Ah alright I got you
It's NAI/slightly scum leaning, i've seen town do it but its always worth pressuring regardless
That is basically what I just said, yes.
Ah alright I got you
It's NAI/slightly scum leaning, i've seen town do it but its always worth pressuring regardless
I thought you wanted to know if other people agreed or not :(
wtf is thisThis makes me lean townier on rssp, unless he's in a scumteam with Asek I can't see him casually clearing three people especially when one has had a lot of controversy about them and one has had some question marks, especially when it corresponds to my own reads.
Which leads to the following questions:
- What does town!rssp mean about the rest of the player pool?
- What does a rssp/asek/?? scum team look like?
Not sure about the second question, that would need some serious isos and thought, wrt the first question I'd reckon it makes Walrein look a bit worse, doesn't really affect twin, makes om room look slightly worse (personal bias?), and keeps aubisio/former unchanged as looking badly to me
Texas sudden flips on rssp1 is extremely weird to meI think I figured out what Josh meant when he said "you guys are looking at this game all wrong"
One of rssp1, walrein, and twin are scum. A second might be scum. All three are definitely not scum.
Reason being: they are all almost universally townread.
Here's the rub in the game's mechanics: scum have no motivation to do anything other than act like a perfect town. They don't need to keep each other alive. They don't need to create misdirection. They don't need to lead mislynches. The only thing they need to do to win is to avoid suspicion being on them. Once the game hits a certain number of people remaining as long as any scum is alive they win. Guaranteed at least one of them is the sheep in wolf's clothing, possibly two, while the last scum takes on a more active, dissident voice.
Unvote Lynch rssp1
IMO in regarding to FH about this is that he isn't a naturally wishy-washy player because in basic(where he was town) he gave up on defending himself and just told people to not lynch whydon and that josh+pancake were certain scum togetherI was going to link you to the Hedging page on the MafiaScum Wiki but the site appears to be down at the moment.
Basically it's when people are wishy-washy and qualify all of their reads.
"But on the other hand", "I may be wrong", "Does anyone else think", etc.
Minor statements that make you seem less responsible for your reads. If you can sneak them by, they're an excellent tool in the scum arsenal.
But on the other hand, some people are simply wishy-washy by nature. It's not a guaranteed scum tell. From what I've gathered, Former Hope is one of these people. I may be wrong, but that is my interpretation. Does anyone else think it's NAI?
Nevermind, found it in the playerlist.
Alright this helps.
what was that about it being paranoia mafia and scum not existing and everything else???
Lynch Former Hope
lol what the heck, i told you guys pancake was town >_>
Extend Deadline
Hawkie's instant tunnel on FH worries me a lot especially for not that great reasoning
Vote Hawkie
Well it's true, mafia targets whoevers the towniest a lot of the time. Although if blazade lived I intended to lynch him because he was the towniest by far.
Right now I'm set on walrein, twin, and flyhn. I'm confident at least one of them is scum
Awww, blazade :( will post more when I'm home in about 2 hours
So just...lmao. Both you and Haruno don't seem to understand how this game works. The question town has to keep asking every new day is, "are there more mafia?". This includes the first day when the host explicitly goes out of their way to say there might not be any scum at all. However, because town is designed to know absolutely nothing about mafia, the more mafia does things the better off we are.
For instance, we now know there's at least one mafia who used one of their potentially limitless (or limited) kills. What that means is that we know for certain that we should lynch someone. But then the question comes up, was there only one? In fact, I would predict that after we get the first mafia (if we do...) then the second one will probably not kill. Which leads to the troubling situation that if we kill the first and there is a second one that doesn't kill, town has no way of knowing if there truly is a second terrorist, or if there was only one terrorist and town screws themselves over by continuing to lynch an all town village.
I think right now the likelyhood of a person being scum on the pancake vote is Texas>Hawkie>rssp1
FH push by 2 suspects of mine makes me think he could be getting turbo lynched by a mafia
I'm pretty sure a blazade kill doesn't make FH more towny/less scummy unless I'm missing a big connection there
You know what I want to hear more from haruno
Unvote Lynch Haruno
Alright that's understandable
I think Blazade just got killed because he was by far the towniest player. I doubt there were any major motivations to frame someone/kill him because he suspected a scum (although he may have suspected scum).
Optimal play for no kills is to no lynch continuously yes
unless terrorists have a "you win by phase x" condition
....fuck
#PostsFromTheBreakRoom
Twin, can you go more into depth on why you think one of the pancake voters has to be scum? I understand the logic behind why that would commonly be the case but I'm not sure it follows on such a split vote and looking at the people who voted pancake I don't think I'm confident in any of them being scum. Rssp1s most recent post has a lot of really good logic that I like and reads that make a lot of logical, town oriented sense, which makes me think he's town and hawkie has yet to give me cause to scumread which suggests to me that the mafia let the town shoot themselves in the foot and stayed back.
