As much as I'd like to continue this Walrein discussion, it doesn't belong in this thread. PM me back if you wish to continue the discussion in private, we don't need to derail this subject any more as of now. (Sorry for bringing it up).
Regardless, here is my key point again: Weather + 1 turn of free set-up is a massive advantage to simply assume for free. Its hard enough to bring in counters (who already assume 1 turn of free set-up).
EDIT:
By my calculations... (i've done this wrong before, so it wouldn't surprise me...), Tyranitar is used an amazing 2.6% of the time and Hippowdon is used 1.2% of the time in Pokemon Battles. I calculated the unweighted stats to total 1182260.
Even if Sandstorm is that much more popular, the combined useage of both pokemon is small indeed. Most battles, Garchomp won't be getting that sandstorm you are assuming. Even if we multiply their usage by 6x and add them up together (if I understand how Shoddybattle gets their statistics correctly... ), Garchomp is getting his sand in less than 20% of battles unless he was explicitly set-up. Even then, I've seen teams with both Hippowdon and T-Tar on them at the same time, meaning that Hippo and T-Tar aren't mutually exclusive.
Hmm... Colin should just turn this into a "probability of being in a battle", instead of a raw count of pokemon... and it should include all team members IMO.
Regardless, here is my key point again: Weather + 1 turn of free set-up is a massive advantage to simply assume for free. Its hard enough to bring in counters (who already assume 1 turn of free set-up).
EDIT:
Two pokemon set up SS, only one sets up Hail.
Abomosnow was barely OU last I checked (Not even, 53 on Shoddy's usage list for January isn't OU by Smogon standards.)
Tyranitar is 5 and Hippowdon is 24.
SS>>>>>>>>>>>>Hail by a shitload.
Garchomp is getting Sand Veil for free in a ton of matches.
By my calculations... (i've done this wrong before, so it wouldn't surprise me...), Tyranitar is used an amazing 2.6% of the time and Hippowdon is used 1.2% of the time in Pokemon Battles. I calculated the unweighted stats to total 1182260.
Even if Sandstorm is that much more popular, the combined useage of both pokemon is small indeed. Most battles, Garchomp won't be getting that sandstorm you are assuming. Even if we multiply their usage by 6x and add them up together (if I understand how Shoddybattle gets their statistics correctly... ), Garchomp is getting his sand in less than 20% of battles unless he was explicitly set-up. Even then, I've seen teams with both Hippowdon and T-Tar on them at the same time, meaning that Hippo and T-Tar aren't mutually exclusive.
Hmm... Colin should just turn this into a "probability of being in a battle", instead of a raw count of pokemon... and it should include all team members IMO.




















