The thing with Volc, is that it's way more than a guessing game, it was a win condition. It just beats its checks if it has the right Tera, there is no viable version of Kingambit that beats Dondozo, Bulk Up Great Tusk (or even Ice Spinner Tusk), Tauros, or most bulky mon with Wisp. You guess wrong one time against Volc, that could be the whole game, meanwhile Kingambit has to repeatedly make the right predictions with Sucker Punch or else you just got hit with a massive debuff.
Look at Dragapult, a mon Kingambit SHOULD beat. If it has fire blast, or Kingambit is at low enough HP, you have to guess, or you're screwed. This is a mon with wisp AND substitute, the other bane of Kingambit's existence (don't even get me started on encore). Kingambit might lose to the stuff it should counter, meanwhile Volcs can sometimes outlast Toxapex.
There is no similar counterplay to Volc. You let it set up, and it has the right tera, and its over. You can't out play a boosted Volcorona, you lose the game if you don't have the specific counter to that set variant. And it's not exactly hard to set up either since Quiver raises its special bulk, it has Wisp, flame body, and it has recovery moves in the form of morning sun and giga drain.
With Gambit, you always have Dozo, and for now, Zam. Hell, you can tera Garg and use Iron Defence or Curse to shut out Gambit. You can reverse Tera into a fighting type as Gholdengo and hit him with Focus Blast or Make it Rain if he tera'd. There is no reverse Tera answer to Volcorona when it's set up, because it gains bulk and it's just too strong.
I'm not pretending that Volc was easy to play, or powerful out of the box like Gambit. I just see its ceiling as much higher than Gambit's mostly due to its speed and game swinging potential.
just some help with showing things:
scenario 1
dragapult just used meteor to OHKO something, you send out volc. Dragapult switched out, “go skeledirge”. All good, Volcarona used quiver dance. Your opponent is a noob 1140 ELO player, and you’ve already Peaked at 1310.
the next turn..
“Volcarona terastalised into the water type”, Volcarona used Terablast. Skeledirge lost 65%, skeledork used torch song, Volcarona lost like 13% of its HP.
now you’re hyped up… you just broke the noob dirge!
the next turn, Volcarona KOs skeledonk. Awesome, she’s at 87%. Game is in your favour.
The next turn, the opponent sends out garchomp, it survives the first hit but can’t KO back, getting you to sub 20%.
Finally the opponent revenges with priority. The stars aligned in your perfect matchup and your Volcarona traded for 2 Pokémon and positioned a setup against this noob 1140 player. Your ELO goes up 15.
scenario 2
Dragapult just used meteor to OHKO something. You’re proud of yourself, up 5-2 now, and you’re all the way at 1400 ELO now, this guys noob asf with his trash 1280 ELO team.
the opponent sends out kingambit, well.. you got a 70% tusk and 70% azumarill in the back and you’ve already seen the leftovers. So you decide to send out your cinderace first to burn it if it’s not Tera fire, and Aqua jet it later if it is.
the first 50/50
thinking that the guy will for sure use Tera if it has it in front of a cinderace. You use will o wisp so it can’t sucker punch you.
“kingambit is burned”, “kingambit used swords dance”.
well it didn’t sucker punch.. but at least it’s burned. But why the bell didn’t it Tera?!!?!? It might do it next turn… well let’s use pyro ball because it ain’t fire type that’s for sure.
The next 50/50
“Kingambit terastyled into a mugger Fucking water type” cinderace used pyro ball, it’s not so effective. Kingambit used swords dance.
the fuck?!? This noob at +4 with a water type gambit. Oh well… let’s u turn out of here.
the next 50/50
kingambit used sucker punch, cinderace lost 70%. Cinderace fainted
okay, time for tusk to revenge. You got bulk up to play the sucker punch game, and your Tera water to resist the iron head, which being a pro, you scouted out earlier. It has sucker and iron head for sure, so for sure the last move is kowtow cleave. Isn’t that what everyone who watches the YouTubers uses?
another 50/50
okay, go tusk of greatness! You scratch your head thinking if it’s worth using Tera water straight away with a bulk up. But then… why go Tera water with bulk up, it won’t sucker a fighting resist! Tho you don’t want to blow your EQ, because you already calculated it doesn’t KO. So you think to Tera water and bulk up.
great tusk Terastyled into a water type! Tusk used bulk up. Kingambit used low kick, tusk lost about 40%.
welp, didn’t expect this one…
who the duck uses low kick and iron head!?!?? and now you’ll just EQ right, or do you bulk up again anticipating the sucker punch?!?!?
the next 50/50
well attacking is logical, or so you think, because you can’t risk it predicting your non attack and hitting you with another low kick. Azumaril in the back and can play rough with it now. So you use EQ
“kingambit used sucker punch”, “tusk fainted”
the final 50/50
the azumaril that was supposed to revenge the fire type gambit now has to roll the dice on speed EVs. This noob motherfucker needs to faint, it’s only on 22% and burned. But you can’t aquajet this noob who is somehow using Tera water when all the literature on Tera kingambit suggested flying/fire/fairy/dark/ghost/fighting/grass.
the fuck??! Isn’t Tera water supposed to be what the 2k ELO players use on Volcarona???
Anyway, your rage is high, but at least you’re running 199 speed adamant azumaril. Shame you don’t have encore like all the pros in the forums were suggesting, because you kinda needed ice spinner more for amoonguss.
the next turn begins…
“kingambit used iron head”
Azumaril lost 69% of its HP (yeah 1% left because this scenario is trolling you)
Azumaril flinched.
..
You type gg, close the window to forfeit, and queue for another game.
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Somehow this noob 50/50’d their way through your team.