Probably tl;dr, I tend to go on when writing these sorts of posts, but I will summarise my thought's at the end of my discursions on each Pokemon!
Abomasnow: If it didn't have Snow Warning, then I wouldn't be at all impressed with this guy, but the fact that it does is the one reason we should send this guy to BL. Being able to support Stallrein, as well as Substitute / Spikes Froslass @ Brightpowder for an entire game says gg to the majority of teams not dedicating a significant amount of their team to stopping it. Although my first sentence isn't to be misleading, it packs a huge punch with Wood Hammer / Blizzard, dual Base 120 STAB is nothing to scoff at, and with the correct EVs it can be incredibly bulky from the Special Side.
This is one thing that Stellar brought up in #newuu the other day. The statement was "Abomasnow and Walrein may be too much for the new UU." Now, after discussion I see no reason why it is Abomasnow himself we should ban. Brightpowder Froslass isn't exactly broken in my opinion, yes it has an element of luck, but I have no had large problems dealing with, and it's not like it has a decent recovery move or decent resistances to set up with (only real worthy resistance is fighting.) It seems to me that all of my battles against Hail Stall teams so far have been all about keeping the pressure on their Walrein and not allowing it to get going on a Substitute / Protect cycle.
Grounded Poison types are more common in UU, so people _may_ find themselves carrying one as a counter to Toxic Spikes anyway, often you don't have to go out of your way to get one, I have seen Toxicroak, both Nidos, Roserade and Drapion around. I am yet to be convinced that the Abomasnow + Walrein strategy is broken, but if it is, it is Walrein that I would like to see banned, not Abomasnow, as he is the only Pokemon that really benefits from the weather, and I'm sure Abomasnow could still fit some nice niches in more generic teams, as Tyranitar does in Overused. I would like to ban the Pokemon that is broken and only sets benefit entirely from the Hail, rather than blame the cause.
Summary: Should we deem this combination "broken" (I am yet to be convinced) then it is Walrein who should be banned. No other Pokemon are potentially broken under Hail. If we ban Abomasnow, Walrein will see little use unless your opponant wants to use Snover, if we ban Walrein, Abomasnow may still see use in UU, which would be nice.
LonelyNess said:
Spiritomb: Let's face it, with its defenses, resistances, status attacks, ability to stat up and sweep, this thing is probably THE biggest defensive threat to the tier. I equate it similarly to something like Lugia would be to the OU tier. It's not at all difficult to get 6 Calm Minds and completely destroy a team, and with the only real way to hit being hard, and from the Special side (considering you could very well be completely neutered by Will-O-Wisp) it's just too much for the tier.
Spiritomb usage has dropped recently, the set that got everyone going early on was the ResTalk Calm Mind set, which is slowly fading out to the Will-o-Wisp set, because it is mostly strong physical attackers that try to stop it. I agree that this combination of possible sets it could run is very effective. Taunt does ruin it, and that is run by every Crobat that you have also mentioned. Never to mind that it is dirt slow.
So, I guess there all I have really done is list it's characteristics, and they do seems impressive, so why am I currently erring on the side of not banning Spiritomb? I feel that Spritimb actually balances the metagame more than we expect, in old UU people would always carry at least one fighting type to make sure they could deal with Clefable well, and that made the metagame kinda sucky. In this metgame that is counter balanced by the larger presence of useable Ghost types, such as Mismagius and especially Spiritomb. I feel that banning Spritomb would probably pretty much break Gallade, but that is not the case at the moment. It would nessecitate the banning of Gallade, something people may not forsee at the time of voting =/ Why should we ban both, when we could ban neither. Not at one point have I felt that Spiritomb has been "too much" or "too hard to deal with," I guess that's just my experience.
Summary: Spiritomb is indeed a powerful threat, but it is not one that you have to go completely out of your way to deal with, it is still dealt with by many of the metagames top threats and helps keep fighting types, most notbaly Gallade under control. "Why ban both when we can be neither."
LonelyNess said:
Gallade: With the above gone, there is nothing stopping this at all. Ice Punch / Shadow Sneak / Close Combat is all you need coupled with a Swords Dance and you're golden. This, along with the Pokemon below is probably the #1 offensive threat.
The one thing that really lets Gallade down is it's Speed, base 80 really doesn't cut it for this guy, in my experience. he is very open to revenge kills from the likes of Staraptor and Raikou, there was even a Speedy Miltank in an RMT the other day that could outspeed and KO =O (note that is not actually a part of my argument) Paralysis combined with it could potentially be an issue, as Caelum said, but running a team based on paralysis isn't always viable as there are a reasonable number of Status absorbers, or you could even simply use a Pokemon for status fodder. As me and others have already allured to Spiritomb keeps this nicely in check. That's all I really have to say on the subject of Gallade, it has not been overwhelming when used against me.
Summary: Poor Speed, and the need to resort to crude strategies to sort this out is an issue for this guy, many revenge killing threats are immune / don't care that much about Shadow Sneak. Kept in check by Gallade, not suspect worthy unless we start banning other things.
