So, swampert's obviously going to be a tanky mon with sweeping potential with rain support. Depending on its stat distribution, I'm pretty sure its tanking abilities will land it a status similar to aggron; good, but not OU. Swift swim is what makes it interesting. If it hits hard enough and is fast enough, I can see even some uber viability. Or it could be outclassed by other swimmers, but I can dream.
I'm personally really hyped for Mega Swampert. It's not designed to be a slow tank with a poor typing like Mega Aggron, it's designed to be a bulky rain sweeper. It's definitely not going to be outclassed by other Swift Swimmers, not by a long shot. Electric immunity is **HUGE**. Only Seismitoad has that, and it already has worse bulk and offensives than base form Swampert (though it can use Life Orb, but then it's even less bulky.)
The stat spread I'm
guessing hoping for is:
100
110 -> 165 <- to hit as hard as LO Kabutops, however 150 or 155 are more likely estimates (+55, +40, +45)
90 -> 110 <- More bulk, with a slight physical bias, but if 150/155 attack, then 115/115 (+20, +25, +25)
85 -> 95 <- of course they're going to pump this stat a tiny bit (+10) but if they pump it enough, Swampert can make better use of Hydro Pump, Focus Blast, Ice Beam, Sludge Wave, Earth Power, and Scald, which would make it harder to wall (e.g. Skarmory)
90 -> 95 <- or 105/100 (+5, +15, +10)
60 -> 70 <- It's possible they'll lower it, but those points would need to go somewhere. And +2 really is a good boost; even with base 45 it could still outspeed Greninja while using an Adamant nature. 40 is still outspeeding base 110's. 30 with a positive nature is just under 110's, but I seriously doubt they'd lower it this much. Though again: that just means higher stats in other places (+10)
Of course, these are just rough guesstimates, but it'll be hard for them to fuck up something with 635 BST, double speed, and Water/Ground typing. Waterfall/Erfquake/Ice Punch is nearly perfect coverage, only missing out on Rotom-W (who is ass against Rain teams lol) giving a free slot for Rain Dance (you won't get the Swift Swim boost the turn you MEvolve anyway,) Protect (to get the SS boost safely,) Stone Edge (Gyarados,) Low Kick (Ferrothorn,) or uhhhh HP Flying for Chesnaught (see the SpA boost could be useful.) Yawn could also be good.
Plus, move tutors. Get hype.
All in all, this is exactly what I worried about. Neither of these 2 hold a candle to blaze.
Good. Blaziken is uber. I want to spam muh rain team in OU while using The Hulk+Michael Phelps.