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NOC Pokemon Mystery Dungeon Mafia - Explorers - Game Thread (Game Over!)

Honestly whether there was a night kill or not last night probably has less implications sibling wise that we need to tinfoil it anyways, whatever happened happened

the main benefit is that we get an extra vote that’s the most important thing
 
I guess the other possibility that I hadn't considered is that when the mafia used their daykill, they could not in fact use their night kill lol
If mafia also can just replace their nightkill with a daykill, on top of bus driver and jailkeeper and strongman, I am literally the most useless doctor ever

I’m like a doctor of homeopathy :worrywhirl:
 
Anyway bluedoom Duskfall98 I wasn’t expecting to wake up to see speculation about how me not having been shot yet is weird. I was lead counterwagon D1, lead wagon D2 before claim, and since then most of the game has still consistently scumread me and I’ve had soft momentum at various points to still die lol. Shooting me doesn’t make sense for most of the game. Arguably the only people shooting me would make sense for are if either of you are scum since you’re so towncored that any shot you make is thinning the PoE beneath you, unless you shot each other (arguably that means if this was a doc save marth is implicated a little, because Tommy was his only genuinely good shot for positioning so he may have just sent it).

If you’re scum fairy / Flandrs / Hydro / Neon, shooting me is actively detrimental because there’s a world where I’m voted out before any of them. Luckily we’re voting out Hydro instead today, who is likely to just be the last scum, but in the event he’s not you two definitely shouldn’t be pushing the “he hasn’t been shot yet” tinfoil unless I get to F3 or smth maybe lol
 
And bluedoom everyone I’ve docced is dead besides the N1 on Flandrs and the last night on Tommy. I can provide the full list of targets if you really want (and I think I only haven’t claimed like N4 already anyway) but I don’t think it provides any useful info to the town and it may provide useful info to the scum if they’re clever so
 
Celever you kind of do make sense regardless of the person, assuming they have the mech awareness where the understand why you are the 100 percent shot last night

even if you are going to die, we are were on even numbers which means we had 1 miskills during day, this doesn’t chance if they kill you

however if they don’t kill you, they open up the very real chance that you save town, get us onto odds and we gain a miskill, the situation that has now arisen, you as a potential vote is a false economy because the vote on you is essentially free extra now even if we do vote you, after not being night killed
 
As far as holstering is concerned, there are definitely gamestates where I would holster if I were scum, but I think holstering would essentially be gamethrowing had I done it last night. 4-player LYLO, especially in a game where if the vote ties everyone loses and pretty much everyone is in the PoE on a very gradual scale with not much actually splitting hairs between towncred, is scum-favoured by a lot. Holstering to set us back on the path of 3-player LYLO would be bad long term planning, I think.

I may be a creative scum player but I’m also a good one LOL
 
Celever you kind of do make sense regardless of the person, assuming they have the mech awareness where the understand why you are the 100 percent shot last night

even if you are going to die, we are were on even numbers which means we had 1 miskills during day, this doesn’t chance if they kill you

however if they don’t kill you, they open up the very real chance that you save town, get us onto odds and we gain a miskill, the situation that has now arisen, you as a potential vote is a false economy because the vote on you is essentially free extra now even if we do vote you, after not being night killed
Oh actually that’s fair ngl

Ironically ties into the post I made right after with LYLO numbers being LYLO numbers but I didn’t acc work it out like that
 
Tommy worded it better than I could've

but also, mafia had a jailer, so a blocker essentially. And could've just blocked one of you/shane at any point in the game and killed the other and did not do that for some reason. so its like, what am I supposed to understand from this?

in any case I'm fine with lynching hydro, but there is strong mechanical evidence for me to suspect you yeah.
 
Tommy worded it better than I could've

but also, mafia had a jailer, so a blocker essentially. And could've just blocked one of you/shane at any point in the game and killed the other and did not do that for some reason. so its like, what am I supposed to understand from this?

in any case I'm fine with lynching hydro, but there is strong mechanical evidence for me to suspect you yeah.
Tbf, the jailer seemingly didn’t actually get used once as far as we can tell right? There were some early roleblocks but M2H claimed credit for all of them lol

Idk what to read into that but I don’t see the conclusion being that I’m mech scum LOL, if I got jailed I’d have said as much (and I get success checks). Maybe the jailer was targeting people who don’t get success checks so they don’t know it happened, or it whiffed every night somehow
 
FWIW since massclaim scum have only shot considered conftowns and Shane (if my doc on Tommy worked), and then maybe M2H who was universal townread idr if that was pre- or post-massclaim, so their shots seem rational enough

They prob just hoped me and Shane would finally thunderdome because of thread narrative
 
Tbf, the jailer seemingly didn’t actually get used once as far as we can tell right? There were some early roleblocks but M2H claimed credit for all of them lol

Idk what to read into that but I don’t see the conclusion being that I’m mech scum LOL, if I got jailed I’d have said as much (and I get success checks). Maybe the jailer was targeting people who don’t get success checks so they don’t know it happened, or it whiffed every night somehow
no I'm saying, if you're town, scum had a chance to break you/tommy/shane pr block much earlier in the game and didn't do it for some reason, which would only make sense if you're mafia because then it would expose you if shane dies somehow, for example.

In any case, I've thought of possibilities where you're town and this is either mafia playing badly or mafia not having a night kill, in any case I'm fine voting hydro here
 
no I'm saying, if you're town, scum had a chance to break you/tommy/shane pr block much earlier in the game and didn't do it for some reason, which would only make sense if you're mafia because then it would expose you if shane dies somehow, for example.

In any case, I've thought of possibilities where you're town and this is either mafia playing badly or mafia not having a night kill, in any case I'm fine voting hydro here
How would it expose me
 
And also yeah as scum I never shoot Tommy here because:

a)I have the mechanical awareness to realise that the town doc is a problem
b)As a deepwolf I need to be in an endgame where more people townread me and tommy's the guy who has consistently had my back so yeah, its especially bad for me to kill him when I'm also aware that there are people who have been prone to tinfoiling me lol
 
That said, if the game doesn't end with the hydro lynch, imo you should still doc Tommy anyway to force scum's hand; although I guess you can figure things out in the neighbourhood if you have any other ideas
 
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