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[Beginner] Mob Mafia - Game over! The M.O.B. win!

If you assume 2x4 Mafia + 1 Wolf, then you have 9/25 = 36% chance of random lynching scum on Day 1. Anyone that you can clean or mark as suspicions should increase the chances of killing mafia. The problem with no lynch is that not only does it have no chance of killing a mafia, you also forever sacrifice that chance to kill a mafia if you did lynch on that day.

If someone was clever with numbers they could probably calculate out the exact minimum confidence you need for a lynch to benefit the village.
2x4 mafia + 1 Wolf in a game with 25 players is pretty unlikely (16/4/4/1) seems a bit too strange. I'd say it's more likely for it to be 14/5/5/1 with each mafia faction having an even/odd night kill. Thus, there's a 44% chance of lynching a scum member (46% if you don't count yourself). That's still not very reliable. I'd much rather have an extra village member in reserve since the extra votes do count at the end; after all, the only way you'll eliminate a kill is by killing the wolf, and there's a 4% chance of that happening.
 
Deadline!

Everyone stumbles out of their tents at The General's morning call. To your surprise, the sun has already risen, and all is quiet. The sunlight is mostly hidden by the large trees surrounding everyone, blocking any hope of seeing your surroundings. "Good morning everyone. Pack up your tents quickly; Nazi soldiers are coming." You start to run for your tent, but stop when someone points out a table in the middle of camp. The simple wooden table contains a note...

"The Rock HAS COME BACK, but had to leave here in the process. Left some food behind so you can still smell what the Rock is cooking.
Sincerely, THE ROCK
ps still think you should lynch BlisseyOfDoom"



While you wonder the meaning of this, shuckles my hero panics and yells at the others, "Giant rain!". Everyone looks up to see large groups of water, which looked like tears, falling towards them. The General, thinking quickly, looks around and spots a small cave about 50 feet away, hidden behind some trees. Quickly, you all run to the cave, though shuckles my hero lags far behind everyone else. As he nears the outside of the cave, a large teardrop hits him on the back, sending him to the ground in pain. "GAH! IT'S SUPER EFFECTIVE!". Engineer Pikachu hides deep in the cave, afraid of being shorted out, while the rest of you hurry to drag shuckles my hero into the cave.

With the water pouring outside, everyone stares at the now soaking wet trees with a grim look. All the tents, with supplies, are now washed away. The General does a head count, to make sure everyone made it inside safely. "We're missing two people". After a quick search, you determine that Quagsires and ginganinja are missing. By now, the mysterious rain-tears-water-things have stopped falling, so you wonder outside to look for them. The ground is now muddy, and everyone's legs get covered in the mucky gunk. Almost immediantly, you see Quagsires laying face down in the ground, not moving. There is little doubt; he's dead.

The General approaches him to search for a small piece of paper, a resume, anything to give his description to be revealed for all. He begins to search Quagsires, only to hear laughter! "Stop, that tickles!". Quagsires hops to his feet, with a relaxed look on his face, revealing that some of the food was squashed under him. "I thought I would protect the food, but the water was so relaxing...I guess I took a quick nap :)".

Everyone asks if he saw ginganinja anywhere, but he says no. After searching the camp and the nearby woods, you determine that ginganinja wasn't in the camp when the rain-tear-water-things came. You discuss searching a wider area, but footsteps are heard. Not from anyone in the group. The General runs toward an opening between two trees, not far from the cave. "Quickly, this way!". Everyone picks up the pace as you flee from the creatures making the sound. Some of you think you see sunlight reflecting off metal as you run.

After a few minutes of intense running, everyone starts to slow down to a more normal pace. While struggling through the trees, someone among you asks the question everyone is thinking.

"Does this mean that no one died tonight?"

Some of you have a questioning, doubting look on your face after the dead bodies of last night. Some are excited, with their joy spreading throughout the group. Since ginganinja's body wasn't found, it does seem that no one died tonight.

The General silences everyone. "We are fortunate that no one has been killed, but I believe there are still enemy agents among us. Do not let your guard down."

Sending out night results out now, do not post until all night results have been sent out.
 
@ HYDRATTLER: I saw you come on irc for a minute or two then leave after looking at the list of people on. If you have not PMed me your claim withing lets say 16 hours, you are highly likely to be lynched.
 
Use Lynch POWAHZ on No Lynch

That guy thinks he can sneak around and not get lynched. Well I'm showing him.

Yeah need some choice night results and if we no lynch then no matter what we still control lynch.
 
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The Unlynch
 
Update!

After the boring lynch of yesterday, and the boring lack of kills tonight, you decide to be really boring and not lynch anyone. That’s boring. So you get a boring update. You just quietly walk through the forest. No hangings. No destruction. Then you look up.

Everyone is in awe at the beautiful mountains which have risen above the forest. As the trees give way to boulders, the huge mountain range becomes impossible to ignore. The General stops and turns to address the crowd. “We are now entering the final section of our journey. These mountains are extremely dangerous, and I do not know what we will find through here. Be careful”.

And so, you begin to travel up the mountain. You spot ginganinja is about 100 feet above you, wondering why all of you are so slow. By the time you catch up to him, everyone decides to stop for the night.

It is now Night 3. Night 3 ends Thursday at 22:00 GMT, or when all night actions are sent in.
 
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