So the thing about the Falcons Offense is exactly as Killah is pointing out: when they have success it's because everyone is having success. But the thing about everyone's success is I'm not necessarily certain it's all because the supporting cast is that much more impressive or if it's because the offensive scheme is that good. If it's the former then there's gonna be lots of points scored for the Falcons. If it's the latter (which I suspect it might be) then this game will be fascinating because the Patriots secondary is deep enough in talent to challenge a group of good but not great recievers.
Most likely the Patriots will be playing more of their base nickel defense or even some dime if they feel like they can and using Devin McCourty's ridiculous range to slow down the Falcons passing offense and being stingy on 20+ yard plays as they always are. Naturally though the thing with playing Nickel or Dime is it's weakness to power running and then inevitably hard play fake passes which are things the Falcons love to do. But the way the Patriots usually play that out is by telling their defensive line to almost sell out against the run and maintain spatial discipline and never give up leverage. This is largely what they do all the time mostly because they're sorry pass rushers to begin with so might as well play to your strengths. For the most part the Patriots run a 4-2-5 line-backers-secondary style of play. From there the game becomes Shanahans play calling versus what the Patriots scheme their linebackers to do. Most of the Patriots pass rush is generated by blitzing linebackers but blitzing linebackers make your run defense weaker, but not blitzing slows your pass rush which makes it harder to cover blah blah blah etcetc.
All of this is to say that the Patriots defense has a lot of answers to a lot of what the Falcons do on Offense and vice versa. Chess match is over used and it's more like an extremely intricate form of Rock Paper Scissors but that's what this game comes down to when the Falcons have the ball. All that scheme stuff.
On the other side of the ball the Falcons have no chance unless Brady decides to get a case of the yips which sometimes happens but I don't think will. The Falcons are weak on short passes and to slot recievers and running backs. With Gronkowski out our entire offense has become playing an abnormal amount of slot recievers and running backs with a large amount of short passes. Dion Lewis and James White will be disasters for the Falcons to cover and Edelman will does as he always does and test the short game of guys who are used to covering threats of a deeper variety. I'd suspect someone like Amendola to have a surprisingly good game here given he tends to be the slot within the slot reciever next to Edelman. The biggest threat will be the Falcons pass rush but it's not like this is a star studded Falcons DLine. It takes more than good to really get after Dom Grady and the Patriots always aim to tire pass rushers out with the speed of their play and also by just running the ball whenever the pass rushers start getting too greedy.
What all this means is that if the Patriots offense can get out to a 2 score lead they will most likely end up closing out the game by making the Falcons more predictable offensively. If however the Falcons have a lead it isn't necessarily as safe (Unless of course Brady is playing badly which is not impossible considering he doesn't have the best record of consistent performances in the Super Bowl).
Thing to note: The Falcons just put up two 40 point games on what was a bad defense (rip earl thomas) and a VERY bad defense (rip Aaron Rodgers). So despite the Patriots defense not being all that either (their DLine is one fucker of a weakness to have) the Patriots defense is in fact significantly better than the defenses the Falcons have played thus far in these playoffs so I don't think the game will be as high scoring as people think it will.
I'd say the Patriots should be favored by about 5 points.
Also I thought last year was the White Supremacy bowl with Cam vs Peyton and that variety of fan bases. BUT BOSTON V ATLANTA??? Whoo boy if I wasn't a Pats fan I'd be rooting for Atlanta so John Lewis could show up at the White House visit as honorary captain. Fuck
Killah tho. Never want to see him happy.