Smogon Snake Draft IV - Week 3

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Merritt

Merritt

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Head TD

>Spreadsheet<
> Schedule <
Shoutouts: Ticken for the sheet improvements and Serene Grace for the schedule sheet!
​
Tournament Rules and General Guidelines

Matchups:


Rumble Hall Rattlers (4) vs (6) Sky Tower Lindworms

OU: Samqian vs Eo Ut Mortus
OU: lax vs Garay oak
OU: Fear vs Jytcampbell
OU: Kebab mlml vs Ewin
DOU: Ezrael vs umbreon098
UU: CBU vs Poek
RU: Ajna vs Pepeduce
NU: bugzinator vs Realistic Waters
PU: Roseybear vs TJ
LC: Serene Grace vs dcae

Terminus Taipans (5) vs (5) Celadon City Cobras

OU: dice vs 1 True Lycan
OU: Eeveeto vs Steve Angello
OU: le LLiolae vs mncmt
OU: High Impulse vs FMG
DOU: Kiichikos vs Qwello Lee
UU: Adaam vs Lilburr
RU: Expulso vs snaga
NU: aim vs Sjneider
PU: tlenit vs Xiri
LC: Osh vs Shrug


Berry Forest Bushmasters (5) vs (5) Lanakila Nagas

OU: Leo vs Sacri'
OU: Santu vs ima
OU: frisoeva vs robjr
OU: Lopunny Kicks vs Storm Zone
DOU: qsns vs Memoric
UU: Ramolost vs SoulWind
RU: roman vs atomicllamas
NU: CyberOdin✝ vs elodin
PU: soulgazer vs Kink
LC: Kingler vs Ninjadog


Ambrette Astrotias (4) vs (6) Black City Mambas

OU: Finchinator vs xray
OU: Raiza vs Relous
OU: Tace vs ZDen
OU: BIHI vs Gefährlicher Random
DOU: Paraplegic vs Frania
UU: Accelgor vs Sabella
RU: Feliburn vs Charmflash
NU: GW vs Ho3nConfirm3d
PU: keppy vs Ktütverde
LC: LilyAC vs Wail Wailord


Shinto Ruin Serpents (6) vs (4) Lake of Rage Leviathans

OU: watashi vs ramboss
OU: Star vs Rexus
OU: Malekith vs John W
OU: Tamahome vs BK
DOU: DLT JRL BELL vs Nails
UU: Askov vs Luigi
RU: Nat vs odr
NU: Jrdn vs Kushalos
PU: obii vs Hamhamhamhamham
LC: Mazinger vs Xizaaa​

Deadline will be September 20th, 9:00 PM GMT-4.
 
Last edited by a moderator:

blank

is a Community Contributor Alumnus
beat the ape last week.
keeping it short.

Rumble Hall Rattlers (5) vs (5) Sky Tower Lindworms

OU: Samqian vs Eo Ut Mortus: eo's been hungry lately. samqian is still pretty solid though.
OU: lax vs Garay oak: would be cool to see garay pull through.
OU: Fear vs Jytcampbell: the farmer got a new tractor last week.
OU: Kebab mlml vs Ewin: 50/50 on this one.

DOU: Ezrael vs umbreon098
UU: CBU vs Poek
RU: Ajna vs Pepeduce: major upset. i like this pepe's playstyle a lot.
NU: bugzinator vs Realistic Waters
PU: Roseybear vs TJ: pop smoke
LC: Serene Grace vs dcae

lindworms lower tiers are still so cool.

Terminus Taipans (3) vs (7) Celadon City Cobras

OU: dice vs 1 True Lycan: baron's win last week wasn't convincing, but i don't know how much dice likes this tier. 55/45.
OU: Eeveeto vs Steve Angello: both are wild as hell, steve's a better player overall though. exciting MU.
OU: Void vs mncmt: rough draw.
OU: High Impulse vs FMG: not too much to say on this one... not totally lopsided but significantly in FMG's favor. 60/40.

DOU: Kiichikos vs Qwello Lee: tough one to call.
UU: Adaam vs Lilburr
RU: Expulso vs snaga
NU: aim vs Sjneider
PU: tlenit vs Xiri: cool MU.
LC: Osh vs Shrug

i like the cobras a lot.

