Dcl 2 final format discussion
Dcl1:
476 signups
Sv: 379
Galar Dex: 314
Usum: 291
Oras: 238
Vgc: 169
Sitrus
Dpl S8
176 signups
Sv: 140
Swsh: 123
Usum: 112
Oras: 98
Dpl S7
195 signups
Sv: 161
Swsh: 155
Usum: 127
Oras: 99
Based on the numbers, purely looking at formats consistent in all three tours, the numbers support having SWSH as the doubled up tier. However, due to the general negative sentiment towards doubling up this slot from DCL1, the next option appears to be USUM.
As for formats that are not currently in the tour, none of them pull enough numbers to justify a spot, going based on previous tour signups of tours that were included on the calendar. Additionally, these formats had consistent formatting with other tours, so the structure carrying over has less friction for people trying these tours. Even so, they did not pull very good numbers despite being a part of the circuit.
Estimations of player count based on # of draftees divded by 0.625 (since only 62.5% of players minimum are taken for each tour)
ORAS - 545
Summer Seasonal - 522
SV Natdex - 489
Winter Seasonal - 473
USUM - 428
SS Natdex - 335
Ubers - 254
Low Tier - 219
VGC - 153
Based on these signups, the implication is that ORAS would actually be the preferred tier, with SV followed by natdex. So the numbers are contradictory in support of one tier over another, realistically favouring USUM, as that has historically had more team tour signups as the secondary format than oras, after swsh. SV natdex while in theory a good idea, would be incredibly uncompetitive as there is not a consistent amount of playtesting for this format and the tierlists are format are inconsistent across the board. For example, here are some example large communities that run natdex leagues, all with slightly to significantly varying formats:
Smogon Natdex:
SV Natdex - 489
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet...94iVJTMvTWos/edit?gid=420655377#gid=420655377
EGA:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eZB92fXEb5Ge3w40cLA-AnlOG8fw2vFs1HRnGsWKHCc/edit
Season 10: 67
Season 9: 101
BPL:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet...QPc4zRpyTY/edit?gid=1919671787#gid=1919671787
Season 11: 161 (Standard NatDex)
Season 10: 194 (Reduced Standard NatDex)
These are some of the prominent natdex leagues in the community, which all have varying formats, tierlists, rulesets while all being "natdex". There is no consistency within the rulesets people play with, which make it hard to properly playtest a tier and ensure that it is competitively viable to be used in a team tour format. As such, natdex appears to be a less suitable option for the final tier.
Now based on VGC signup numbers, it should appear as a non starter for the final tier option. However, VGC draft in smogon setting was set up to fail from the start. The format was not included in the calendar, which is a big place for people to see upcoming tournaments to plan out the tournaments they want to play in so they are not overloaded. Additionally, the VGC draft tour was announced on April 2nd, 2024, having not wrapped up yet. Sitrus Team Circuit, a team tour dedicated solely to the playing of the VGC format, was announced on March 1st, 2024, to be run from April until July 7th. What incentive is there for a player interested in VGC to sign up for the VGC draft tour when it counts for no points and a more competitive option has been announced a month in advance for them to play in?
Additionally, the format for the VGC tour makes no sense within the context of the tour format, especially considering the other tours Smogon runs. The format run is 110 points for 10 pokemon. Not only does not a single other Smogon tournament run this format, it is also different from the previous DCL1 format, AND it is different from the premiere, largest and most competitive VGC draft community's tierlist (9-11. There is no competitive backing for this format across any other VGC format, and it is not consistent with other draft formats. How likely is someone who is not familiar with the format supposed to sign up when they have no baseline information to base their choice off of?
