Mimikyu Match-Ups: an unbiased analysis
alright, civilised discussion and theorycrafting are cool in itself but let's use a way of objectively demonstrating Mimikyu's strength: Match-Up Charts.
Match-up Charts are ultimately the actual way 1v1 works, more so than in other tiers. Every single Pokemon, when posed against another, either wins or loses (without counting 50/50s and hax), so MU charts are ideally the basis of the Viability Rankings and of the tier itself.
strike-through means it wins
underlined means it's either a 50/50 or Set Dependant
Alright, now just for the sake of blind match-up analysis, I'm gonna overlap these MU charts together.
I didn't include Choice Scarf for simplicty, as it's over-all considered its worst set, although it's still a decent set.
Now, would you look at that! Whenever facing a Mimikyu without knowing the set, the amount of Pokemon that can counter it effectively is reduced to 12:
Aromatisse, which sacrifices bulk to win the MU
Jirachi, which has to rely on a 60% flinch to win, and still loses to CB Sneak Mimikyu (not included in the MU chart for simplicity)
Corviknight, one of the few reliable MUs, but it still loses to the Mental Herb variant of the Curse set
Haxorus, which has to hit a 75% accuracy move, and unless it runs jolly Scarf it loses to Scarf Mimikyu
Incineroar, which has to run an unflexible Choice Band set that gives up a huge amount of opportunity cost
Whimsicott, which has to guess whether the set is Curse or Band bc otherwise it loses, and still doesnt win against the Mental Herb Curse set
Avalugg, that can still get unlucky with Icicle Spears and lose
Cinderace, that still has to win a few mind games against LO and loses to Scarf
Excadrill, a mon that is not actually that good in the current metagame but gets pushed to its rank simply because it can beat Mimikyu very reliably
Steelix, again unreliable multi-hits, and has to run Choice Band
Cloyster, bad mon with a curious niche, and unless properly EV'd it doesnt even beat Band Mimikyu.
Gigalith, who might not even win against all sets, but multi-hits hehe.
Looking at Older 1v1 Gens, mons that are in the S tier have multiple viable 100% reliable counters, and a satisfying amount of Pokemon that are able to check its most common sets. A lot of people like to make the Dragonite comparison but that mon pales in comparison to how much of an issue Mimikyu is.
Considering how the 1v1 metagame works, guessing sets at preview is a skill that has to be mastered and one of the hardships of the metagame itself. Once the set is revealed, the game is most likely already over, so you can't count on knowing the set beforehand. Thus we are left to a very very few amount of select viable counters, which most are not even 100% reliable, and that severely limit building. Not to talk about how most of these still lose to sets like Charm stall (which is not a real set, although it should, given how Mimikyu has a good speed tier, passable bulk, very good defensive typing and Disguise, which is the one of the trifecta of ultimate stall abilities (Disguise, Unaware, Battle Armor).
Such being said, I don't think there's more to be said. This mon is absolutely disgusting in the current metagame and needs to go ASAP. It is absolutely deserving of a quickban but I would be fine with a suspect (just to make the no-ban advocators happy that they "had a chance to keep in the tier". C'mon buddy, are you blindfolded or a masochist? Just let this Pokemon die already). And for the love of God, do it immediately after PL, don't wait until Ladder Tour just to ruin another tournament.
Regarding the "wait until DLC argument"... what? Why would you keep an extremely unhealthy Pokemon in the metagame in the hope that a DLC that comes in several months is gonna add enough counters to it to the game to make it less toxic. Even if we were to wait for DLC I can guarantee the number of counters in relation to the number of viable new arrival isn't gonna be high enough for people to wanna keep Mimikyu in the tier. And anyway we can just re-suspect it when the time comes, there's no harm in that.
P.S. This post took me a long amount of time to make and it almost certainly isn't perfect, unless there's a major flaw in the post you wanna critique, please refrain from pointing out small imperfections, it doesn't help to the discussion
TL;DR Mimikyu has no viable counter get it out of the tier already
alright, civilised discussion and theorycrafting are cool in itself but let's use a way of objectively demonstrating Mimikyu's strength: Match-Up Charts.
Match-up Charts are ultimately the actual way 1v1 works, more so than in other tiers. Every single Pokemon, when posed against another, either wins or loses (without counting 50/50s and hax), so MU charts are ideally the basis of the Viability Rankings and of the tier itself.
underlined means it's either a 50/50 or Set Dependant
I'm using the standard 252 Atk 252+ Spe Salac Berry set with Phantom Force for this one.
