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For those too lazy to look at the spreadsheet, I just looked through the pairings and found the minimum amount of points that any one player can win as of current battles taken place (meaning I assume they lose the remainder of their battles, or battles go a certain way that they tie and get the least amount of points possible)
Here are the current standings in terms of guaranteed points.
UK - 26
Metro - 24
West - 22
South - 19
Oceania - 18
Central - 17
Canada - 15
Asia - 15
Germany - 15
France - 14
Europe - 14
East - 12
Latin America - 6
Italy - 3
It's also interesting to note how many battles have actually taken place per country. For example, East and Germany both have done 20/24 battles, which means their point totals are fairly set as of now, but certain teams like Latin America have very few actual completed matches, so their potential is pretty high.
These are assuming each team sweeps the rest of their battles!
Interesting notes: East / Germany both have a maximum potential < UK's minimum potential meaning UK is guaranteed 12th in the tournament as of right now! (Metro is guaranteed 13th as it has more than East's maximum potential). Also, West, even though it is already done with 20/24 battles, STILL has a great potential max score of 35. Here's the rundown of who has the greatest potential for a turnaround at this point.
UK - 40 (+14)
Canada - 38 (+23)
South - 35 (+16)
Central - 35 (+18)
West - 35 (+13)
Metro - 34 (+10)
Latin America - 34 (+28!!!!)
France - 32 (+18)
Italy - 32 (29!!!!)
Oceana - 31 (+13)
Asia - 31 (+16)
Europe - 30 (+16)
Germany - 29 (+14)
East - 21 (+9)
East and Germany have the lowest chance for a turnaround, and Latin America / Italy could come back any time now (need more battles to determine their likely final score).