Unlynch Flyhn, Lynch Aubisio
Aubisio
I've seen no effort from you to get active :/ I assume that you took being scumread early from your posts as a reason to stay quiet so people wont focus on you.
If your town I don't want you to think like that. I would like to hear your reads. Not talking helps scum control the game.
It comes off as kind of scummy that you are not lynching or talking because it seems like you are encouraging other people to have conflicts while you hide.
Ok, I have a question.
Why the hell are we lynching former hope for theorizing that they aren't any terrorists?
I mean unless you guys really think that it's a slip of some sort; otherwise I don't buy it. Honestly, Former seems kind of townish imo. I'm trying to find scum reads but I need to read through all of day 1 first.
rssp1 was originally a scumread but then I realized I was being stupid and that he's helpful asf. Hawkers stop tunneling like you usually do pls. uhhh otherwise, Josh want to give a nice and succinct post on why walrein is scum, because lynching of off gut read is bad for town.
uhhh, otherwise you can go back to lynching me Thetwinmasters
Everything walrein has done seemed scummy. It was blazade that got me to look at them but their behaviour is very suspicious. Grtting some shitty discussion going while replying to things early then idling once we have scum reads to focus discussion on and dropping off the radar. Not really contributing much to discussion . General gut read is a big thing too and blazade, a townie, having the same read is influencing that.
vote daylight extension
i don't really have concrete on anything but i think it's pretty unlikely that one of the people on pancake were not scum
i don't really find hawkie tunnelling weird, he always does that on PS
rssp1 is pretty helpful so i think texas might also be scum
Just checking to say i'm working on a pretty big post that should be done at some point tommorow
Aubisio is screaming scum at me
well it was mostly because of his theory, but also because I just found him scummy in general. (maybe that's just me)
I did a little iso tho and found it was significantly less scummy though
So I don't really know.
I think I want to lynch walrein tomorrow regardless of today's outcome
I blame Overwatch for my absence yesterday
Catching up
And now Texas is doing the work I was gonna do (ISOing many people at once.. except difference is they're doing literally everyone)
RIP Massive post. This is what I get for being easily addicted to games. I just wasted my entire free weekend -_-
Sub me. I don't trust myself enough to stay active (probably gonna waste more time with Overwatch after this, then weekdays are scholl), and I don't have the energy to do this like I originally thought I did. Sorry ;-;
Remind me only to do NOC in the summer from now on
Former Hope: Early game set up spec, tries to push out of RVS at #30 which Walrein has claimed is towny. More set up spec, pushes Hawkie at #58. Reiterates Hawkie at #98, is the first to mention the possibility of a Walrein mole while town reading blazade and possibly twin. Yet more set up spec, then brings up an excellent point at #164 that Haruno is flip-flopping on his reasoning and looking for an excuse to vote FH, a common theme in Haruno's behaviour. NAI for FH though. Pushes inactivity lynches until #278 where he posts some meta reasoning on terrorists behaviour and a critique of Hawkie's play which I personally quite liked at the time, I though it was very pro-town reasoning so this leans towny for me. #286 is along similar lines and uses reasoning similar to my own about probability and states of mind where x is more likely to occur. Interestingly, hasn't posted any specific reads of players to this point except for targeting Hawkie over his interactions with Aubisio. Votes beta at #326 in a continuation of his theme of targeting idlers.
Point of note here at #359, Former never jumps on the pancake wagon but comes out to say he doesn't mind it. Food for thought for those thinking a pancake wagoner has to be scum.
More set up spec at #433 and concern over Walreins lack of posting at #436. Then posts... nothing of consequence until #585 and 588. Odd. Buddies twin's iso of me and scum reads without any concrete reads of his own and tries to protect himself by saying that blazade thought that him vs haruno was tvt. This smells super fishy to me, like he's trying to use blazade's town cred to protect himself and haruno while also keeping his distance from Haruno a bit.
Conclusion: I smell a rat. Former has spent approximately 70% of his posts talking about what mafia would do with their kills and who we should deal with voting strategies. He has not generated any content or reads of his own, he's buddied people the whole way, and he's generally tried to appear active without contributing. His only significant conflict is with haruno which he then later reinforces unprompted which, considering I think haruno is scum, looks like it's extremely likely to be an attempt to distance themselves from each other. His only real pressures have been on inactives which is as safe as safe gets as well as linking Walrein to DLE in order to spread scum confusion over him. The more I think over these posts the worse they look and the more suspicious they get. Strong scum lean.
Really awesome how wall posts and insulting other users makes people appear on smogon zzzzzzzzz