Berry Forest Bushmasters (4) vs (6) Lanakila Nagas

OU: Bloody alfa vs Sacri': top 3 OU.
OU: Santu vs ima: santu's a good bit more consistent, but both have similar ceilings.
OU: frisoeva vs robjr: friso's looked kinda off. rob's looked kinda on.
OU: Lopunny Kicks vs Storm Zone: after sz defeated starmaster, he went into stours chat and said that losing to soulwind made him mad. in his game vs soulwind, he had a lot of promising plays, and it was looking like he was going to win the series based on the MU of their third game, but unfortunately, he fumbled pretty severely. the fact that he recognized this and then proceeded to defeat starmaster, a round 1 pick, in the fashion he did, makes me confident storm zone is now more acclimated to pace of tournaments compared to ladder. lopunny kicks is one of the top SS OU players in this tour, but storm zone's style might cause him a headache.

DOU: qsns vs Memoric: veryc lose
UU: Ramolost vs SoulWind
RU: roman vs atomicllamas
NU: CyberOdin vs elodin
PU: soulgazer vs false
LC: Kingler vs Ninjadog

nagas to win it all btw.

Ambrette Astrotias (5) vs (5) Black City Mambas

OU: Finchinator vs xray: both have not been playing to their potential lately, xray moreso than finch.
OU: Raiza vs Relous: fairly close, but relous beat one of the goats last week..
OU: Tace vs ZDen: also the goat. contractual obligation, etc.
OU: BIHI vs Gefährlicher Random: good opportunity for random to bounce back.

DOU: Paraplegic vs Frania
UU: Accelgor vs Sabella
RU: Feliburn vs Charmflash
NU: GW vs Ho3nConfirm3d
PU: keppy vs Ktütverde: is there even a point in predicting this one.
LC: LilyAC vs Wail Wailord

Shinto Ruin Serpents (2) vs (8) Lake of Rage Leviathans

OU: watashi vs ramboss: really cool MU. ramboss has looked extremely impressive. FLCL top 3 OU. upset.
OU: Star vs Rexus: if he plays.
OU: Malekith vs John W: top 3 OU.
OU: Tamahome vs BK: bk's looked mean as hell. tama's legendary though. upset.

DOU: DLT JRL BELL vs Nails
UU: Askov vs Luigi
RU: Nat vs odr
NU: Jrdn vs Kushalos: very very close.
PU: obii vs Hamhamhamhamham: he is the rock in the storm the serpents are bracing right now.
LC: Mazinger vs Xizaaa
good luck to everyone playing n_n
 

Nalorium

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Rumble Hall Rattlers (7) vs (3) Sky Tower Lindworms

OU: Samqian vs Eo Ut Mortus (30/70)
OU: lax vs Garay oak (65/35)
OU: Fear vs Jytcampbell (40/60)
OU: Kebab mlml vs Ewin (51/49)
DOU: Ezrael vs umbreon098 (70/30)
UU: CBU vs Poek (51/49)
RU: Ajna vs Pepeduce (40/60)
NU: bugzinator vs Realistic Waters (60/40)
PU: Roseybear vs TJ (55/45)
LC: Serene Grace vs dcae (65/35)

Terminus Taipans (5) vs (5) Celadon City Cobras

OU: dice vs 1 True Lycan (51/49)
OU: Eeveeto vs Steve Angello (60/40)
OU: Void vs mncmt (35/65)
OU: High Impulse vs FMG (40/60)
DOU: Kiichikos vs Qwello Lee (51/49)
UU: Adaam vs Lilburr (65/35)
RU: Expulso vs snaga (30/70)
NU: aim vs Sjneider (45/55)
PU: tlenit vs Xiri (30/70)
LC: Osh vs Shrug (60/40)