Its Match-Ups are very weird so don't come at me if Curse Imprision Timid Pumpkaboo-Small wins and I didn't include it
S Rank
Jirachi this bitch needs one flinch to win
S- Rank
Darmanitan-Galar
A+ Rank
Sylveon sylv needs to win the 50/50 t1 and get two sleep turns
A Rank
Dracovish even rock tomb roseli, you can just Sub t1
Dragapult Phantom Force has a 50% to OHKO if it's not SubDisable
A- Rank
Arcanine the stall MU is weird and I don't know it, but constant Curse damage + Phantom Force/Protect makes it run out of Morning Sun PP
Corsola-Galar same deal but w/ Rest, it dies once it wants to heal
Corviknight tauntroost makes it die
Crustle
Haxorus
Incineroar should beat non-band
Primarina
Sawk
Whimsicott
Zeraora 50/50 whether they Taunt or not
B+ Rank
Aegislash
Avalugg
Cinderace
Excadrill
Hydreigon you L to timid scarf which barely exists
Kyurem
Mandibuzz same deal as corvi
Rotom-Wash
Togekiss flinch hax
B Rank
Aromatisse
Blastoise
Conkeldurr
Gastrodon
Golisopod
Kommo-o
Milotic
Rhyperior
Rillaboom this mon runs drum beating taunt to win against Mimikyu 100% of the time but still gets denied by sub t1
Rotom-Heat
Snorlax
Steelix
Tyranitar
B- Rank
Bewear
Chandelure
Dracozolt
Duraludon
Durant
Ferrothorn
Gengar
Goodra
Grimmsnarl
Keldeo
Weezing-Galar
C+ Rank
Celebi
Darmanitan
Diggersby loses to scarf wins otherwise
Gardevoir
Gyarados
Rotom-Mow
Terrakion loses to scarf
Togedemaru speedtie on nuzzle
Type: Null it's gonna run out of Rests eventually
C Rank
Alcremie
Appletun
Bisharp
Centiskorch
Cloyster
Crawdaunt banded jet doesnt do enough
Dubwool
Hitmonlee
Inteleon
Mamoswine
Ninetales
Ninetales-Alola
Obstagoon I think
Reuniclus
Scrafty
Silvally
Toxapex
Toxtricity
Umbreon
Vaporeon
Venusaur
C- Rank
Araquanid
Cobalion
Cofagrigus
Copperajah
Drifblim
Eiscue
Gigalith
Hippowdon
Indeedee-Female
Ludicolo
Pyukumuku
Sirfetch'd
Torkoal
Virizion
Weavile
D Rank
Charizard
Drampa
Eldegoss
Espeon
Hatterene
Mudsdale
Orbeetle
Quagsire
Sudowoodo
Trevenant
Tsareena
Turtonator
Vikavolt
Wishiwashi
Its Match-Ups are very weird so don't come at me if Curse Imprision Timid Pumpkaboo-Small wins and I didn't include it
S Rank
Jirachi this bitch needs one flinch to win
S- Rank
A+ Rank
A Rank
Dragapult Phantom Force has a 50% to OHKO if it's not SubDisable
A- Rank
Crustle
Haxorus
Incineroar should beat non-band
Sawk
Whimsicott
Zeraora 50/50 whether they Taunt or not
B+ Rank
Avalugg
Excadrill
Hydreigon you L to timid scarf which barely exists
Togekiss flinch hax
B Rank
Conkeldurr
Gastrodon
Golisopod
Kommo-o
Milotic
Rhyperior
Snorlax
Steelix
B- Rank
Chandelure
Dracozolt
Duraludon
Durant
Ferrothorn
Gengar
Goodra
Grimmsnarl
Weezing-Galar
C+ Rank
Darmanitan
Diggersby loses to scarf wins otherwise
Gyarados
Rotom-Mow
Terrakion loses to scarf
Togedemaru speedtie on nuzzle
C Rank
Appletun
Bisharp
Centiskorch
Cloyster
Hitmonlee
Inteleon
Mamoswine
Ninetales-Alola
Obstagoon
Reuniclus
Silvally
Toxapex
Toxtricity
Umbreon
Vaporeon
Venusaur
C- Rank
Cobalion
Cofagrigus
Copperajah
Drifblim
Eiscue
Gigalith
Indeedee-Female
Ludicolo
Sirfetch'd
Torkoal
Virizion
Weavile
D Rank
Drampa
Eldegoss
Espeon
Hatterene
