / +208 Def / 64 Spe

12 SpA Keldeo Hydro Vortex (185 BP) vs. 40 HP / 0 SpD Charizard-Mega-X: 288-339 (93.8 - 110.4%) -- 62.5% chance to OHKO
12 SpA Keldeo Hydro Vortex (185 BP) vs. 60 HP / 0 SpD Charizard-Mega-X: 288-339 (92.3 - 108.6%) -- 50% chance to OHKO
12 SpA Keldeo Hydro Vortex (185 BP) vs. 8 HP / 0 SpD Charizard-Mega-X: 288-339 (96.3 - 113.3%) -- 75% chance to OHKO
12 SpA Keldeo Hydro Vortex (185 BP) vs. 152 HP / 0 SpD Charizard-Mega-X: 288-339 (85.9 - 101.1%) -- 6.3% chance to OHKO

EVs: 212 HP / 28 Atk / 172 SpD / 96 Spe
12 SpA Keldeo Hydro Vortex (185 BP) vs. 212 HP / 172 SpD Charizard-Mega-X: 237-280 (67.7 - 80%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

EVs: 24 HP / 252 SpD / 232 Spe
Jolly Nature
- Confide
- Flare Blitz
- Outrage
- Roost
This Charx can beat keldeo but its a non set

Charizard-Mega-X @ Charizardite X
Ability: Blaze
EVs: 212 HP / 132 Atk / 172 SpD / 8 Spe
Adamant Nature
- Thunder Punch
- Outrage
- Flare Blitz
- Flame Charge / Dragon Dance

Flame charge into outrage is a roll 132+ Atk Tough Claws Charizard-Mega-X (145) vs. 220 HP / 0 Def Keldeo: 339-400 (89.6 - 105.8%) -- 37.5% chance to OHKO . the second time, rain dance into z-hydro will kill.
DDance is a loss
+1 132+ Atk Tough Claws Charizard-Mega-X Outrage vs. 220 HP / 0 Def Keldeo: 420-495 (111.1 - 130.9%) -- guaranteed OHKO

note for those who do not like math, Thunder punch will do less than outrage. 75*2 = 150, 120*1.5 = 180
Terrible flow chart:

Regular gyarados Turn 1
/​
Mega uses OutrageSecret SwordW
Hidden PowerHidden PowerL
\​
Reg Gyara Uses OutrageSecret SwordL
Hidden PowerW
/​
Mega uses OutrageSecret SwordL
Secret SwordHidden PowerL
\​
Reg Gyara Uses OutrageSecret SwordL
Hidden PowerW

Mega Gyarados Turn 1
Hidden PowerMega Uses OutrageSecret SwordL
Secret SwordMega Uses OutrageSecret SwordW

EVs: 248 HP / +44 Atk / 28 Def / 44 SpD / 144 Spe

Gyara must run Dragon dance, and either outrage, earthquake, or bounce
Gyara will win 9/12 match ups all leading with dragon dance followed by an outrage. Its match ups all depend on when gyara will mega and keldeo choosing hidden power or secret sword

If this gyara does not run any one of those three moves, keldeo wins.

The following sets play out the same but with a key difference if gyarados does not run outrage
EVs: 248 HP / +16 Atk / 28 Def / 44 SpD / 172 Spe
+1 16+ Atk Gyarados Earthquake vs. 220 HP / 0 Def Keldeo: 158-187 (41.7 - 49.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

EVs: 248 HP / +40 Atk / 24 Def / 52 SpD / 144 Spe
+1 40+ Atk Gyarados Earthquake vs. 220 HP / 0 Def Keldeo: 162-191 (42.8 - 50.5%) -- 2.3% chance to 2HKO

EVs: 248 HP / 12 Def / 32 SpD / +216 Spe
+1 0 Atk Gyarados Outrage vs. 220 HP / 0 Def Keldeo: 171-202 (45.2 - 53.4%) -- 35.5% chance to 2HKO
+1 0 Atk Gyarados-Mega Earthquake vs. 220 HP / 0 Def Keldeo: 172-203 (45.5 - 53.7%) -- 41% chance to 2HKO

This set is unique with its +def nature
EVs: 136 HP / 4 Atk / +224 Def / 144 Spe
Gyarados has an 82% of victory if it mega evolves T1 (not factoring crits)
12 SpA Keldeo Secret Sword vs. 136 HP / 224+ Def Gyarados-Mega: 162-192 (44.3 - 52.6%) -- 18% chance to 2HKO

z-bounce wins against keldeo
12 SpA Keldeo Hidden Power Electric vs. 144 HP / 136 SpD Gyarados: 192-228 (52.3 - 62.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