Berry Forest Bushmasters (6) vs (4) Lanakila Nagas

OU: Bloody alfa vs Sacri'(51/49)
OU: Santu vs ima (55/45)
OU: frisoeva vs robjr (40/60)
OU: Lopunny Kicks vs Storm Zone (65/35)
DOU: qsns vs Memoric (51/49)
UU: Ramolost vs SoulWind (30/70)
RU: roman vs atomicllamas (55/35)
NU: CyberOdin vs elodin (45/55)
PU: soulgazer vs false (60/40)
LC: Kingler vs Ninjadog (40/60)


Ambrette Astrotias (6) vs (4) Black City Mambas

OU: Finchinator vs xray (65/35)
OU: Raiza vs Relous (51/49)
OU: Tace vs ZDen (60/40)
OU: BIHI vs Gefährlicher Random (55/45)
DOU: Paraplegic vs Frania (40/60)
UU: Accelgor vs Sabella (70/30)
RU: Feliburn vs Charmflash (60/40)
NU: GW vs Ho3nConfirm3d (51/49)
PU: keppy vs Ktütverde (40/60)
LC: LilyAC vs Wail Wailord (0/:wail:)


Shinto Ruin Serpents (4) vs (6) Lake of Rage Leviathans

OU: watashi vs ramboss (65/35)
OU: Star vs Rexus (45/55)
OU: Malekith vs John W (40/60)
OU: Tamahome vs BK (45/55)
DOU: DLT JRL BELL vs Nails (35/65)
UU: Askov vs Luigi (51/49)
RU: Nat vs odr (40/60)
NU: Jrdn vs Kushalos (51/49)
PU: obii vs Hamhamhamhamham (65/35)
LC: Mazinger vs Xizaaa (40/60)

good luck everyone
 
IPF

IPF

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11/19 last week, 23/38 overall (Rexus was subbed again '-'), ape hasn't caught up to me just yet. Some pretty cool games last week with plenty of upsets so let's get right into it

SS OU: Samqian vs Eo Ut Mortus - Sam has been good and couldn't do too much in his loss last week, but Eo has been great as of late, albeit with some good fortune against Santu last week so it's difficult to predict against him
SS OU: lax vs Garay oak - Garay picked up a great win against Lop Kicks last week but predicting against lax is lunacy right now
SS OU: Fear vs Jytcampbell - Really tough to call, Jyt just slapped last week with Urshifu-Rapid while Fear came back strong and I could see this going either way, so I'll favour the current gen player
SS OU: Kebab mlml vs Ewin - Another difficult one to predict, Kebab is the more consistent player of the two so I'll bold him but both impressed last week

SS OU: dice vs 1 True Lycan - The Baron clutched out a game that was closer than it should've been against Finch last week and dice hasn't looked at home in this tier so far
SS OU: Eeveeto vs Steve Angello - Eeveeto hasn't been exceptional thus far but I expect him to put in a strong performance this week
SS OU: Void vs mncmt - Void in OU this early in the season is not what I expected at all, although I suppose Taipans OU backup has dipped so it can't be helped, hard to see him taking this one
SS OU: High Impulse vs FMG - Impulse has been pretty poor in his showings so far and I don't see him beating FMG this week either

SS OU: Bloody alfa vs Sacri' - alfa has been struggling and Sacri has been surging
SS OU: Santu vs ima - Pretty unfortunate game for Santu last week while ima had luck on his side, gonna go with Santu although this is probably a coinflip
SS OU: frisoeva vs robjr - The nuzlocke run finally came to an end last week but rob is definitely still favoured here, friso has looked out of sorts so far
SS OU: Lopunny Kicks vs Storm Zone - Really wanted to bold SZ here now that he's got an official win under his belt post his throw during his OLT set, but I'll need to see more before I can favour him over a sheet warrior like Punny

SS OU: Finchinator vs xray - Finch was a few 50/50s away from taking his game last week with a few wacky sets and xray has looked pretty flat so far, gonna go with recent form
SS OU: Raiza vs Relous - Relous had great matchup against John last week but nearly let it get away from him, Raiza has been on fire despite the loss last week so I'll stick with him
SS OU: Tace vs ZDen - ZDen played a strong game in a win last week but Tace has looked dominant
SS OU: BIHI vs Gefährlicher Random - Tight one, but my gut says Random takes this game