Mudsdale
Orbeetle
Quagsire
Sudowoodo
Tsareena
Turtonator
Vikavolt
Wishiwashi
Bulky Band is better but I'm gonna use the standard 252 Speed 252+ Atk set as benchmark
S Rank
Jirachi
S- Rank
Darmanitan-Galar some darmG users have been bulking specifically for this lately which is not cool on a 252 252 HO mon
A+ Rank
Sylveon
A Rank
Dracovish
Dragapult subdisable
A- Rank
Arcanine
Corsola-Galar
Corviknight
Crustle it needs 5 rock blast hits
Haxorus
Incineroar
Primarina
Sawk
Whimsicott
Zeraora
B+ Rank
Aegislash
Avalugg
Cinderace
Excadrill
Hydreigon
Kyurem
Mandibuzz
Rotom-Wash
Togekiss
B Rank
Aromatisse
Blastoise
Conkeldurr
Gastrodon
Golisopod
Kommo-o
Milotic protect wins
Rhyperior
Rillaboom
Rotom-Heat
Snorlax a 70/30 mimi favor
Steelix
Tyranitar
B- Rank
Bewear
Chandelure
Dracozolt
Duraludon unless its modest specs or some garbage you lose
Durant gl hitting two iron heads 36/64
Ferrothorn
Gengar
Goodra
Grimmsnarl
Keldeo
Weezing-Galar
C+ Rank
Celebi subseed stall wins, offensive loses
Darmanitan takes recoil from fblitz
Diggersby
Gardevoir
Gyarados with no bulk phantom force has a 60% to 2hko
Rotom-Mow stall is almost never used with mow, but it's the only one that wins
Terrakion
Togedemaru
Type: Null
C Rank
Alcremie
Appletun
Bisharp
Centiskorch
Cloyster
Crawdaunt
Dubwool
Hitmonlee
Inteleon
Mamoswine you need to be scarf icicle spear and get 5 hits to win
Ninetales
Ninetales-Alola
Obstagoon
Reuniclus
Scrafty
Silvally
Toxapex
Toxtricity
Umbreon
Vaporeon
Venusaur
C- Rank
Araquanid
Cobalion
Cofagrigus
Copperajah
Drifblim
Eiscue
Gigalith
Hippowdon
Indeedee-Female
Ludicolo
Pyukumuku
Sirfetch'd
Torkoal
Virizion
Weavile
D Rank
Charizard
Drampa
Eldegoss
Espeon
Hatterene
Mudsdale
Orbeetle
Quagsire
Sudowoodo
Trevenant
Tsareena
Turtonator
Vikavolt
Wishiwashi
S Rank
Jirachi
S- Rank
A+ Rank
A Rank
Dragapult subdisable
A- Rank
Arcanine
Corsola-Galar
Corviknight
Haxorus
Incineroar
Whimsicott
Zeraora
B+ Rank
Avalugg
Cinderace
Excadrill
Kyurem
Togekiss
B Rank
Aromatisse
Golisopod
Milotic protect wins
Rillaboom
Rotom-Heat
Snorlax a 70/30 mimi favor
Steelix
B- Rank
Duraludon unless its modest specs or some garbage you lose
Durant gl hitting two iron heads 36/64
Weezing-Galar
C+ Rank
Celebi subseed stall wins, offensive loses
Diggersby
Gyarados with no bulk phantom force has a 60% to 2hko
Rotom-Mow stall is almost never used with mow, but it's the only one that wins
Togedemaru
Type: Null
C Rank
Alcremie
Cloyster
Dubwool
Ninetales
Ninetales-Alola
Reuniclus
Silvally
Toxapex
Venusaur
C- Rank
Cofagrigus
Drifblim
Gigalith
Weavile
D Rank
Eldegoss
S Rank
Jirachi one flinch q.q
S- Rank
Darmanitan-Galar
A+ Rank
Sylveon
A Rank
Dracovish
Dragapult
A- Rank
Arcanine beat stall lose to band
Corsola-Galar
Corviknight
Crustle
Haxorus
Incineroar my band set wins, others I'm not too sure
Primarina
Sawk
Whimsicott
Zeraora unless its like bulky or smth, Play Rough into Sneak should kill after LO damage
B+ Rank
Aegislash
Avalugg
Cinderace weird MU, Mimikyu needs to win too many 50/50s in a row to win
Excadrill
Hydreigon
Kyurem
Mandibuzz
Rotom-Wash
Togekiss one flinch q.q
B Rank
Aromatisse
Blastoise