While Keldeo's 33% victories against gyara look bleak, keep in mind that this is the worst case scenario for keldeo. If they do not DD turn one, run outrage, or DD twice, it can spell doom for the gyarados. Above is the optimized gyara v keldeo matchup.
this is beautiful the dbz refrences and the memes.perfect
 
Looking for a good mega pidgeon set please!
Pidgeot @ Pidgeotite
Ability: No Guard
EVs: 212 Def/206 SpAtk/88 Spe
Timid Nature
- Hurricane
- Heat Wave
- Feather Dance
- Roost
I've been tinkering with this for a while. The EVs let it outspeed everything up to +Max Speed base 100s and the defense EVs let it survive a 252 adamant Z head charge from Donphan and the follow up Ice Shard. This set can beat Donphan, Zard X (without SD or BD but it can cheese them with hurricane confusion), Mega Gyara, Mega Venu, Physical Dnite, Mega Medicham and a good few other things that either get their attack dropped or die to hurricane/heat wave. Pretty effective and the EVs can be slid around depending on what you need (more speed to beat Jolly Band Kart for example. Giga Impact is a roll but not in your favour)

Calcs:
-2 252+ Atk Donphan Continental Crush (200 BP) vs. 0 HP / 212 Def Pidgeot-Mega: 214-254 (69.7 - 82.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

-2 252+ Atk Donphan Ice Shard vs. 0 HP / 212 Def Pidgeot-Mega: 44-54 (14.3 - 17.5%) -- possible 6HKO


I can get more calcs if needed I'm just a but busy rn
 
Can someone make me a Mega Audino set
Martyr (Audino-Mega) @ Audinite
Ability: Healer
EVs: 252 HP / 132 Def / 124 SpD
Bold Nature
IVs: 0 Atk
- Baby-Doll Eyes
- Wish
- Calm Mind
- Echoed Voice
click moves n win
 
View attachment 194243
"This is the end keldeokorot! You dont stand a chance! I put all my power in this attack!"
"Hydro pump..."
"No...."
"Times...."
"No no no."
"2.5!"


Keldeo @ Waterium Z
EVs: 220 HP / 12 SpA / 84 SpD / 192 Spe
Timid Nature
- Hydro Pump
- Rain Dance
- HP Electric
- Secret Sword

Speed outpaces max speed charizard, bulk is set to tank an air slash from a max spa chary.
Gyara's matchups against keldeo are bad but using keldeo against charizard, this should work.

Rain Dance vs Air Slash
z-Hydro Pump

Rain Dance vs Flame Charge
Air Slash vs Z-Hydro Pump

Z-Rain Dance vs Flame Charge
Hydro Pump

Rain Dance vs Flame Charge (regular charizard)
Solar Beam vs Z-Rain Dance (Charizard Y)
Hydro Pump


252+ SpA Charizard-Mega-Y Air Slash vs. 220 HP / 84 SpD Keldeo: 312-368 (82.5 - 97.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
252+ SpA Charizard-Mega-Y Solar Beam vs. 220 HP / 84 SpD Keldeo: 332-392 (87.8 - 103.7%) -- 25% chance to OHKO
0- Atk Charizard-Mega-Y Flame Charge vs. 220 HP / 0 Def Keldeo in Rain: 13-16 (3.4 - 4.2%) -- possibly the worst move ever

Chary really struggles with this keldeo

12 SpA Keldeo Hydro Pump vs. 252 HP / 0 SpD Charizard-Mega-Y in Rain: 398-470 (110.5 - 130.5%) -- guaranteed OHKO
12 SpA Keldeo Hydro Vortex (185 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 SpD Charizard-Mega-Y in Rain: 666-786 (185 - 218.3%) -- guaranteed OHKO
Hydro cannon off the bat for jolly sets
EVs: 8 HP / 232 Atk / 36 Def / +232 Spe
EVs: 60 HP / 232 Atk / 56 Def / +160 Spe
EVs: 8 HP / 104 Atk / 156 Def / +240 Spe
EVs: 40 HP / 96 Atk / 140 Def / +232 Spe
EVs: 152 HP / 84 Atk / +208 Def / 64 Spe

12 SpA Keldeo Hydro Vortex (185 BP) vs. 40 HP / 0 SpD Charizard-Mega-X: 288-339 (93.8 - 110.4%) -- 62.5% chance to OHKO
12 SpA Keldeo Hydro Vortex (185 BP) vs. 60 HP / 0 SpD Charizard-Mega-X: 288-339 (92.3 - 108.6%) -- 50% chance to OHKO
12 SpA Keldeo Hydro Vortex (185 BP) vs. 8 HP / 0 SpD Charizard-Mega-X: 288-339 (96.3 - 113.3%) -- 75% chance to OHKO
12 SpA Keldeo Hydro Vortex (185 BP) vs. 152 HP / 0 SpD Charizard-Mega-X: 288-339 (85.9 - 101.1%) -- 6.3% chance to OHKO

