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NOC The Mafia Invitational Redux Game Thread - GAME OVER

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Okay, I'll recap what I've said over the course of D3.

  • Scumreads before D3 were Asek, Light, and Leet, but unsure about Asek and Leet being scum together because they keep going after each other.
  • Metal's snowball wagon is a good place for scum to smokescreen behind "he had it coming" and is comprised of my Townreads and null reads. Therefore my previous reads must be wrong somewhere.
  • DLE and Moody not scum together because "oh I'm still behind" + drunk AMA = too much theatrics.
  • DLE's drunk AMA subject to scrutiny but getting Townpings off some of the reactions there. Reread outside of drunk AMA is null.
  • Yeti is only scum if deepwolfing, would only lynch if we're having a hard time finding the third scum.
  • Aura reads like the catalyst to the lynch of a player with a poor attitude and little clout in the game, who wouldn't budge off scumreading Aura's slot and thus had to be nudged into playing himself.
  • Light and Moody have said little not only about Aura, but about Empoof. In a game where idlers drew immediate and somewhat divisive attention, this seems like there's possibility for scum here.
  • Asek's still scummy, but the possibility of bussing needs to be weighed.
  • The reread on Former is still a work in progress, but he was looking good coming into it.
also what happened to this
 
Still not much of his stuff has stuck in my head, but more now. I'm reconsidering it and feel that he's not likely enough scum to vote him, seems more attempting to contribute even though I don't like post spam that much.
 
Asek flipped red and I started approaching the evidence via Asek's associations. This led me to look closer at Asek vs Hitmon and see that Hitmon kept flipflopping his stance on Asek while using choice language (at least three instances of "screw you" variants and one instance of apologizing for saying Light is a better player than Asek) in his posts/votes against Asek. Combining that with the previous suspicion that Asek could possibly bus and considering the potential motive of being forced to solo carry in D1 and then watching a sub blow off the game, and what seemed at first glance to be unlikely seems plausible, leading to a full solve.
 
Okay then. There's feuding going on and reading this stuff is annoying, so let me go back to the start and figure out where I stand

Asek ISO pt.2

Starts the game off throwing an RVS vote on leet. It's at this point I actually remember doing this ISO earlier and coming to the idea of leet and asek being scum buddies. Still, at least in my current head space the thought of scum RVSing each other comes off as distant but possible

page 19 aka aseks dead period

KOC has weird pings of Asek, logical pings. But pings.
Eh, Asek > Warein > DLE in term of slank lynching. DLE's got a job and Walrein's got... video games.
but then this. Does scum KOC actually push for Asek to be first lynched here? ngl I don't think so.

Asek then does the big wall of fluff in which of the people still alive, his really only wolf call is on KOC.
  • theres an odd link between prophylaxis and koc in that proph keeps preferring to engage knights over any other player and knights keeps weirdly sucking him off and making excuses to not vote him / join the wagon. i think this has potential to be buddying either way, potentially s/s
  • koc feels like most of their posts are gas? like they arent contributing anything to the discourse that is happening in what i think is real time conditions? like theyve definitely made a lot of posts but a lot of it is 'hm i can see you are voting x. but i dont want to join / offer an alternative' wolfy.
  • former hopes mason thing at the start was anti town play, but theyve felt consistently tonally pure. theyre exhibiting a sense of wanting to solve moreso then most of the other slots itg during my read where reading half this shit was going through the motions instead of reading interesint / enjoyable content like the d1 of last game
  • im going to iso yeti to try generate a read i dont have 1 atm soz. i do remember that weird post on koc which felt like it may have been a pocket attempt. gonna stew on that
  • moody popped in and their contributions seemed largely to be going along with the flow. their posts seemed innocent enough but i didnt really get any impression / read from them.

hawkie
fh
moody yeti metal sonic
texas
koc proph

dle walrein empoof lw
Only a few things stick out to me here
1. Asek keeps pushing KOC claiming gas and stuff
2. He reads moody positively, well, null, but then he puts them in the same pile as metal sonic who he says he town leans
i went for a swim and kind of came around on the idea of lynching in texas / walrein / prophylaxis for now
Rule of 3 here says that leet is likely scum (aka when scum tend to do this, it's fairly common for them to put 1 scum in a threesome)
mainly off knights because i always always sr them and as last game proved im not always right. ill give them some space to breath for today
Some of the random stuff that made me SR them in the first place. But at this point I do think this play was scum asek going "I don't think anyone is buying this KOC push so I'm going to push someone else" which again makes KOC seem town

"-Asek #556 looks spectacular to me, tbh. It's what I like to see in a reads post. Big town read on him." - Leet
still weird even if explained

I think my lynch pool is Asek and Hitmon now. I'd say Texas and Metal becoming hunting buddies is a little off kilter, but that way lies tinfoil.

vote Asek
KOC instantly votes Asek after texas asks. This is either next level scum bussing or KOC is town.

