He clearly has it, otherwise he would not have started this lynch.
You're ruling out a whole batch of possibilities with this alone.
D1 starts. I post something about being a mouthpiece and get contacted by mysterious user x shortly after that. They claim they have a lynch target and eventually explain it in the following manner: "I targeted lw with a role, I got a result that he redirected my action, the result was scummy". Now, the following made it so I wasn't pressed to ask for flavor:
- This user gave me a town vibe. (still does)
- This user was very confident in how the result is incriminating.
- This role (a built-in self-redirect) is more fitting for a baddie (wolf?). Going by the assumption that this game isn't very experimental, imagining a villager with this role, compared to a baddie with this role, would be hard.
- This user would have no reason to lie about lw's supposed role. If it turned out to be wrong, they would get immediate shit thrown at them. If it is lw's role, then, going by what I said above, it's likely not a village role.
- Slight stupidity. Only for the fact that I completely overlooked getting the flavor by not even asking for it.
Talking with LW and thinking it over, I realize that user has no reason not to share this flavor with me, so I ask them about it. Apparently, there's something else, possibly connected to user's (probably info-based) role, that made the result as incriminating as it is (something complicated, as it happened as a result of a combination between their role and lw's as far as I can tell), and it's to be assumed that other players wouldn't get as scummy a result. I asked them to omit parts that relate to their role a handful of times - apparently, they'd have to snip the entire thing.
I don't like this situation as much as everyone else. User's story is kind of ridiculous but, at the same time, talking to him makes me think he's being honest. And apparently we're not going to find out the root of this problem so long as user doesn't trust me blindly (or we DO decide to lynch lw, which means we probably have no better target D3 which is kind of sad).
And no, I'm not an inspector, and this is not a bluff. Why would I make up such a ridiculous story?