What's a good way to learn prediction skills?

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adman2

adman2

My win/loss record is beginning to make the French look good. I need some help!

I try to predict, but it often fails, like using Charm on an Alakazam with my Blissey, predicting a switch to a physical attacker. This also includes problems with items, like when I don't know a Choice Scarf is about until it kills my Aerodactyl. How do the more advanced players figure this stuff out when they battle?
 
adman2 said:
My win/loss record is beginning to make the French look good. I need some help!

I try to predict, but it often fails, like using Charm on an Alakazam with my Blissey, predicting a switch to a physical attacker. This also includes problems with items, like when I don't know a Choice Scarf is about until it kills my Aerodactyl. How do the more advanced players figure this stuff out when they battle?
Click to expand...
Experience
 
chaos said:
Synre gave his input and I'll give mine: I stay clear of RMTs. When I was first starting Advance, I never posted RMTs. When I first start D/P, I'll never post an RMT. When I want to beat someone, I don't scout for their team in an RMT topic or even read RMTs to see what kind of teams people use. At least in the context of NetBattle, it's completely redundant. If I want to see what people use, I'll... "battle." If I want to see if something works, I'll... "battle." Once you learn "Pokemon Theory" RMTs are useless, it's easy enough to identify your own weaknesses... which is why I advocate lots of reading material and ESPECIALLY practice as opposed to a post button.
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I'll "battle" if I want to improve my prediction
 
Predicting the Choice Scarf users is easy, I mean if you see that your foe starts the battle with Heracross, is a bit obvious what item does it have, the same if it sends a Medicham against your Aerodactyl, you would easily notice that =P

And I also guess that experience is the best way to gain prediction skills.
 
http://www.smogon.com/forums/showthread.php?t=22055

http://www.smogon.com/forums/showthread.php?t=21646

Topics like those can give you a general idea on the thinking process, and looking at anlysises (spelling?) can give let you guess about what to expect. However, the biggest and most correct answer you're going to get is that you have to battle battle battle. Don't worry about your record making the French look good, as stupid as it sounds, you're going to learn a lot more from losing than winning.

EDIT: Beaten to it.
 
very good question indeed, just understanding the metagame abnd whats on your opponents team will help. just looka t those guides and i never learned about prediuction until celebi switched into my rhydon in netbatttle three tiems in a row, then i knew something was up
 
Oh yea, and be conscious of what your doing. If your opponent switches a Garchomp to absorb your Twave, consider using ice beam next time a similar situation occurs. You don't want to fall for the same trick twice.
 
Also, reading Warstories helps quite a bit because you get to see how and why the writer predicted...which can be helpful when he who wrote it understands the metgame.
 
War stories, as has already been mentioned, are a great way. But as everyone else said, battling is the way to go. And, if possible, battle experts. Anyone can go to gamefaqs and destroy "pogeymanz_master438747892347", but getting your butt kicked by someone who knows what they're doing will really help you in all aspects.
 
It's pretty easy learning the basics of prediciting switches for Pursuit, and when to not use a ghost attack thinking your opponent will switch to normal, etc. Learning the general threats and just battling alot gets you some experience on when people will switch out generally. It's all just about battling alot.
 
You'll start predicting better as you battle more often. Eventually you'll be making moves without thinking much about them because you've been in the same situations dozens of times.

Reading some of the great stuff McGraw types out is helpful too. =P
 
Using your own Choice specs/band pokemon will help, as well as using moves like U-Turn makes you more familiar with predicting what your opponent will do.
 
OldSchoolNub, Get a new avatar, seriously I don't want to have the same avatar as somebody else like me and micky used to have. I posted the link to the picture of mine in one of my warstories awhile ago. *is angry*

Oh, I don't mean to *insert expression here* but my warstories are a pretty good place to learn about prediction, don't have as much comentary as jibaku's, and aid in getting to know the metagame. However since I have not written a warstory in quite some time, I feel some of the pokemon in the metagame might be different as they are now. (ie CM jirachi)

The DP analysis's by the people who were the "best contributors to stark mountain" (coughyeahrightcough) are really good sources to know the common pokes and the standard movesets so you know what attacks to predict.
 
Meh, if you just keep battling you'll start seeing things that you didn't use to before. For example, if you use jolt as a starter, unless their starter threatens you, you expect them to switch, so you Sub.Thats not necessary, most people break your Sub on the first turn and switch on the next.
So basically once this happens 3 or 4 times you'll see th patter and predict it.
 
Predicting is the most overrated thing in pokemon. Just stop doing it altogether imo..

Seriously, just focus on team building and dont try to force prediction, it mostly just comes down to luck.

Have a nice day.
 
Experience,after a while you just know what to do without even have to think about it =]And over prediction is something to watch out for indeed,like you charming that alakazam.
 
Anyway there isn't very much to add here since this topic has pretty much exclusively just been people repeating 'you should battle to gain experience' and 'war stories are useful' so I am going to lock this, nothing new is getting added to the discussion.

For my input.... you should battle to gain experience and war stories are useful(write more of them Seph!)

additionally

SePh258 said:
OldSchoolNub, Get a new avatar, seriously I don't want to have the same avatar as somebody else like me and micky used to have. I posted the link to the picture of mine in one of my warstories awhile ago. *is angry*

The DP analysis's by the people who were the "best contributors to stark mountain" (coughyeahrightcough) are really good sources to know the common pokes and the standard movesets so you know what attacks to predict.
Click to expand...

I would wager posts like that one probably don't help the 'I should be on the DP team' argument buddy!
 
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