Smogon Premier League XI - Week 4

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reiku

reiku

is a defending World Cup of Pokemon Championis a Past SPL Champion
Wi-fi Wolfpack (5) vs (6) Congregation of the Classiest

SS OU: Star vs suapah | heat matchup, suapahs playing rly good and Star is fire, giving him small edge here
SS OU: rozes vs blarghlfarghl | I think blarghs just better
SS OU: The Hallows vs Insult | Insult has impressed me a lot this SPL, no way not bolding him, Hallows good anyway
SS DOU: Stratos vs stax | w.e
SS LC: HT vs Serene Grace | Serene Grace looked pretty good against zeb and HT lost so giving the edge for it
SM OU: Welli0u vs Relous | Wel is totally fire and Relous is not that good in SM, big edge
ORAS OU: Sjneider vs Persephone | Sjneider is playing good and idk who the other guy is
BW OU: Pearl vs Raiza | I like Pearl as a player, ppl underestimate him so much but I think Raiza is on better form, small edge
DPP OU: BIHI vs Tamahome | Tamas insane, no way im not bolding him, BIHI is playing good as well
ADV OU: BKC vs Teclis | Kevins about to 9-0 sweep... I think Teclis maybe has a chance if he brings some innovation cause hes good
GSC OU: sulcata vs KratosMana | both are good but I think Antis better
RBY OU: SMB vs Amaranth | flipped a coin

Dragonspiral Tyrants (8)vs (3)Alpha Ruiners

SS OU: CTC vs Empo | oh my lord the goat is fucking back, imagine not bolding CTC in 2020 jesuschrist so hyped to watch this one cuz Empo is a beast as well
SS OU: Christo vs FLCL | foolys just better i guess
SS OU: TDK vs Twixtry | TDKs one of the best builders/players of this gen, Twixtry is good enough to beat him but I have to give TDK the edge
SS DOU: marilli vs qsns | w.e
SS LC: Luthier vs jake | jakes been dominant and prob he wants revenge after his loss last week, Luthier doesnt seem good enough
SM OU: blunder vs Gondra | I love Gondra but blunders too much in SM, I only predict him to lose against Trosko tho
ORAS OU: CrashinBoomBang vs xImRaptor | cbbs the best on this pool but I think Raptor can win if he preps well
BW OU: John W vs Caetano93 | flipped a coin, dunno how they play at all and bw is so stacked
DPP OU: The Grand Babido vs Hyogafodex | Heist is fire and Hyoga did not impress me at all yet
ADV OU: Gilbert arenas vs Sadlysius | well marcop is so good
GSC OU: gorgie vs FriendOfMrGolem120 | gorgie is 3-0 so no way not bolding him
RBY OU: Heroic Troller vs Alexander. | top 1 so ye, coinflip tier anyway


Ever Grande BIGS (5)vs (6) Circus Maximus Tigers

SS OU: Sabella vs Rexus | dunno who Rexus is and Sabella is overall good so yeah
SS OU: Sage vs Tace | I coinflipped cuz dunno who they are tbh
SS OU: aim vs le lleolae | aim is a good pokemon player and dunno about the other guy
SS DOU: Ezrael vs MajorBowman | w.e
SS LC: trash vs Osh | I guess Osh is playing better
SM OU: ima vs gama | gamas overall better I think
ORAS OU: Jytcampbell vs Luigi | Luigi is really good and dunno who the other guy is so ye
BW OU: jacob vs Steve Angello | my man just destroyed last week in a dominant and fashion perfomance bolding him forever
DPP OU: Fakes vs Raichy | So happy to see Raichy playing again <3, bolding fakes cuz hes better overall in dpp ou
ADV OU: GaryTheGengar vs McMeghan | yeah, big edge for mcm
GSC OU: idiotfrommars vs Zokuru | ifm always hax everyone and idk who the other guy is so free win
RBY OU: Nails vs Kaz | I think hes better idk, coinflip ass generation

