Nature, EVs: (Speed Stat reached)/Base Speed benchmark reached (No/Min./Max. Investment)
(Notable) Pokemon outran (additional information/the spread outran)
Bolded Pokemon are
threats that would normally cripple/KO Mawile without any investment.
Note: Comments regarding Mawile's ability to survive against attacks encompass both 0 HP Mega Mawile and 252 HP Mega Mawile, and also assume a neutral nature, unless stated otherwise.
Adamant, 0: (136)/Base 50 (No Investment)
Conkeldurr
Ferrothorn
Forretress
Hippowdon
Significance:
None. Most of the Pokemon you outrun already beat you or are already beaten by you.
Adamant, 84: (156)/Base 60 (No Investment)
Abomasnow (+Mega) (0 EVs)
Ampharos (+Mega)
Azumarill (4 EVs)
Chansey
Clefable
Blissey
Gourgeist (Super)
Jellicent
Porygon2
Sylveon
Trevenant
Significance:
Most of the Pokemon listed, such as Chansey, Blissey, Gourgiest, Jellicent and Trevenant would all outrun you under normal conditions and cripple you with Thunder Wave or Will-O-Wisp. By running an Adamant Nature and 84 Speed EVs, you can sub up before they try to status you, then smack them around with Play Rough or Sucker Punch.
Adamant, 92: (158)/Base 61 (No Investment)
Azumarill (84 EVs)
Machamp (44 EVs)
Tyranitar (Assault Vest)
Significance:
Assault Vest Tyranitar is bound to be popular this generation thanks to the weather nerf making what would normally be an omnipresent Sandstorm last a mere five turns, making him easier to fit onto teams that would normally be put off by the Sandstorm damage, and also Assault Vest, which lets him sponge Special Attacks exceptionally well. By running 92 Speed Evs, you are able to take on Tyranitar without any risks at all. Normally, you would lose 50% of your health or more from Earthquake or Fire Blast (should you not be behind a Substitute, that is), and while Pain Split is definitely good, the opponent switching in something faster will impede Mega Mawile's longevity.
Azumarill is 2HKO'd with a combination of Play Rough and Sucker Punch, while the most Azumarill can manage is a 2HKO with Waterfall, though, be warned: even 252 HP variants have a 12.5% chance of being OHKO'd by Waterfall after having used a Substitute and also lost it.
Adamant, 124: (167)/Base 65 (No Investment)
Scizor
Umbreon
Vaporeon
Significance:
Your Sucker Punch will be faster than Choice Band Scizor's, which is important since Bullet Punch will probably be the go-to move most of the time in an attempt to pick off a weakened Mega Mawile.
Adamant, 164: (177)/Base 70 (No Investment)
Metagross (Assault Vest)
Skarmory
Significance:
None, really. Even the bulkiest of Metagross are already slaughtered by Sucker Punch, while Skarmory will Whirlwind you away before you are able to 2HKO him with Thunder Punch.
Adamant, 248: (198)/Base 80 (4 EV Investment)
Jolly, 176: (198)/Base 80 (4 EV Investment)
Florges
Goodra (Assault Vest)
Heatran (Specially Defensive)
Magnezone (84 EVs)
Mandibuzz
Togekiss (Min. [4]/No [0] Speed)
Significance:
Every one of these Pokemon would normally outrun you and either kill you (Goodra/Heatran/Magnezone), cripple you (Togekiss), or alleviate stress for the opponent's team through Wish, Heal Bell, or Aromatherapy (Togekiss/Florges). Each one of them is beaten with the appropriate coverage move, 2HKOd or crippled by Play Rough, or forced out with Substitute. 172 HP Magnezone has a 90% chance of being 2HKO'd by Sucker Punch after Stealth Rock with an Adamant Nature and a 14% chance with a Jolly Nature (both assuming 252 ATK).
Jolly, 216: (209)/Base 85/86 (4/0 EV Investment)
Rotom-H (Physically/Specially Defensive)
Rotom-W (Physcially/Specially Defensive)
Togekiss (44/48 EVs)
Significance:
Rotom-W and Togekiss are probably the two most common switch-ins to Mega Mawile after he has forced someone out or killed an opponent's Pokemon. Rotom-W is often Physically Defensive and loves to use you as a Volt Switch pivot or a Will-O-Wisp target while Togekiss will either paralyze you with Thunder Wave or roast our little beansprout with Fire Blast. Both Pokemon are dealt upwards of 52% damage minimum regardless of nature assuming a 252 investment. Togekiss is OHKOd after Stealth Rock with Iron Head. Specially Defensive Rotom-W have a 37.5% chance of being OHKOd after Stealth Rock assuming a neutral nature; a 93.75% chance assuming a positive one.
Notes:
- Though Pokemon like Umbreon might seem kind of jarring, I have literally encountered just about everything on the PokeBank OU ladder. Just interpret it as a bonus - some of them may very well see use in OU thanks to whatever niche they're able to provide. The most important ones are bolded anyways.
- Adamant vs. Jolly
- An Adamant Nature is usually the better choice because you will yield more ATK while still being able to hit certain damage thresholds. sidakarya's set on the first page is a good example of this. Using his EV distribution and a Careful nature, he hits 304/285/206/131/253/157. By changing his spread to 252 HP/64 ATK/108 Sp.DEF/84 Spe with an Adamant Nature, we hit 304/288/206/131/253/157 - the exact same numbers, but with 3 more points in ATK.
- However, investing heavily in Speed with an Adamant Nature can strain your distribution of HP Evs. Investing in HP for Mawile is like investing the same amount of EVs in both his Defense and his Special Defense because his Base HP is so damn small. While investing less in HP can seem more appealing at first because it increases the percentage of health restored by Pain Split (while also making your opponent significantly weaker as well), Mawile becomes significantly less bulky as a result, meaning he cannot take advantage of his fantastic typing as well as he would normally be able to.
- That said, a Jolly Nature is needed to outrun threats like Rotom-W and Togekiss; threats you cannot outrun with Mawile otherwise. The ability to check common switch-ins under certain conditions is welcome for a Pokemon like Mawile who loves snapping the opponent's defenders in half.
Conclusion:
92 Spe EVs with a Neutral Nature is probably the most speed you will ever need to run on Mawile. A spread of 252 HP/164 ATK/92 Spe will give you an ATK of 630 after factoring in Huge Power, more than enough to muscle through anything. However, the advantages of luring and killing Togekiss and Rotom-W can be invaluable for a Dragon-Type partner like Dragonite or Salamence, or Pokemon like Talonflame, who will definitely appreciate a dead or crippled Rotom-W. The includes other bulky waters too, of course.