It’s important that Fire Lash only breaks through very specific defensive mons, even when paired with Flare Blitz. Only Tomohawk variants without Intimidate are threatened by the combo, and intimidate is pretty standard right now. Bulky water types are still a very good defensive answer to us in almost all situations, as are other common defensive mons such as Hippowdon (especially with grass and electric coverage disallowed).
A huge selling point of Fire Lash that should not be overlooked is the ability to maintain pressure matchups in not just Clefable, but Mollux as well. Lash into 2 Dragon Claws ko's the snail, as even minimum damage rolls do around 119%. We can still 3hko with Dragon Claw even without Fire Lash, but having Lash as our primary fire stab ensures Mollux can’t easily come in on the resisted hit. Considering how big both of these mons are in the meta, being able to keep them out should be a priority for us at this stage.
I also want to say that access to Fire Lash doesn’t mean we can’t also have Flare Blitz in our arsenal. They’re both excellent moves in their own right, and more powerful than each other in different situations. I would expect to see both if Fire Lash is allowed.
A huge selling point of Fire Lash that should not be overlooked is the ability to maintain pressure matchups in not just Clefable, but Mollux as well. Lash into 2 Dragon Claws ko's the snail, as even minimum damage rolls do around 119%. We can still 3hko with Dragon Claw even without Fire Lash, but having Lash as our primary fire stab ensures Mollux can’t easily come in on the resisted hit. Considering how big both of these mons are in the meta, being able to keep them out should be a priority for us at this stage.
Hippo is a special case because of how threatening its stab is to us, but the situation that puts us in is trading mons in the best case scenario and just straight up dying in the worse case, and that's assuming Hippo even comes in on Lash and not something like DClaw.
252 Atk Reshiram Fire Lash vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Hippowdon: 75-88 (17.8 - 20.9%)
252 Atk Reshiram Fire Lash vs. -1 252 HP / 252+ Def Hippowdon: 111-132 (26.4 - 31.4%)
252 Atk Reshiram Fire Lash vs. -2 252 HP / 252+ Def Hippowdon: 148-175 (35.2 - 41.6%)
252 Atk Reshiram Flare Blitz vs. -2 252 HP / 252+ Def Hippowdon: 220-261 (52.3 - 62.1%)
0 Atk Hippowdon Earthquake vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Reshiram: 306-360 (85.7 - 100.8%) -- 6.3% chance to OHKO after sandstorm damage
-1 252 Atk Reshiram Fire Lash vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Tomohawk: 60-72 (14.4 - 17.3%)
-1 252 Atk Reshiram Fire Lash vs. -1 252 HP / 252+ Def Tomohawk: 90-106 (21.7 - 25.6%)
-1 252 Atk Reshiram Flare Blitz vs. -2 252 HP / 252+ Def Tomohawk: 178-210 (42.9 - 50.7%)
252 Atk Reshiram Fire Lash vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mollux: 67-79 (17 - 20%)
252 Atk Reshiram Dragon Claw vs. -1 252 HP / 0 Def Mollux: 202-238 (51.2 - 60.4%)
252 Atk Reshiram Fire Lash vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Hippowdon: 75-88 (17.8 - 20.9%)
252 Atk Reshiram Fire Lash vs. -1 252 HP / 252+ Def Hippowdon: 111-132 (26.4 - 31.4%)
252 Atk Reshiram Fire Lash vs. -2 252 HP / 252+ Def Hippowdon: 148-175 (35.2 - 41.6%)
252 Atk Reshiram Flare Blitz vs. -2 252 HP / 252+ Def Hippowdon: 220-261 (52.3 - 62.1%)
0 Atk Hippowdon Earthquake vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Reshiram: 306-360 (85.7 - 100.8%) -- 6.3% chance to OHKO after sandstorm damage
-1 252 Atk Reshiram Fire Lash vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Tomohawk: 60-72 (14.4 - 17.3%)
-1 252 Atk Reshiram Fire Lash vs. -1 252 HP / 252+ Def Tomohawk: 90-106 (21.7 - 25.6%)
-1 252 Atk Reshiram Flare Blitz vs. -2 252 HP / 252+ Def Tomohawk: 178-210 (42.9 - 50.7%)
252 Atk Reshiram Fire Lash vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mollux: 67-79 (17 - 20%)
252 Atk Reshiram Dragon Claw vs. -1 252 HP / 0 Def Mollux: 202-238 (51.2 - 60.4%)
I also want to say that access to Fire Lash doesn’t mean we can’t also have Flare Blitz in our arsenal. They’re both excellent moves in their own right, and more powerful than each other in different situations. I would expect to see both if Fire Lash is allowed.
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