Assuming Mavs'll have Collison/Carter/Marion/Dirk/Kaman as starters, they'll have Haywood, West, Beaubois, Wright, Cunningham.. which is shallow. Adding Brand may help, but still no shooter and very weak on wings.
These moves (Brand included), basically makes Dallas a 7th-8th seed team coming from lottery team.
They used their amnesty clause on Haywood (thank goodness) so the projected starting line up right now would be:
PG: Darren Collison
SG: Dahntay Jones
SF: Shawn Marion
PF: Dirk Nowitzki
C: Chris Kaman
bench:
Vince Carter
Roddy Beaubois
Brandan Wright
My guess is that the Mavs win the auction on Elton Brand (there is mutual interest and there is no one else who has the room to bid more or has the need to build more) and re-sign Delonte West. I also expect them to add a low minute shooter in the Peja role (Michael Redd maybe?).
That makes the Mavs 10 deep with Elton Brand, Vince Carter, Delonte West, Roddy Beaubois, Brandan Wright off the bench. That is no less shallow than 2011 with Jason Terry, JJ Barea, Brendan Haywood, and Peja Stojakovic's corpse.
Dirk/Kaman/Brand/Wright is easily the one of the best frontcourt rotations Dirk has played with, maybe even surpassing Dirk/Chandler/Haywood (because Haywood sucked so much lol), definitely better than Dirk/Diop/Dampier.
You guys are underestimating the impact Dirk Nowitzki has; Dirk alone puts the team in the playoffs. This team is much better than this past season's (which was a 7th seed). The only real loss from last year was Jason Terry. Jason Kidd is addition by subtraction, Mahinmi had little impact on the game, Haywood is also addition by subtraction.
This team is not as good as OKC, Spurs, or the Lakers right now, but they are definitely at the Memphis, Clipper level which is a solid 5th seed.
The Timberwolves have also made some nice moves this offseason. They will definitely contend to try and join that Memphis/Dallas/LA Clipper tier of teams in the west.
Right now I see the west as:
1. OKC
2. LAL
3. SAS
4. LAC
5. DAL
6. MEM
7. MIN
8. HOU