NOC Everchanging Mafia - Game thread - Day 2!

[LonelyNess]

Like just plain and simple, the protect action working is such a minute chance that we should assume it will never succeed and go with the conservative play of a no vote. We get 4 misvotes either way.

 

[Peum]

Voting D1 in hopes that at some point the protect action succeeds and gains us another misvote seems suspect at best. I would rather have another day's worth of discussion than praying that the mafia gets unlucky and hits into a 1/14 chance of the protect action working. And that's assuming that a villager even has the protect action now (or in future turns)

1/14?? that's how a mafia would think..... It's actually 1/17... and then 1/15... and then 1/13... and so on... (the protector might as well just play the lottery)

 

[Peum]

but hey both town power somehow targetted the same guy d1 last game so who knows

 

[Laurel]

go raiders

Town core

 

[Laurel]

We always lynch for info / patterns btw

 

[Peum]

go raiders

trying too hard... mafia core

 

[AirC]

Like just plain and simple, the protect action working is such a minute chance that we should assume it will never succeed and go with the conservative play of a no vote. We get 4 misvotes either way.

99% of town protectors quit before having a useful action

 

[AirC]

Don't be like them, keep gambling

 

[LonelyNess]

We get 4 days worth of voting patterns / information whether we vote or no vote - but we get one more day of discussion by no voting. There's no reason to vote today unless we're hoping for a low probability protect to eventually work.

And in fact if anything, this gives us a guaranteed 4 tracks whereas misvoting today gives us only three.

 

[LonelyNess]

Sorry, a guaranteed 4 tracks, not 5

 

[LonelyNess]

sorry a guaranteed 5 tracks, not 4

 

[LonelyNess]

The value of an extra track is far more than the value of a hypothetical additional misvote that will never actually materialize because the protect will never actually succeed.

 

[Laurel]

vote dead by daylight

 

[Westcraft]

Sorry to be ignorant, but what is a track?

 

[AirC]

Sorry to be ignorant, but what is a track?

It's the action of the info role

 

[Celever]

Voting D1 in hopes that at some point the protect action succeeds and gains us another misvote seems suspect at best. I would rather have another day's worth of discussion than praying that the mafia gets unlucky and hits into a 1/14 chance of the protect action working. And that's assuming that a villager even has the protect action now (or in future turns)

the main problem is, if we're planning to no vote, D1 discussion doesn't actually do anything

if we're no voting there's nothing substantial to talk about

so it ends up just being a -1 to town's size with no upshot

 

[Westcraft]

Oh yeah, forgot about that

It's the action of the info role

 

[AirC]

Sorry to be ignorant, but what is a track?

You'll learn if the tracked target used and action and /orwas targeted

 

[LonelyNess]

the main problem is, if we're planning to no vote, D1 discussion doesn't actually do anything

if we're no voting there's nothing substantial to talk about

so it ends up just being a -1 to town's size with no upshot

You're ignoring that we get 1 more night of tangible track results by doing a no vote.

 

[Westcraft]

the main problem is, if we're planning to no vote, D1 discussion doesn't actually do anything

if we're no voting there's nothing substantial to talk about

so it ends up just being a -1 to town's size with no upshot

I mean, we get vibes, which is most of what we have in this game I guess.

 

[Evie]

towning LN and laurel for now

vote dead by daylight

i dont get this though

 

[AirC]

Pretty sure we shouldn't have LYLO turn hard set in stone because of the mayor role, so potentially it can be earlier/later than expected

 

[LonelyNess]

the main problem is, if we're planning to no vote, D1 discussion doesn't actually do anything

if we're no voting there's nothing substantial to talk about

so it ends up just being a -1 to town's size with no upshot

Also i kind of disagree that discussion during a no vote is pointless.

 

[Evie]

Westcraft vishy fishy havent seen you guys around before, do you have any experience with mafia?

 

[Celever]

You're ignoring that we get 1 more night of tangible track results by doing a no vote.

it's likelier we doc block a kill than get a tracker redcheck tbh