It's also at this point where I call out MoodyCloud and KnightsofCydonia for being lame and not reading my post about not being avaliable most of the hours since day started so now I've had to take out time from trying to analyze to read their comments showing their lack of reading comprehension to my earlier comment. Anyways, back to analysis

More stuff I've already ISO'd. but asek defends the leet slot.
its pretty obvious if you put any critical thought into it

lightwolf played with a similar level of activity at this point in the last game

empoof probably had well over 100 posts by this stage

one is consistent with past behavior the other isnt.
Pushes empoof/AG here for behavior (and lol, I said I would do analysis even though here I'm just stating events. That said, this particular push from him. Maybe a bus? idk, I actually feel from this one post that he's genuinely pushing AG here but my current dislike of his play makes me honestly just want to read this as a well played buss.
But ugh, he actually follows up and goes so far as to vote empoof. Is this really a bus?


Then leet does a break down of Aseks post while both calling him out for fluff but also saying he has a lot of good points. Leet concludes that aske is town out of gut.

feels like its the same 5 people posting in this shithole but im insanely weirded out by people wanting to lynch the lw slot for idling over dle and especially empoof
How to: read this post
Softly defends LW here

end of page 43. Leet does a weird progression post for why he TR asek and then scum read him. Then says outloud he did a 180 on asek. At this point... I'm remembering why I thought Asek+Leet might be a scum team. These d1 interactions are awful.

Votals the Ninth
Prophylaxis
(7): Hawkie, MoodyCloud, Texas, FormerHope, KnightsofCydonia, DLE, Yeti
Hitmonleet (2): Asek, Proph
LightWolf (1): Hitmonleet
Empoof (1): Metal Sonic

Not Voting: Light Wolf, Empoof
Hmm...D1 analysis. Would Proph really be an all town wagon? Like, of the 3 I'm fairly certain KOC is town, limbo with moody and scum lean DLE. Asek also parks his vote on leet....


D2

The nothing day. Asek votes leet, leet votes asek. Neither really try to say why.

actually wanted to lynch this d3 rather than d2 and look into lightwolf/asek today but would have lynched either way
hope you weren't pulling mindgames with your "why was I not recruited" post
Another good moody post vs asek

Page 65

AG leans scum on Asek. So buss vs buss? idk.
Reads:
Asek - don't think I've seen much of him from the people I've previously viewed. I think I've found my new next ISO. But what I remember is a couple flurries of posts that only have a couple that have content in them. lean scum
Actually yeah. On 2nd read. This is a pretty shallow read and feels more like it came from a buss than something else.

Asek I want to respond to my wall and then have a nice long talk to him. I scum read him last game and he was on the top of my list to get shot, but this game I am not seeing the same signs I saw last game that made me falsely suspect him. This makes him one of my bigger suspects left with Texas and Hawkie both being dead, which obviously does not bode well for my thought processes.
LW posts his take on Asek. This read is better than AGs at least but incorperating the yeti/me thoughts into there is ew.

yeah Asek d3 not looking good, no substance whatsoever. That one "retards" post felt like it wouldn't come naturally from scumAsek but can't give that slot a pass today.
Lightwolf's tone, apologetic behavior and way too wide lynch pool are concerning but I don't really know what to look for here
looking at AG/DLE now but I'll probably be voting one of AG/asek
vote AG
I like this

if Asek is mafia I would look at DLE getting MS to L-1 differently (yes there is some irony to be found here) and drop that into the lynch pool
don't think FH is ever mafia with Asek here after he appeared to be jumping to conclusions regarding Texas' call to lynch Asek
Well this happened. So how do you see DLE getting to MS to l-1 now?
None
if town, None
if mafia, None

I don't think the mafia is in that pool.
AG defends asek here. Which is weird af given that he leaned scum him earlier.
Firstly, Yeti was most definitely the originator of the Walrein subbed because he pulled scum twice and with no yeti on his team he just lost interest and subbed when he couldnt keep up. But your answer was satisfactory.

Next, the problem is exactly that you laid the groundwork for the hitmomleet, yet didn't actively pursue it, rather you waited for the engagement you never got, which and you surely agree, creates the image of you not really seeming to care to prevent the proph lynch despite being for a different one. This is compounded on by the next point:

Lastly, you bothered to throw shade at texas at a quite pointless moment instead of engaging people on your prefered lynch. Now why I called it a defense is because you are addressing a something texas did that would put you on the chopping block, by discrediting him for making that statement in the first place. The thing is, that was completely irrelevant at that point, and bringing it up again only served to get the proph lynch through as it'd only lead to arguments that are unrelated to it. It was neither the time and place for it and I dont see why youd bring it up.