Cryonicles (6) vs (5)Stark Sharks

SS OU: Eo Ut Mortus vs xray | Eo is just a big brain fashion player, xray should be 3-0 so he ofc can win without doubt
SS OU: Sacri' vs teal6 | Im on the sacris boat since the beggining so im not leaving it
SS OU: Leftiez vs bro fist | john about to 9-0 this tour tho
SS DOU: Tman vs Kiichikos | w.e
SS LC: ggggd vs EviGaro | both 3-0 and playing so well, giving the edge to pablo cuz my teammates say he is the best
SM OU: Updated Kanto vs frisoeva | my boy Kanto found his way on this tournament and about to be unstoppable
ORAS OU: Garay oak vs Erzengel | Garay is way better than the other guy, so if he tryhard he will win for sure
BW OU: Finchinator vs SoulWind | both are 3-0 but I think Borja is way better than Finch, being Finch super good anyway, small edge
DPP OU: shawyu 1313 vs DeepBlueC | well I think hes more proven, shawyu played good last week
ADV OU: z0mOG vs Blightbringer | my boy z0m is 3-0 so theres no way im not bolding him against everyone not called bkc so yeah there we go
GSC OU: Mr.E vs Conflict | daddy conflict about to get a free win
RBY OU: HML am vs Genesis7 | i guess hes better? dunno

playing Quaze at Friday night probably, good luck Scoots
 
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gorgie

gorgie

formerly Floppy, now Rock hard
Mr.E said:
can you believe floppy's been sandbagging us for ten years man, maybe he has finally revealed his true form
Click to expand...
im just tryharding a little bit more via newfag prep strats bro. nothing crazy

tryna get the youtube goin again soon so i gotta capture the eyes of the modern viewers by adapting.

ill still run up with a wild quagsire/piloswine here and there; just in a more calculated fashion now

edit: example. i was set on bringing sd tenta vs you all week for kicks, THEN I DID THE MATH BRO.

turns out thats a poor idea given your TEAM PICKS and PLAYSTYLE TENDENCIES. i even hit up a chool brother of mine to THEORYMON ideas and TEST shit. ME. i DID that!

2020 visions man
 
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Meru

Meru

ate them up
is a Forum Moderator Alumnusis a Community Contributor Alumnusis a Tiering Contributor Alumnusis a Contributor Alumnusis a Past SPL Championis a Past WCoP Champion
Wi-fi Wolfpack (5) vs (7) Congregation of the Classiest

SS OU: Star vs suapah
SS OU: rozes vs blarghlfarghl
SS OU: The Hallows vs Insult
SS DOU: Stratos vs stax
SS LC: HT vs Serene Grace
SM OU: Welli0u vs Relous
ORAS OU: Sjneider vs Persephone
BW OU: Pearl vs Raiza
DPP OU: BIHI vs Tamahome
ADV OU: BKC vs Teclis
GSC OU: sulcata vs KratosMana
RBY OU: SMB vs Amaranth

Dragonspiral Tyrants (8) vs (4) Alpha Ruiners

SS OU: CTC vs Empo - subbed out and/or game wont matter
SS OU: Christo vs FLCL
SS OU: TDK vs Twixtry
SS DOU: marilli vs qsns
SS LC: Luthier vs jake
SM OU: blunder vs Gondra
ORAS OU: CrashinBoomBang vs xImRaptor
BW OU: John W vs Caetano93
DPP OU: The Grand Babido vs Hyogafodex
ADV OU: Gilbert arenas vs Sadlysius - idk who
GSC OU: gorgie vs FriendOfMrGolem120
RBY OU: Heroic Troller vs Alexander.

Team Raiders (6) vs (6) Indie Scooters

SS OU: Vulpix03 vs Jayde
SS OU: Lusa vs Lopunny Kicks
SS OU: Lycans vs talah
SS DOU: kaori vs Memoric
SS LC: LilyAC vs tazz
SM OU: Trosko vs ZoroDark
ORAS OU: reiku vs Quaze
BW OU: dice vs zf
DPP OU: ToF vs Honor
ADV OU: pasy_g vs CyberOdin
GSC OU: Earthworm vs Fear
RBY OU: MetalGro$$ vs Bedschibaer

Ever Grande BIGS (6) vs (6) Circus Maximus Tigers

SS OU: Sabella vs Rexus
SS OU: Sage vs Tace
SS OU: aim vs le lleolae
SS DOU: Ezrael vs MajorBowman
SS LC: trash vs Osh
SM OU: ima vs gama
ORAS OU: Jytcampbell vs Luigi
BW OU: jacob vs Steve Angello
DPP OU: Fakes vs Raichy
ADV OU: GaryTheGengar vs McMeghan
GSC OU: idiotfrommars vs Zokuru
RBY OU: Nails vs Kaz