Conkeldurr
Gastrodon
Golisopod
Kommo-o
Milotic
Rhyperior
Rillaboom
Rotom-Heat
Snorlax
Steelix
Tyranitar
B- Rank
Bewear
Chandelure
Dracozolt
Duraludon same deal as banded
Durant 64/36
Ferrothorn
Gengar
Goodra
Grimmsnarl
Keldeo
Weezing-Galar
C+ Rank
Celebi
Darmanitan
Diggersby
Gardevoir
Gyarados
Rotom-Mow
Terrakion
Togedemaru
Type: Null
C Rank
Alcremie
Appletun
Bisharp
Centiskorch
Cloyster
Crawdaunt
Dubwool
Hitmonlee
Inteleon
Mamoswine same deal as band
Ninetales
Ninetales-Alola
Obstagoon
Reuniclus
Scrafty
Silvally
Toxapex
Toxtricity
Umbreon
Vaporeon
Venusaur
C- Rank
Araquanid
Cobalion
Cofagrigus
Copperajah
Drifblim
Eiscue
Gigalith
Hippowdon
Indeedee-Female
Ludicolo
Pyukumuku
Sirfetch'd
Torkoal
Virizion
Weavile
D Rank
Charizard
Drampa
Eldegoss
Espeon
Hatterene
Mudsdale
Orbeetle
Quagsire
Sudowoodo
Trevenant
Tsareena
Turtonator
Vikavolt
Wishiwashi
Jirachi one flinch q.q
S- Rank
A+ Rank
Sylveon
A Rank
A- Rank
Arcanine beat stall lose to band
Corviknight
Crustle
Haxorus
Incineroar my band set wins, others I'm not too sure
Whimsicott
B+ Rank
Avalugg
Cinderace weird MU, Mimikyu needs to win too many 50/50s in a row to win
Excadrill
Togekiss one flinch q.q
B Rank
Aromatisse
Golisopod
Rhyperior
Snorlax
Steelix
B- Rank
Duraludon same deal as banded
Durant 64/36
Ferrothorn
C+ Rank
Diggersby
Gyarados
C Rank
Cloyster
Dubwool
Mamoswine same deal as band
Ninetales
Ninetales-Alola
Silvally
C- Rank
Gigalith
D Rank
Quagsire
Alright, now just for the sake of blind match-up analysis, I'm gonna overlap these MU charts together.
S Rank
Jirachi
S- Rank
Darmanitan-Galar some darmG users have been bulking specifically for this lately which is not cool on a 252 252 HO mon
A+ Rank
Sylveon
A Rank
Dracovish
Dragapult
A- Rank
Arcanine
Corsola-Galar
Corviknight
Crustle
Haxorus
Incineroar
Primarina
Sawk
Whimsicott
Zeraora
B+ Rank
Aegislash
Avalugg
Cinderace
Excadrill
Hydreigon
Kyurem
Mandibuzz
Rotom-Wash
Togekiss
B Rank
Aromatisse
Blastoise
Conkeldurr
Gastrodon
Golisopod
Kommo-o
Milotic
Rhyperior
Rillaboom
Rotom-Heat
Snorlax
Steelix
Tyranitar
B- Rank
Bewear
Chandelure
Dracozolt
Duraludon
Durant
Ferrothorn
Gengar
Goodra
Grimmsnarl
Keldeo
Weezing-Galar
C+ Rank
Celebi
Darmanitan
Diggersby
Gardevoir
Gyarados
Rotom-Mow
Terrakion
Togedemaru
Type: Null
C Rank
Alcremie
Appletun
Bisharp
Centiskorch
Cloyster
Crawdaunt
Dubwool
Hitmonlee
Inteleon
Mamoswine
Ninetales
Ninetales-Alola
Obstagoon
Reuniclus
Scrafty
Silvally
Toxapex
Toxtricity
Umbreon
Vaporeon
Venusaur
C- Rank
Araquanid
Cobalion
Cofagrigus
Copperajah
Drifblim
Eiscue
Gigalith
Hippowdon
Indeedee-Female
Ludicolo
Pyukumuku
Sirfetch'd
Torkoal
Virizion
Weavile
D Rank
Charizard
Drampa
Eldegoss
Espeon
Hatterene
Mudsdale
Orbeetle
Quagsire
Sudowoodo
Trevenant
Tsareena
Turtonator
Vikavolt
Wishiwashi
Jirachi
S- Rank
A+ Rank
A Rank
A- Rank
Corviknight
Haxorus
Incineroar
Whimsicott
B+ Rank
Avalugg
Cinderace
Excadrill
Togekiss
B Rank
Steelix
B- Rank
Duraludon
Durant
C+ Rank
C Rank
Cloyster
Silvally
Venusaur
C- Rank
Gigalith
D Rank
I didn't include Choice Scarf for simplicty, as it's over-all considered its worst set, although it's still a decent set.