SS OU: watashi vs ramboss - 2 weeks in a row I've predicted against ramboss and both weeks he's put in impressive performances, and yet I find it impossible to bold anyone against watashi at the moment considering how dominant he's been. HOWEVER if ramboss does win I'm 100% bolding him next week
SS OU: Star vs Rexus - Not sure what's going on with Rexus and I expect star to bounce back with a win this week after a tough start
SS OU: Malekith vs John W - Both players are 0-2, both getting pretty unfortunate along the way, but John's metagame knowledge and overall prowess at SS makes me favour him here
SS OU: Tamahome vs BK - Should be a great game, Kappa has been strong so far so I'll continue to bold him

As always not trying to offend anyone here, hoping for some great games. Good luck!
 
Leo

Leo

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OU: Samqian vs Eo Ut Mortus - wouldnt count sammy out but Eo is looking very hard to stop
OU: lax vs Garay oak
OU: Fear vs Jytcampbell - Fear recovered from his week 1 disaster with a nice win but Jyt's still better
OU: Kebab mlml vs Ewin - Ewin sux

OU: dice vs 1 True Lycan
OU: Eeveeto vs Steve Angello - haven't seen much from Steve but he's a good player and there's always the chance Eeveeto gets too hot in the builder
OU: Void vs mncmt
OU: High Impulse vs FMG - looks like a good spot for FMG to turn his record around

OU: Finchinator vs xray - xray's off to a very rough start but I trust his track record a little more, hard to see him going 0-3 but he's gonna need to step it up against Finch
OU: Raiza vs Relous - Raiza has looked super solid lately athough Relous could very well take this
OU: Tace vs ZDen - Tace just doesn't lose nowadays
OU: BIHI vs Gefährlicher Random - both have been solid in recent memory but I like Felix's style a little more

OU: watashi vs ramboss
OU: Star vs Rexus - as far as I can tell Rexus has been subbed out both weeks(? either way Star is prob a bit better
OU: Malekith vs John W
OU: Tamahome vs BK - Tama doesn't inspire me too much confidence in SS
 
MrAldo

MrAldo

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Monkey stuff aside,

RU: Ajna vs Pepeduce - Week is filled with highlights imo but this one can be a crazy one and it is hard to pinpoint a winner on this. Ajna has been solid, just got set back by a surprising Coalossal set at the time vs roman and overcoming the psychic terrain vs Expulso he has the grasp now I believe. Pepeduce is 2-0 but perhaps with a notable steer of luck week 2. Very hard to point a clear winner here, both fantastic players so something to really look forward to.

RU: Expulso vs snaga - Experience makes the difference here. Expulso could prep well given he knows the opponent based on previous RU tours but different meta and snaga has been getting gradually better at the metagame and just knowing how to be on the big stage. Advantage for him.

RU: roman vs atomicllamas - Happy that llamas managed to bounce back from week 1. Roman is very pragmatic and solid when it comes about playing so week 1 he played well to the advantages and surprise factor of the build of choice and week 2 could possibly be a different outcome if some stuff didnt go Pepe's way (whack build tho imo). Llamas could pull off the "upset" for sure, but I think roman has been playing better, llamas getting a better grasp at building makes this very interesting tbh.

RU: Feliburn vs Charmflash - Feliburn momentum train is going fast and looking hard to stop. Solid win vs snaga week 2 and dominant on week 1, Feliburn looking motivated and him like that is a force to be reckoned. Charmflash got absolutely tossed week 2 so thats a bigger setback for this week. Week 1 I liked his build and general piloting so his winning is certainly not impossible at all but Feliburn looking to be riding this momentum, and it is all about that to favor Feliburn right now tbh. This could be very entertaining, hopefully they go crazy.

RU: Nat vs ODR - Nat looks tilted on this, not uncommon lately, but again the momentum dictates the prediction here. Coming from a dominant 6-0 week 2 ODR confidence is through the roof and he keeps it up he wont be stopped. All the pressure on Nat cause looking 0-3 for another tour could be devastating. Would like for Nat to bounce back but it is certainly not looking easy versus this opponent in particular given past week outcome.

Remember to bring tangela counterplay, cant be letting people get away with it tbh. Best of luck to all competitors.
 
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