Cryonicles (9) vs (3) Stark Sharks

SS OU: Eo Ut Mortus vs xray
SS OU: Sacri' vs teal6
SS OU: Leftiez vs bro fist
SS DOU: Tman vs Kiichikos
SS LC: ggggd vs EviGaro
SM OU: Updated Kanto vs frisoeva
ORAS OU: Garay oak vs Erzengel
BW OU: Finchinator vs SoulWind
DPP OU: shawyu 1313 vs DeepBlueC
ADV OU: z0mOG vs Blightbringer
GSC OU: Mr.E vs Conflict
RBY OU: HML am vs Genesis7

predicts will change depending on subs
 
Finchinator

Finchinator

-OUTL
is a Tournament Directoris a Top Social Media Contributoris a Community Leaderis a Community Contributoris a Smogon Discord Contributoris a Top Tiering Contributoris a Contributor to Smogonis a Top Smogon Media Contributoris a Top Dedicated Tournament Hostis a Senior Staff Member Alumnusis a Battle Simulator Moderator Alumnusis a Past WCoP Championis the defending OU Circuit Championis a Two-Time Former Old Generation Tournament Circuit Champion
OU Leader
Saturday at 10am EST vs SoulWind, looking forward to it

BW Predictions

Pearl (55) vs (45) Raiza - I am quite high on both of these players. Pearl has been using solid teams, but running into strong opponents. I am still convinced that he can finish positive despite the strength of this BW field. Raiza is in a similar boat; he is unfortunately off to a 1-2 start, but his loss to me was down to the wire and his loss to Caetano felt a bit fluky seeing as he faced a pretty cheesy Latios set and Caetano was up to his normal madman antics. With this said, both of these two are off to less than ideal starts record wise and they are determined to turn it around. I favor Pearl slightly because I think that Raiza's main advantage over some of the other inexperienced BW players is in the builder and Pearl has the support of both BKC and ABR, which has led to some strong teams thus far in my eyes. In the battle, I expect Pearl to have a slight advantage playing wise, but it is relatively close and even the slightest of advantages in either direction match-up or RNG wise can easily tilt the game in one direction or another given how well both capitalize on these things. I am interested to see how Raiza may respond to the sand teams Pearl has been using -- each of them is similar in terms of Pokemon used, all having Tyranitar + Landorus-T + Excadrill with a pretty normal supporting cast (i.e: 2/3 Latios, 2/3 Rotom-W, 2/3 Ferrothorn, etc.) for BW standards, but they all have different structures when you strip them down to the sets or what purposes the filler Pokemon serve that there are only so many things that can actually take advantage of this trend. Honestly, this is why BW Sand balance (and BO) is seen as such a strong, consistent archetype. Before I go off on a tangent about my beloved Sand teams, I will also say that there will likely be a week or two where Pearl deviates from these norms and perhaps that could put him in an advantageous position here if Raiza is caught red-handed, tunneling on Pearl bringing something specific due to what he has seen thus far. Games like this really intrigue me as a spectator and follower of BW because there are so many proven elements put to the test consistently, but it never truly gets boring or stale. Very excited for this match.

John W (55) vs (45) Caetano93 - John W used a really cool team against me last week, but between some unfortunate luck and some late-game, low-timer piloting errors, he fell short. I still believe he is a high ceiling player with the ability to beat anyone in this pool, which I think he will show again this week. I think Caetano is pretty good, but I feel like his performance hinges on a lot of things that are inconsistent. For example, last week he used the Fire Gem Latios set, which is honestly really hard to justify imo. It catches Ferrothorn in Sand, but so does Trick while not being so much weaker pre-Trick and in non-Ferrothorn match-ups. In addition to this, not having the raw strength of Specs makes a ton of other match-ups challenging and lacking Trick to cripple specific things makes some games straight-up unplayable barring luck/misplays from the opposition. These type of trade-offs are very high risk with middling reward relative to the reward of crippling Ferrothorn simply through using Trick or a couple Dracos to the face. It is not just some individual set selections that rub me the wrong way either. In his game against Raiza, he pretty much had it won from early on, but he decided to risk Breloom against Keldeo locked into HP Flying either because he thought it was HP Ice, which would show that he lacks a pretty important piece of metagame knowledge, or that he was willing to risk a won game for the sake of rushing through on a hunch when he was not in a position where he needed to risk anything at all. Yea, I get that these things worked out, but it just seems a lot less sustainable to win on the basis of these things than consistent teams and play, which is why I find myself struggling to favor him against most of the more proven players in this field. I think of Caetano straightens these things out, he has a great instinct for the game and can likely finish positive. However, until then I give John W the slight edge because I think his game is closer to fundamentally sound despite showing some signs of being mistake prone recently.