Now, would you look at that! Whenever facing a Mimikyu without knowing the set, the amount of Pokemon that can counter it effectively is reduced to 12:
Aromatisse, which sacrifices bulk to win the MU
Jirachi, which has to rely on a 60% flinch to win, and still loses to CB Sneak Mimikyu (not included in the MU chart for simplicity)
Corviknight, one of the few reliable MUs, but it still loses to the Mental Herb variant of the Curse set
Haxorus, which has to hit a 75% accuracy move, and unless it runs jolly Scarf it loses to Scarf Mimikyu
Incineroar, which has to run an unflexible Choice Band set that gives up a huge amount of opportunity cost
Whimsicott, which has to guess whether the set is Curse or Band bc otherwise it loses, and still doesnt win against the Mental Herb Curse set
Avalugg, that can still get unlucky with Icicle Spears and lose
Cinderace, that still has to win a few mind games against LO and loses to Scarf
Excadrill, a mon that is not actually that good in the current metagame but gets pushed to its rank simply because it can beat Mimikyu very reliably
Steelix, again unreliable multi-hits, and has to run Choice Band
Cloyster, bad mon with a curious niche, and unless properly EV'd it doesnt even beat Band Mimikyu.
Gigalith, who might not even win against all sets, but multi-hits hehe.
Looking at Older 1v1 Gens, mons that are in the S tier have multiple viable 100% reliable counters, and a satisfying amount of Pokemon that are able to check its most common sets. A lot of people like to make the Dragonite comparison but that mon pales in comparison to how much of an issue Mimikyu is.
Considering how the 1v1 metagame works, guessing sets at preview is a skill that has to be mastered and one of the hardships of the metagame itself. Once the set is revealed, the game is most likely already over, so you can't count on knowing the set beforehand. Thus we are left to a very very few amount of select viable counters, which most are not even 100% reliable, and that severely limit building. Not to talk about how most of these still lose to sets like Charm stall (which is not a real set, although it should, given how Mimikyu has a good speed tier, passable bulk, very good defensive typing and Disguise, which is the one of the trifecta of ultimate stall abilities (Disguise, Unaware, Battle Armor).
Such being said, I don't think there's more to be said. This mon is absolutely disgusting in the current metagame and needs to go ASAP. It is absolutely deserving of a quickban but I would be fine with a suspect (just to make the no-ban advocators happy that they "had a chance to keep in the tier". C'mon buddy, are you blindfolded or a masochist? Just let this Pokemon die already). And for the love of God, do it immediately after PL, don't wait until Ladder Tour just to ruin another tournament.
Regarding the "wait until DLC argument"... what? Why would you keep an extremely unhealthy Pokemon in the metagame in the hope that a DLC that comes in several months is gonna add enough counters to it to the game to make it less toxic. Even if we were to wait for DLC I can guarantee the number of counters in relation to the number of viable new arrival isn't gonna be high enough for people to wanna keep Mimikyu in the tier. And anyway we can just re-suspect it when the time comes, there's no harm in that.
P.S. This post took me a long amount of time to make and it almost certainly isn't perfect, unless there's a major flaw in the post you wanna critique, please refrain from pointing out small imperfections, it doesn't help to the discussion
TL;DR Mimikyu has no viable counter get it out of the tier already
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