The little warstory made me smile.
This set seems like a lot of fun to use...
This set seems like a lot of fun to use...
The primary problem I see with this set is... Garchomp. Immune to T-Wave, Swagger increases his attack, he has massive defenses to shrug off a self-hit and is easily set-up with T-Tar and what not.
Thats an interesting set. People underestimate the fact that 17 turns w/o leftovers == game over if you aren't hail immune. Considering that you're practically breaking even on the subsitutes (with proper EVs, you'll recover back 25% of health after 4 turns with leftovers. With Parafusion + Snow Veil, you are getting hit every 3.7 turns on the average)... add in spikes to actually _do_ something productive during this period and it seems like it might work in theory.
The primary problem I see with this set is... Garchomp. Immune to T-Wave, Swagger increases his attack, he has massive defenses to shrug off a self-hit and is easily set-up with T-Tar and what not.
Other stat-uppers will get T-Waved / Swaggered on the switch, so that doesn't seem too bad. Swagger a Weavile on the switch, T-Wave him while he has a 40% chance to break your sub, Sub again and start laying spikes. Seems like a solid strategy. It doesn't get much worse than Weavile v Frosslass (outspeed and OHKO), so if Frosslass can handle him she can probably handle a lot.
If Weavile comes in on a revenge kill, T-Wave him while he breaks sub, sub till he misses, and then swagger...
Seems solid. Froslass's speed and ability make it possible.
I'll have to run probability calculations to see if the above strategy I just outlined actually works. Anything less than 70% probability of sucess I cannot accept. Revenge Killers seem like they'll force Froslass very easily as they get to ignore the swagger on the switch.
But really, this set needs Blizzard more than anything. 5-moveslot syndrome anyone?
Until they see every single one of your four moves, there's no way Garchomp will come in on Froslass, and with all the Blizzarding going on while using a Hail team, is Garchomp generally still that much of a problem? I don't know, I'm not experienced with a Hail team (but they sound like fun!), but isn't one of the goals while making one, to "spam Blizzard"? :P
On Swagger vs. Confuse Ray, do you really want your opponent to die early? Because if that happens, you've taken out an opponent, yes, but something new comes in, and you still don't have your Spikes down, and that guy's likely not paralyzed, and isn't confused. So I'd say Confuse Ray is better, because you want your opponent to be immobilized, but not killed until you get your Spikes up.
It is creative, but I despise sets that rely on hax.
Oh and If you could run those calcs it would be much appreciated.
problem is, a pokemon with lum berry gets a free +2 attack from you, or switch in to thunderwave for free.. in other words, anything thats faster / carrying lum berry switches in for free. especially if you dont have a sub up. and with out a recovery move, if they switch in to spikes.. and break sub the turn their berry activates.. you can't do much.
I just ran some calculations. Taking into account Swagger's accuracy, Snow Cloak, and Paralysis, the probability of that strategy working within 4 uses of Substitute is roughly 80%. This is including the chance that Weavile won't break your Sub as you T-Wave it.If Weavile comes in on a revenge kill, T-Wave him while he breaks sub, sub till he misses, and then swagger...
Seems solid. Froslass's speed and ability make it possible.
I'll have to run probability calculations to see if the above strategy I just outlined actually works. Anything less than 70% probability of sucess I cannot accept. Revenge Killers seem like they'll force Froslass very easily as they get to ignore the swagger on the switch.
I just ran some calculations. Taking into account Swagger's accuracy, Snow Cloak, and Paralysis, the probability of that strategy working within 4 uses of Substitute is roughly 80%. This is including the chance that Weavile won't break your Sub as you T-Wave it.
The odds of it succeeding within 5 uses of Substitute is roughly 84.4%.
Thanks for ignoring me. Did some calcs, here you have it:
Froslass @ Leftovers
Nature: Adamant
EVs: 40 HP / 216 Atk / 256 SpDef
- Wake-up Slap
- Substitute
- Block
- Toxic
Yes physical Froslass. And yes, Adamant. Stop laughing.
The EVs are for KOing Weavile (with 40 HP EVs) and the rest was to take Special hits as well as possible.
They way to use is:
Have Hail going and get Froslass in. Your opponent fearing a (almost) powerfull Blizzard will switch to Blissey or something with good Special Defense and a Super Effective move. If you think your opponent will switch to Blissey, you use Block, otherwhise, Substitute. Now the rest is self explanatory. Most counters dislike Wake-up Slap and/or Toxic. Most Blissey can't tounch you if you have a Substitute up.
This set is also great for scounting if your opponents pokémon have certain moves. Pursuit on TTar or Weavile, Thunderbolt/Flamethrower on Blissey, etc.
I'm open to suggestions to calculating agaisnt certain Pokémons, new moves and Pokémons that counter this well. Also, new EV-spreads.
For now I know that Snorlax (with Immunity) and Metagross fuck me. But luckily, both get walled by Skarmory or Bronzong.
Please comment and say anything. Even if it is "You suck. Please die. Cocks."
PS- Calcs made with MetalKid's Calculator and defensive spread by X-Act's applet.