dice (60) vs (40) zf - Another match that I am very much looking forward to. dice has returned to strong form after a likely outlier showing week 1. zf, on the other hand, has not looked great since a strong showing week 1. I think dice is better normally, but I favor him especially here as his teambuilding has kept up nicely with the metagame and his gameplay has not shown any signs of slowing down. zf I think is just a step behind dice in every regard; while he is obviously solid, I think this match in particular will be a struggle for him. His builds are a bit shakier, perhaps having a few more holes while trying to maintain a certain level of surprise value and innovation that both identify with. His games are not played poorly, but sometimes he leaves a little to be desired or digs himself a hole earlier on in games that is hard to get out of despite aggressive attempts to claw back into games. I think I just need to see a little bit more from zf in the win department before I can be too confident in him against top players like dice. I do think this one will be a treat for the spectators, however.

jacob (60) vs (40) Steve Angello - Not as much to say on this one as we have only seen one game from both thus far. While Steve Angello won and jacob lost, I tend to favor jacob's greater experience in the tier and modernized approach over whatever the Tigers may have cooking in BW. This game could truly go either way and I am curious to see not only the teams, but also the execution. I think Steve Angello has always been a scrappy player, capable of winning any game in any tier against any opponent. The issue is that he is still lacking in the experience department and the metagame knowledge department; both of these areas are pretty important to cover in BW if you wish to achieve consistent results. Because of this, I will be hesitant to bold his name or any newer BW player against guys who are known entities. Hopefully for the Tigers he shows some more strong play and can prove me wrong here though.
 
BKC

BKC

is a Community Contributoris a Top Contributoris a Tournament Director Alumnusis a Forum Moderator Alumnusis the Smogon Tour Season 16 Championis the Smogon Tour Season 22 Championis a Past SPL Championis a Five-Time Past WCoP Champion
SS OU: CTC vs Empo
This prediction is null if we don't see bung yasedlord aka Danklord CTGod aka Don Likeableone et al bring Rotom-C. It's good in OU now so there's no excuse. The win also doesn't count unless we get a heatah fajita freestyle throughout (Smogtours observers have memorized all of CTC's verses so he won't get away with reusing bars)

RBY OU: Heroic Troller vs Alexander.
I'll be streaming and uploading what's sure to be a molto bene clash of aggressive Zapdos. Tune in. Gorlaaaami.

BW OU: dice vs zf
A lot can fluctuate in this game. Last week zf repeatedly showcased immense balls of fortified steel that would make Colossus jealous. However, he had some positioning troubles that ended up making things too difficult to overcome. This, in conjunction with the highs of his week one team that was built and played with equal risk and ferocity, and the costly missteps that made for a rough week two game, means it's tough to predict what we're going to see this time around. dice has bounced back nicely from his rough first week, notably not sitting on his laurels despite a near-perfect matchup week two and making risky moves to completely neuter the Thundurus that was otherwise the only threat to his team. His squads are looking tough to break, the creativity he's known for is working, and he's not afraid to make aggressive moves to cement his advantages, so he does have the advantage. However, if zf comes out swinging hard enough, this could absolutely tilt the other way.

DPP OU: ToF vs. Honor
I think this game has a lot of potential to be interesting with the contrast of Honor's crafty offenses against ToF's bulky approach. Honor does sometimes struggle with the defensive squads ToF favors, and I feel his own choices thus far have lacked the spark and bite that his best in the past have had, while ToF's play has made his already solid teams even tougher to beat. That said, Honor is not to be underestimated.

GSC OU: Earthworm vs. Fear
Their battle last SPL was my favorite GSC game of the tournament and I'm hoping for a match of similar intensity this time around, whether it's another offensive slugfest or a second Struggle sweep attempt by the pirate.

BW OU: Finchinator vs. SoulWind
The battle for 4-0, this is as evenly matched a game as you'll get in BW. I'm expecting some good old Rotom sand on Rotom sand, slightly favoring whoever brings the tweaks that'll give that small yet important advantage in a near-mirror match.
 
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