indianapolis has clinched homefield, so the jags (7-6) get a huge boost when they play next week. then the jags clean up with new england and cleveland. even with all this apocalyptic talk surrounding the pats these days, i'm pretty sure they'll beat jacksonville. in which case...
the door opens up for the other 7-6 teams to win out and get in.
baltimore might have the easiest slate left, with chicago, pittsburgh, and oakland.
miami plays all three afc teams (6-7) on the outside looking in. tennessee, houston, pittsburgh. miami has looked impressive lately but i'm skeptical that they can can beat all three.
nyj plays atlanta, indy, and cincy. indy already has nothing left to play for but 16-0. i believe cincy will still be playing hard because if they lose next week at san diego they'll need to continue winning to hold on to the 3 seed (if new england doesn't slip on their weak remaining schedule). and if cincy wins, then they'll be in the running for a bye week. atlanta is nothing to scoff at, even with ryan and burner out.
the 6-7 teams
pittsburgh plays green bay, baltimore, and miami. lol. if they can't beat the trio of kc, oakland, and cleveland then i doubt they'll win out against that trifecta, which is probably the toughest schedule of any remaining AFC team "in the hunt"
houston plays st. louis, miami, and new england. i think they lose one or both of the last two games.
tennessee has a 3-7 conference record. with miami and san diego their remaining AFC opponents. they'd need a massive fucking miracle to make it, aside from winning those two tough games.
tl;dr if jacksonville wins out, they are in. if not, then i think only miami and baltimore are likely to make it, and baltimore has the easier schedule. i don't consider new york as being in the same league as those two.