LonelyNess said:
Staraptor: Ok, this is why you need 2 Normal resists MINIMUM per team, as well as a Fighting resist who isn't neutral to Normal. This thing is single handedly destroying teams, and it doesn't even need to wait for the team surrounding it to help. Its own unique movepool allows it to take its own counters out all by itself. The only Pokemon I have seen counter this beast 100% is a HEAVILY defensive Luxray used by Eo Ut Mortus. Brave Bird / Close Combat / Return is all this guy needs and with U-turn to scout out your opponent's "counter" it's just a matter if when, not if, this Pokemon sweeps you.
Staraptor was quite an early threat in the metagame. Umbarsc's warstory with an edited version of Chou Toshio's team also made me think of defensive Luxray although I ran a much cruder set than Eo did. I ran Toxic / Thunder Wave / Thunderbolt / Crunch, which was sorta ruined by Steelix and didn't really benefit my team on the whole. One can play around Staraptor with key resistances in the right places, Steelix and Crobat is a good combination, because (assuming you predict well) you always have an answer to one of its moves. Someone mentioned earlier in this thread about someone attempting to use a Life Orb set with Roost, I tried that and found it to be more effective than the Choice Bander, but the lack of U-Turn was a bit of a turn off.
Staraptor is not a nice Pokemon to deal with and has a chance of being BL in my opinion. I still don't know if I would personally vote to ban it myself, probably because I tend to be quite conservative with these things. It is a threat that is difficult to deal with, but not unmanegable assuming you play with an intelligant head. I am interested to see what the community votes on this one, as am I interested to see how my own opinions on it continue to form as the metagame evolves.
Summary: One of the larger threats in the current metagame, difficult to deal with, but not impossible, also it's Speed is not excellent and therefore can be quite easily revenge killed (Froslass, Raikou...) The Scarf set doesn't really pack as much power as you might want it to. It has flaws, but on the whole is a solid attacking Pokemon that can give a lot of the metagame a lot of grief. One of the larger potential suspects in my opinion.
LonelyNess said:
Crobat: I know what you're thinking, "what? Crobat for BL?" but let me explain first. This Pokemon is the definitive lead. Its ability to shut down other leads with Taunt, as well as its ability to set up Weather for your team is absolutely broken. With such great weather abusers such as Typhlosion and Ludicolo running around in the tier, it's a wonder why this hasn't been mentioned before. I thought we determined with the Deoxys-S vote that fast, guaranteed set-up for no cost was broken, and this guy defines that for UU. Not to mention that with Brave Bird giving huge base power, you don't have to invest in Attack to have a usable attack. And his defenses are far from paper thin, only getting better because of Roost. I personally think this is one of the most harmful Pokemon in the metagame at the moment.
Good One for finding this one LN, I am inclined to agree with you at this stage that Crobat is beginning to fit the definition of "ideal lead" for me. I am (again) interested to see how the metagame evolves around this one. I agree it is not in the league of Deoxys-S as people have pointed out, but Deoxys S was promoted to UBER not BL. It may beathat Taunt, a damn good attcking move in Brave Bird and the fact that it can Roost, and U-Turn are all very useful moves on a lead Pokemon, and enough to make it "the ideal candidate for leading your team."
What are the counter arguments then? With Deoxys there was very much this Taunt vs Taunt situation, whoever won the Tanut war was more likely to win the battle, as was proved, by many people, imperfectluck was one. Crobat can't set up much outside of weather to take advantage of winning a taunt, although I have found that weather is quite a force to be reckoned within this new metagame, again I am happy to wait on this one to see how dominant Crobat becomes as a lead, will its useage peak? If it does I'd be inclinded to label in "stong UU" not "BL."
Summary: Very useful lead, and my current ideal candidate for a lead, if it's useage continues to rise thanks to the excellent weather support it can provide I would be inclined to label it BL, but should it peak, and become more easily conterable, I think that it will merely a decent lead in UU.
In summary, finally, I can't help but feel people are taking in the majority "what you have used to win" and then labelling them as potential suspects, forgive me if I am wrong. It is not hard to get 6 Calm Minds on Spiritomb against a bad opponant, just as it is not hard to get 6 Calm Minds on a Suicune in OU against a bad opponant. If you can top the ladder with Swords Dance Lucario, I wouldn't deem that a it was a potential OU suspect. I feel that hyping suspects at this stage isn' a great way to be going about, as you can see many threats may not have let the metagame adapt to them. At the moment (although I would like useage statistics and possibly X-Acts diversity numbers to clarify this) I don't feel UU is too centrilised around any threats, obviosuly it is around some of the more threatening ones, but then so is any competitive metagame, no matter how hard we try. I would have no problem with not banning anything and leaving BL empty if the metagame stays as it is now.
That is all =) (I tend to harp on a bit, so if you did tl;dr this then I suggest you go up and read the summary points at the end of each Pokemon ^_^) Might add opinions on the others later.