As for my questions, please address my perceived difference in style from last game that I am seeing by comparing my big wall post of last game to this game's, and attempt to explain the differences I note.

Also feel free to address any of my other comments on posts you made besides the above 3, I suggest starting with the eurobeat.
LW answers asek here. I do like this post.

and then LW and AG hammer Asek with AG following LW.

Those end the day of aseks.

Results
KOC - I think he's probably lock town to me
Moody - you moved up in townyness
LW - just a smidge from the day 3 interactions

Leet - I think I had been gut TRing you before? But yeah, ISOing asek your interactions with him were very poor day 1, and day 2/3 did little to improve them
AG - Idk, I half feel I have confirmation bias but yeah, feels like asek and ag tried to bus each other. Then AG also says he's going to ISO asek but unless I missed it, he never does.

So yeah.... oog. I'm really tired. My last 48 hours have been working morning shift, spending the night doing Agape/AG's pathfinder campaign and into another morning session so I'm just super wiped. Luckily I have tomorrow off so I can spend more time catching up on teh game because honestly right now I don't feel like critical thinking and analyzing are my brains strong suit right now.
 
Fair enough. But yeah, I still think I want the lynch today to be between LW/AG/3p1k.

Won't lynch KOC. Don't want to lynch moody at this time. Could be persuaded to lynch leet based off the asek interactions but I want to look into him more and fully ISO him before that.
 
this is going nowhere folks
4 people have now agreed that Mason should claim today if they exist(yes AG the point of doing it today is so that scum can't safely false claim it at lylo, there not being a 3rd one is considered in this plan).

This leaves MoodyCloud Former Hope and 3P1K without agreeing with the plan of having the mason claim. Again I want this resolved as quickly as possible and we're running out of time. Please weigh in now, trust me this is important.
 
4 people have now agreed that Mason should claim today if they exist(yes AG the point of doing it today is so that scum can't safely false claim it at lylo, there not being a 3rd one is considered in this plan).

This leaves MoodyCloud Former Hope and 3P1K without agreeing with the plan of having the mason claim. Again I want this resolved as quickly as possible and we're running out of time. Please weigh in now, trust me this is important.
Im currently not entirely caught up; however your logic for it checks out with me just by looking at the current living RL; Im fine with the theoretical third mason claiming now if it were to exist.
 
You're neglecting the possibility that final mason, if they exist, feels claiming to be a bad idea and that only they can make that decision.
In which if the mason wishes to take that angle optimal play would be to play through today and tommorow's lylo without claiming. If my understanding of the situation is accurate is no excuse for a mason to claim tommorow (unless we lynch scum today); implying a town lynch today it should either be claiming today or the day after the next lylo.
 
Okay, if you were referring to this, then my main reason for not going after asek, or much at all, was because I didn't want to say much while sick, because it just made me unable to care much about anything. When I made the post Moody quoted (and which is not quoted here, but was quoted in the post I'm quoting - something re: automatic quote generation?) I didn't want to decide anything due to general "ugh I want this over with" of my sickness coloring my decisions. The hammer vote: I was starting to get better, and remembered how little impression Asek's posts made despite the strings of posts and some being big. Also, my track record of finding scum from nothing was real bad in previous NOCs; I'm far better when I look at people who are already in the light and choose one. Or at least, after Company Mafia and some others before then, it felt that way to me. Time could have distorted this by a lot for me, though. But it still feels that way to me.
ngl, as I actually read day 4 (at this point, end of page 79) this post strikes me as very "thou protest too much"-y
 
Okay. So basically just most of this day has been a clown feista of KOC/Moody/Leet where people are delving into convoluted and hard to follow logic.

Followed by LW pushing for a possible last mason to claim

Followed by AG just being a floppy and non persuasive fish

Followed by the newest episode of "Where's the DLE slot" in which we all wonder if EPIK will post reads or not.

Adjusting from the day's prior, I think my current game solve is: Lynch AG today,
if town: lynch leet (aka as much as I think Asek and Leet feel like they are buddying and that AG and Asek buddying is weird and sketch, I SR AG individually the most at this point)
if scum: Lynch epik unless he provides more context

and then probably the final scum for me would be (Leet/Epik) or hmm... Moody or LW? I think again KOC is lock town and I don't particularly feel like Moody is scum so I guess my actual solve is AG -> EPik/Leet -> other one -> LW? But I think AG/Epik/Leet solves the game anyways.
 
Former, it's "doth protest to much, methinks"

Anyway, I'm fairly sure that waiting for a mason to claim, especially if said mason either doesn't exist or thinks it's a very bad idea to claim, is an exercise in futility.
 
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