EVs: 212 HP / 28 Atk / 172 SpD / 96 Spe
12 SpA Keldeo Hydro Vortex (185 BP) vs. 212 HP / 172 SpD Charizard-Mega-X: 237-280 (67.7 - 80%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

EVs: 24 HP / 252 SpD / 232 Spe
Jolly Nature
- Confide
- Flare Blitz
- Outrage
- Roost
This Charx can beat keldeo but its a non set

Charizard-Mega-X @ Charizardite X
Ability: Blaze
EVs: 212 HP / 132 Atk / 172 SpD / 8 Spe
Adamant Nature
- Thunder Punch
- Outrage
- Flare Blitz
- Flame Charge / Dragon Dance

Flame charge into outrage is a roll 132+ Atk Tough Claws Charizard-Mega-X (145) vs. 220 HP / 0 Def Keldeo: 339-400 (89.6 - 105.8%) -- 37.5% chance to OHKO . the second time, rain dance into z-hydro will kill.
DDance is a loss
+1 132+ Atk Tough Claws Charizard-Mega-X Outrage vs. 220 HP / 0 Def Keldeo: 420-495 (111.1 - 130.9%) -- guaranteed OHKO

note for those who do not like math, Thunder punch will do less than outrage. 75*2 = 150, 120*1.5 = 180
Terrible flow chart:

Regular gyarados Turn 1
/​
Mega uses OutrageSecret SwordW
Hidden PowerHidden PowerL
\​
Reg Gyara Uses OutrageSecret SwordL
Hidden PowerW
/​
Mega uses OutrageSecret SwordL
Secret SwordHidden PowerL
\​
Reg Gyara Uses OutrageSecret SwordL
Hidden PowerW

Mega Gyarados Turn 1
Hidden PowerMega Uses OutrageSecret SwordL
Secret SwordMega Uses OutrageSecret SwordW

EVs: 248 HP / +44 Atk / 28 Def / 44 SpD / 144 Spe

Gyara must run Dragon dance, and either outrage, earthquake, or bounce
Gyara will win 9/12 match ups all leading with dragon dance followed by an outrage. Its match ups all depend on when gyara will mega and keldeo choosing hidden power or secret sword

If this gyara does not run any one of those three moves, keldeo wins.

The following sets play out the same but with a key difference if gyarados does not run outrage
EVs: 248 HP / +16 Atk / 28 Def / 44 SpD / 172 Spe
+1 16+ Atk Gyarados Earthquake vs. 220 HP / 0 Def Keldeo: 158-187 (41.7 - 49.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

EVs: 248 HP / +40 Atk / 24 Def / 52 SpD / 144 Spe
+1 40+ Atk Gyarados Earthquake vs. 220 HP / 0 Def Keldeo: 162-191 (42.8 - 50.5%) -- 2.3% chance to 2HKO

EVs: 248 HP / 12 Def / 32 SpD / +216 Spe
+1 0 Atk Gyarados Outrage vs. 220 HP / 0 Def Keldeo: 171-202 (45.2 - 53.4%) -- 35.5% chance to 2HKO
+1 0 Atk Gyarados-Mega Earthquake vs. 220 HP / 0 Def Keldeo: 172-203 (45.5 - 53.7%) -- 41% chance to 2HKO

This set is unique with its +def nature
EVs: 136 HP / 4 Atk / +224 Def / 144 Spe
Gyarados has an 82% of victory if it mega evolves T1 (not factoring crits)
12 SpA Keldeo Secret Sword vs. 136 HP / 224+ Def Gyarados-Mega: 162-192 (44.3 - 52.6%) -- 18% chance to 2HKO

z-bounce wins against keldeo
12 SpA Keldeo Hidden Power Electric vs. 144 HP / 136 SpD Gyarados: 192-228 (52.3 - 62.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

While Keldeo's 33% victories against gyara look bleak, keep in mind that this is the worst case scenario for keldeo. If they do not DD turn one, run outrage, or DD twice, it can spell doom for the gyarados. Above is the optimized gyara v keldeo matchup.

EDIT:
Keldeo @ Waterium Z
Ability: Justified
EVs: 248 HP / 72 SpA / 104 SpD / 84 Spe
Timid Nature
IVs: 0 Atk
- Hydro Pump
- Rain Dance
- HP Electric
- Secret Sword

This should work a bit better, you are at 300 speed which outpaces 252 base 100's instead of 252+. You are tankier and have more SpA
So it does lose to dd spdef x? just making sure i understand the set
 

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