Week 26:
14 checks and 8 counters - thanks a lot! Congrats to The Bravest Bird and Stallmory for making it into the Hall of Fame!
Thank you!
Reserving Mega Venusaur!
COUNTER HARD CHECK
Venusaur @ Venusaurite
Ability: Chlorophyll -> Thick Fat
EVs: 252 HP / 252 Def / 4 SpD
Bold Nature
- Giga Drain
- Sludge Bomb
- Synthesis/Leech Seed
- Hidden Power Fire/Sleep Powder/Earthquake
Aaaaand here we are with M-Venusaur
again (man this thing is amazing). Great bulk, awesome defensive ability for its dual Grass-Poison typing (leaving him with only 2 weaknesses in Psychic and Flying) and good tanking/supporting movepool with access to semi-reliable recovery in form of Synthesis and Leech Seed makes him a beast in today's metagame. Thanks to Thick Fat, Mega-Venusaur no longer gets hit super effectively by Fire and Ice moves, which is significant against Mamoswine, with not one nor two, but three Ice-type attack moves, and by being part Grass-type, M-Venusaur isn't
wrekt by Earthquake either.
Not gonna write an Encyclopedia here, so here are the calcs (considering even SR on the field):
244 Atk Life Orb Mamoswine
Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Mega Venusaur: 133-157 (36.5 - 43.1%) --
guaranteed 3HKO after Stealth Rock
244 Atk Life Orb Mamoswine Icicle Crash vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Thick Fat Mega Venusaur: 112-135 (30.7 - 37%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Stealth Rock
244 Atk Life Orb Mamoswine
Icicle Spear (5 hits) vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Thick Fat Mega Venusaur: 170-210 (46.7 - 57.6%) -- approx.
94.9% chance to 2HKO (4HKO if we take into account 3-hits attacks)
12 SpA Life Orb Mamoswine
Freeze Dry vs. 252 HP / 4 SpD Thick Fat Mega Venusaur: 65-78 (17.8 - 21.4%) --
guaranteed 5HKO after Stealth Rock
244 Atk Life Orb Mamoswine
Ice Shard vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Thick Fat Mega Venusaur: 55-65 (15.1 - 17.8%) --
possible 5HKO after Stealth Rock
So basically M-Venusaur always avoids the 3HKO and, thanks to Life Orb's recoil, OHKOs back with Giga Drain (and getting a nice chunk of health back):
0 SpA Mega Venusaur
Giga Drain vs. 0 HP / 0- SpD Mamoswine: 324-384 (
90.2 - 106.9%) -- 43.8% chance to OHKO (guaranteed OHKO after Life Orb recoil)
And that's it. M-Venusaur's only problem is the chance of being 2HKOd by two consecutive 5-hits Icicle Spear (which is very unlikely, but can happen). That, and the fact that you have to Mega Evolve first in order to check Mamoswine are the reasons it's considered a (hard) check and not a counter. If you choose to run Sleep Powder, you can safely render it useless (if SP hits, ofc) and kill it after recovering HP back with Synthesis (or Leech Seed). HP Fire is an option against Skarmory, Scizor and Ferrothorn (as always), and Earthquake is your only reliable option to get through Heatran (you 2HKO the standard specially defensive set) and finally Sludge Bomb is your most powerful attack with decent neutral coverage and a decentchance of poisoning the foe, which is nice.
EDIT: Whoops, I did the calcs considering Icicle Crash over Icicle Spear...
I'll make the changes right now. Done.