Shiny Charm and Masuda Method

Kutty

Shouldn't only a few selected people have access to editing the spreadsheet?
Wouldn't that leave room for more error if other people are tampering with the results?

Anyway I've just got my Shiny Charm and thought I'd join in :D
I guess I'll aim for 100 eggs, and update after every 100 eggs or so.
 
Flygonguy

Flygonguy

Got my shiny charm yesterday, I'm breeding for shiny fletchling. I'll start off breeding 100 eggs and report back.
1-100: 1 shiny (#49)
101-200: 0
201-300: 0
 
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Darkveil

Darkveil

13mjvr said:
It happened again! This is the Fifth time I get a shiny at <#100 using a couple with the same species. 3 times for this research (Gligar, mawile and now honedge). I want to believe that not using ditto increase your chances someway, I'm tired of shiny droughts, so I'll be using same species couples for the rest of this research. Some of you may say ditto doesn't affect, but my shiny trend says to me that something is happening there, not just random bad luck with dittos. Besides, 6ivs dittos are all hacked or generated by cheating, I really hate and don't trust that kind of pokemon :p
Click to expand...
If this is is the case I'll definitely start trying to get foreign parents- where are you getting yours from?
 

Kaphotics

Remodeling Kitchens
is a Top Researcher Alumnusis a Top Contributor Alumnus
Past the 75,000 goal; here are some stats:

Hatched: 75199
Shinies: 170

Observed Chance: 170/75119 = 1:442
Actual Chance (th): 9/4096 = 1:456

It would appear as if Shiny Charm gives 3 extra PID re-rolls instead of last gen's 2 (granted MM stayed the same at +5).
This is compounded with the overall doubling of default shiny rates (1/8192 -> 1/4096) to get what we observed!

====================
Only Counting those who have hatched at least X eggs:


Only Counting those who have hatched within a range of (X,Y) eggs:


<300 group might have some people who didn't report their totals back; this rate is way too low! 300<X<1000 had an average rate of 1:490 which averaged the 0<X<1000 rate to 1:440. For those who hatched more than 1000 eggs, they got a rate of 1:443 which is essentially the same as those who hatched less than 1000!

Since the observed rate is lower than the believed rate of 9/4096, it's highly probable that there is some influence of unlucky users not reporting back unless they get shinies. Some users might stop halfway through their pledge and do something else instead. So that could explain why.


 
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Teru_XD

Teru_XD

Now that you guys successfully finished this research, can I suggest testing the truth behind the Tipping Myth? You know...they say that if you tip npc's (especially the wandering poet), your chance of getting a shiny Pokémon increases. Just a suggestion.
 
Darkveil

Darkveil

After 1200 Riolu eggs with no shiny since the 17th egg when I was still trying to get a perfect IV mother, I'm moving onto Ralts for now. I updated my post on page 5 and also updated the spreadsheet goal to 100,000 since we hit 75,000 at some point tonight. Yay us!
 

kyuby1

Im leaving the first 100 eggs at my pc =)

so far this is what I have

MM Shiny Buneary

1-100/100 Eggs hatched 0 shinies
2-100/100 Eggs Hatched 0 Shinies
 
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koledbreedr

I don't have the shiny charm but I did the matsuda method and breed 5 shinies, charmander, axew, eevee, honedge, Rio lu and that was all before 1000 eggs but ever since then I haven't bred another shiny pokemon and I'm on 1875 eggs all together. I think it's just all luck no matter what.
 

Neoji

Alright I have some free time (Finally) got the shiny charm about a week ago! took longer then I expected though =/
I'll edit my original post with egg count and whatnot back on page 2 post #46
 

Kutty

This post is to show my results, I will update every time 100 eggs are hatched.
I don't have a pledge, I'll just keep going until I don't feel like hatching anymore.

0-100: No shiny
100-200: Shiny (Egg #184 - Eevee)
200- 300: No shiny
300- 400: No shiny
400- 500: No shiny
500- 600: No shiny
700- 800: No shiny
800- 900: Shiny (Egg #834 - Phantump)
900- 1000: No shiny
1000- 1100: No shiny
1100- 1200: No shiny
1200- 1300: No shiny
1300- 1400: No shiny
1400- 1500: No shiny
1500- 1600: No shiny
1600- 1700: No shiny
1700- 1800: No shiny
1800- 1900: No shiny
1900- 2000: No shiny
 
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Humpernator

Humpernator

I finally got the Shiny Charm so I will contribute when I can. I hatched 20 yesterday with a Spanish Ditto with no success. I will add my contributions to the spread sheet.
 
Shigzilla90

Shigzilla90

hatched last 10 kabutos to meet my pledge of 3000. updated pledge post #136 and spreadsheet. 3000 eggs hatched 4 shinies

koledbreedr said:
I don't have the shiny charm but I did the matsuda method and breed 5 shinies, charmander, axew, eevee, honedge, Rio lu and that was all before 1000 eggs but ever since then I haven't bred another shiny pokemon and I'm on 1875 eggs all together. I think it's just all luck no matter what.
Click to expand...
it is all luck. certain things just increase your chances. never guaranteed.
 
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Craw Craw

Craw Craw

So I got my shiny charm a few weeks ago, and since yesterday I have been breeding a JPN ditto with an English donphan in hopes of a shiny. I hatched 90 eggs with no luck. I plan on hatching 2,000 total. Will update this post every 150(5 boxes) with the results. Happy hunting everyone!

1-150: Complete
151-300: Complete, shiny phanpy on egg #287. Will now be breeding JPN Ditto with
American Scizor
301-450: Complete, shiny scyther on egg #340. Will now be breeding JPN Ditto with
American Fletchling
451-600: Complete
 
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Pokelover586

Pokelover586

I would LOVE to join this. I just got the Shiny Charm yesterday. I'm gonna report every 100 eggs. I'm now breeding a Japanese male Charmeleon and a female hidden ability Charmeleon from the Friend Safari. My goal is 1,000 eggs.

100 Eggs - No Shiny
200 Eggs - Shiny Chespin! (Egg #178) With Hidden Ability!
300 Eggs - No Shiny
400 Eggs - No Shiny
500 Eggs - No Shiny
600 Eggs - No Shiny

Still going!
 
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