Uh, UncleSam, you're forgetting one thing: You want to be voted Cryo leader. This gives you a BPV which means you can get safeguarded and be unable to be killed for the night. The kidnapped is also nerfed. I don't know what an invitation to the volcano means, but without it, the kidnap seems to have low odds of actually working. Yeah the kidnapper is BPV, but you will be as well, if you are elected leader.
I'm going to go with a Day 1 Lynch UncleSam vote (as seems to happen quite often) for now, but it is still up in the air for me. He has a good role for leading his faction, and I'd rather not have to deal with him later. However, if we find a common enemy of the three spheres, I'd gladly deal with that first. Right now though, I can't be sure if Accent is that common enemy.