I want to answer this point by point.
"If you actively study the tier..." What a way to begin... Because you've been studying the tier at the highest level, my friend? Building has never been as difficult as it is right now if you don't want to get run over by a random playstyle, which forces you to play what people consider "cheese," whether it's HO, weather, or fat. I don't think we're complaining about how boring the tier is, as you seem to think, but rather about how restrictive and so much more limiting it has felt lately, since your only way to secure good matchups is through said cheese or spam strategies.
I did not see any signs of ABR and Tricking publicly saying that rain is not even that good. There is a good chance that they think rain is fine, like almost all the other threats in the tier, if I recall the few instances where they talked about the state of the tier. But throwing around the names of prominent players is one of the weakest arguments there is to advocate for your position.
Moreover, I don't think ABR nor Tricking have been insanely active in SM OU, as the tier has changed quite a bit since CG (even though the threats are the same, the pace and sets are not). It would be like if I had a screenshot of Empo saying he was in favor of a Manaphy suspect (here lol
View attachment 848238). As good as Empo is, it is not gospel, and even if he agrees with my point of view, it feels very cheap to argue that rain is broken that way.
"Did you know Jesus is against rain? Yeah, you can't say anything now :)" (Or did I manage to influence you just because Mr. 10+ trophies said so?)
You also talk as if pro-ban players weren't around during CG. For all I know, it's pretty balanced between the pro-suspect and anti-suspect sides among CG players. And if you were answering Ruffles specifically, he plays SM in a lot of tours (and participates in SM prep for SPL, I believe) and was present during CG as well.
Even if you're a veteran of the generation, the discussion isn't about how good the gen was back then, but rather about how it feels right now. I dare say that most players have found SM terrible to play lately. The ladder is losing a lot of players, and compared to two years ago, it has never felt this low. The top used to be 1800+, and now there are only two players above 1700. Back when ADV and SM were competing for the top spot, now it's clear that SM is losing momentum.
I don't see the connection between Magearna not being banned and suspecting rain right now. There is nothing to "learn about tiering" when nothing here is actually related to the subject. "Broken checks broken" has been a sentiment shared by detractors of the tier for years, so using that to defend the generation is a terrible argument.
And "if you studied the tier more," you would know by now that SM has well-defined structures and not just a soup of broken pokemon thrown next to each other. It's not by chance that it was considered highly stable and balanced for a long time, until recently, when the metagame became polarized around HO and weather (whereas CG was much more balance/fat-heavy, with those ABR-style archetypes).
I won't spend much time on the argument that "Magearna is the best mon in the tier, Serperior beats it, therefore Serperior is broken." It's like saying, "Glaceon beats Landorus, the second best mon in the tier, so Glaceon must be broken."
so which one is it, there is everything and nothing here?
2024-2025-2026
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It has been at least two full years of rain dominating. And again live tours are not in those stats. how long do we need to wait really? it will not disappear with a miracle hoping people forget they can play rain
As much as I like this set, you can't seriously say that you can fit kyurem black and moreso with av on every team? not only you give up recovery and the breaking power of Z move/life orb/band or wtv asking to get pp stalled by a slowbro spamming recover, it does not even check manaphy that well. You are weak to rocks, first you can how this drops its viability very quickly as a check.
252+ Atk Kyurem-Black Fusion Bolt vs. 248 HP / 0 Def Manaphy: 294-346 (72.9 - 85.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
+3 240+ SpA Manaphy Hydro Vortex (175 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 SpD Assault Vest Kyurem-Black in Rain: 353-416 (77.7 - 91.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
0 Atk Kyurem-Black Fusion Bolt vs. 248 HP / 0 Def Manaphy: 228-270 (56.5 - 66.9%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
+3 240+ SpA Manaphy Hydro Vortex (175 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Assault Vest Kyurem-Black in Rain: 250-294 (55 - 64.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
+3 240+ SpA Manaphy Surf vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Assault Vest Kyurem-Black in Rain: 128-151 (28.1 - 33.2%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
and can start to put def on manaphy if I think kb av is annoying