Note that the Polteageist in the second image has more EVs/IVs than the one in the first image.![]()
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If the first Polteageist has 0 HP EVs and IVs: then Polteageist has either base 65 or 66 HP.
If the second Polteageist has 31 HP IVs and 0 HP EVs: then Polteageist has base 56 HP.
This means that Polteageist has at most base 66 HP. Its base HP could be less than 56 if that Polteageist has sufficient HP IVs/EVs, but its base HP is most likely between 56 and 66. It is unclear whether Polteageist evolves. This base HP range is low for the typical fully-evolved Pokemon but some fully-evolved Pokemon do have HP that is in this range or lower.
Note that it is misleading to calculate the scenario where the second Polteageist has 0 HP EVs and IVs because you would calculate that Polteageist has base 71 HP. However, this is incorrect because we know from the first Polteageist that it cannot have more than base 66 HP. The same reasoning is why the first Polteageist was not used in the 31 IV scenario.
Note that the Cramorant in the second image has more EVs/IVs than the one in the first image.![]()
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If the first Cramorant has 0 HP EVs and IVs: then Cramorant has base 72 HP.
If the second Cramorant has 31 HP IVs and 0 HP EVs: then Cramorant has base 67 HP.
Again, it's possible that Cramorant could have less than base 67 HP but it is unlikely. Its base HP cannot be higher than 72, but is very likely to be between 67 and 72. And for the same reasons as Polteageist, it is misleading to use the second Cramorant in the 0 IV case and to use the first Cramorant in the 31 IV case.
I completely missed this when I was watching the direct live because I was busy writing the HP values down in order to create the above post, but in the direct, battle footage is shown of Polteageist and Cramorant using attacks, and Cramorant taking a physical hit. I will use this footage to estimate both of their Special Attack stats and Cramorant's Defense.
Scenario 1: At 21:45 in the video, a Level 40 Polteageist uses non-STAB Giga Drain (I'm pretty sure that's Giga Drain. I don't know what else it could be. I don't think Mega Drain would have that "intense" of an animation) against a Level 28 Croagunk and it takes off about 60% of its HP.
Scenario 2: Immediately after, a Level 42 Cramorant uses a STAB Surf against a Level 30 Machoke, which brings the Machoke down to about 10% of its HP.
Scenario 3: Right after that, a Level 30 Machoke uses Knock Off against a Level 42 Cramorant and Cramorant loses 22 HP. It does not look like the Cramorant gets an item knocked off (unless they edited that out), meaning Knock Off was likely 65 power in this situation.
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First off, I have explained earlier in this thread that in official trailers, the new Pokemon have been messed with to make them appear much bulkier than they are (they did this with Lyanroc-Dusk by making it max-max Impish or something like that). However, even though they have done this, my default assumption will have to be that each Pokemon in the trailer has 0 EVs and 15 IVs in every stat, with neutral natures - this is the most reasonable set of assumptions. More ranges could be calculated if you wanted to consider scenarios in which they messed around with the stats but that's a rabbit hole that I don't think is worth going down.
Therefore, in the following calculations, I will be assuming that all Pokemon in the direct have 15 IVs and 0 EVs in every stat, and neutral natures.
Scenario 1: If 60% was a max roll, then Polteageist would have approximately base 105 Special Attack. If 60% was a min roll, then Polteageist would have approximately base 125 Special Attack.
Scenario 2: If 90% was a max roll, then Cramorant would have approximately base 75 Special Attack. If 90% was a min roll, then Cramorant would have approximately base 95 Special Attack.
Scenario 3: Per my above post, it is likely a very reasonable assumption that Cramorant has about base 70 HP. Under this assumption, if 22 damage was a min roll, then Cramorant would have about base 45 Defense. If 22 damage was a max roll, then Cramorant would have approximately base 61 Defense.
Alternatively, if Cramorant was holding an item (and they edited that out), meaning Knock Off's power was 97.5 in that clip, then that means the Cramorant's Defense would approximately be in the range of base 74 to base 98. Maybe this is the case, as the above range of 45 to 61 seems low, especially because it's supposed to take a hit for its ability to activate.
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