Next, the point of established VGC players not turning up is proven to be unfair from the DCL player signups
List of people who played at least 1 game in DCL for VGC, and what did they show up to play (smogon vgc draft, SITRUS or :
charmdi - played SITRUS, went 6-1
SMB - uncontested top 1 in DOU currently
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet...jDr4yIrPS4zU/edit?gid=167927743#gid=167927743
sempra - OSDT 4 finalist
https://www.smogon.com/forums/threa...s-tournament-iv-finals-won-by-frixel.3744143/
tiddivicious - qualified for VGC worlds this year, played team canada WCOP (with sempra)
Lindwurm - played SITRUS, went 1-6
trace - played SITRUS, went 0-6
StreetCredCookie - played SITRUS, went 6-1
Feyy - won OSDT
https://www.smogon.com/forums/threa...es-tournament-iii-finals-won-by-feyy.3727972/
Mogo - played SITRUS, went 4-2
M1so - played SIRTUS, went 3-4
Bananacrazy111 - played SITRUS, went 2-5
Demantoid - top 10 all time smogon doubles player
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet...jDr4yIrPS4zU/edit?gid=167927743#gid=167927743
Flying Beagle - played SITRUS, went 0-1, playing VGC tour called OPL
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u/0/d/1QNXHhPM_RDWWMs5nynvpAYT8ZCrzi7ufZpW2HGTkqP0/htmlview#
Lemurro - played SITRUS, went 4-3
All of your top players from last DCL played in other more competitive VGC or doubles formats, draft or non draft related. They have no incentive to play in the vgc draft tour, so why would they? Your newer players to the format have no incentive to play in the format, so why would they? If new and old players have no incentive to play, who is going to play your tour? Only the people who sign up for every single tournament or the diehard fans of the format would even be interested in playing this tournament.
Now, all these players should have tried smogon vgc draft at least once right? well they did. The list of players who played the format once again, this time with who signed for the initial smogon vgc draft tournament (which BTW, is not even in the draft forum, is in the VGC forum, so how do you expect casual draft players to even find this?) signed up will be represented through a Y, no sign up represented through a N.
charmdi - N
SMB - N
sempra - Y
tiddvicious - N
Lindwurm - Y
trace - Y
StreetCredCookie - N
Feyy - Y
Mogo - Y
M1so - Y
Bananacrazy111 - Y
Demantoid -
Flying Beagle - N
Lemurro - Y
57% of your DCL playerbase signed up for the inaugural vgc draft tournament. They then did not sign up for future tournaments for multiple reasons likely, with evidence pointing to lack of incentive. They do show up for VGC tournaments, even in remote locations that are more difficult to find, they just do not sign up when the tour provides no reason for them to sign up.
Now, the argument of the VGC players being on an "island" and having no support is a captains issue. If the captain decides to sign up for a tournament where 1/8 wins they could get they provide no support for, they are actively putting themselves at a disadvantage and it is no one but their own fault that they are in this position in the first place. Furthermore, draft players are actually showing interest in the VGC draft format through SITRUS and WBG signups, where they can learn the format in a team tour setting. Take the example of Professor Shuckle. Professor Shuckle was a DCL 1 captain, with his team making playoffs before being knocked out in the first round. Since then, he has signed up for the SITRUS team tournament, played in the VGC draft format and went 5-1.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet...YAR6sXupAg/edit?gid=1662206979#gid=1662206979 People who have not had experience with VGC draft as a format who are looking to support their teammates in the future are actively doing so, learning the format and participating in team tour VGC settings where they are learning and performing in those formats.
Based on the above arguments, the criticism towards VGC appears to be fueled by poor timing, lack of incentives for new and top players in uncompetitive formats, and interest shown in other more competitive VGC and doubles formats within the community. There is no other draft format today that exists that is able to successfully run a full team tour centralized around one format other than VGC draft. There is more interest and growth towards the VGC draft scene in competitive team tour formats or places with adequate incentives. As such, I believe the best decision for DCL2's 8th and final format would be to have VGC2 as the final slot. Feel free to tag with any questions about the analysis that was done.
Thanks for reading, have a nice day :D
- Nick6564